As more new energy power is integrated into the power grid in a large scale, the security problem of the new energy power system (NEPS) has been paid more and more attention in China. Therefore, in order to identify the risk elements of NEPS in China and analyze their internal influence relations, this paper proposes a risk identification and analysis model of NEPS based on D numbers theory and decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) method. First, a risk element set is established including new energy resource risk, technical risk, demand side risk, grid side risk and human factor, and Crombach α reliability analysis is introduced to verify the rationality of this set. Then, D numbers theory is employed to integrate the expert evaluation information and the direct relation matrix is obtained. Next, based on DEMATEL method, the cause-effect relations and significance degree of risk elements are analyzed. The results indicate that C10, C15 and C14 are in the top three according to prominence values which are 6.455, 6.186, 5.854 respectively. Meanwhile 18 criteria are divided into 8 causal factors and 10 effect factors which are also analyzed by θ in total relation matrix. Finally, according the risk analysis results, managerial and policy implications are explored. This study concluded that the proposed method provides a strong basis for future academic research.
Journal of Cleaner Production – Elsevier
Published: Apr 10, 2018
It’s your single place to instantly
discover and read the research
that matters to you.
Enjoy affordable access to
over 12 million articles from more than
10,000 peer-reviewed journals.
All for just $49/month
Read as many articles as you need. Full articles with original layout, charts and figures. Read online, from anywhere.
Keep up with your field with Personalized Recommendations and Follow Journals to get automatic updates.
It’s easy to organize your research with our built-in tools.
Read from thousands of the leading scholarly journals from SpringerNature, Elsevier, Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford University Press and more.
All the latest content is available, no embargo periods.
“Hi guys, I cannot tell you how much I love this resource. Incredible. I really believe you've hit the nail on the head with this site in regards to solving the research-purchase issue.”Daniel C.
“Whoa! It’s like Spotify but for academic articles.”@Phil_Robichaud
“I must say, @deepdyve is a fabulous solution to the independent researcher's problem of #access to #information.”@deepthiw
“My last article couldn't be possible without the platform @deepdyve that makes journal papers cheaper.”@JoseServera