Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama?

Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama? Highlights ► Climate scientists are not alarmists but have underestimated recent climate changes. ► We identify a directional bias toward erring on the side of least drama (ESLD). ► ESLD is an internal pressure arising from norms of objectivity, restraint, etc. ► ESLD may cause scientists to underpredict or downplay future climate changes. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Global Environmental Change Elsevier

Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama?

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Publisher
Elsevier
Copyright
Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd
ISSN
0959-3780
D.O.I.
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.10.008
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Highlights ► Climate scientists are not alarmists but have underestimated recent climate changes. ► We identify a directional bias toward erring on the side of least drama (ESLD). ► ESLD is an internal pressure arising from norms of objectivity, restraint, etc. ► ESLD may cause scientists to underpredict or downplay future climate changes.

Journal

Global Environmental ChangeElsevier

Published: Feb 1, 2013

References

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