Estimate global risks of a forest disease under current and future climates using species distribution model and simple thermal model – Pine Wilt disease as a model case

Estimate global risks of a forest disease under current and future climates using species... •Global risks of Pine Wilt Disease were evaluated under changing climates.•A correlative species distribution model and a knowledge-based model were compared.•The correlative species distribution model produces better and precise predictions.•The expert knowledge-based model has a certain merit but limitation.•Pine Wilt Disease could impose high risks for major pine species in Europe. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Forest Ecology and Management Elsevier

Estimate global risks of a forest disease under current and future climates using species distribution model and simple thermal model – Pine Wilt disease as a model case

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Publisher
Elsevier
Copyright
Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Ltd
ISSN
0378-1127
eISSN
1872-7042
D.O.I.
10.1016/j.foreco.2017.11.005
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

•Global risks of Pine Wilt Disease were evaluated under changing climates.•A correlative species distribution model and a knowledge-based model were compared.•The correlative species distribution model produces better and precise predictions.•The expert knowledge-based model has a certain merit but limitation.•Pine Wilt Disease could impose high risks for major pine species in Europe.

Journal

Forest Ecology and ManagementElsevier

Published: Feb 1, 2018

References

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