•Expected increase of temperature over France will alter the grapevine development.•The rate of warming depends on the season and on the specific region.•Simulation of future budburst strongly depends on the phenological model adopted.•Most likely, climate change will induce a significant precocity of budburst day.•The risk of tardive frost will likely increase in the continental regions of France.
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology – Elsevier
Published: Mar 15, 2018
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