•Modeling stressors singly can produce misleading estimates if the stressor modelled is not the dominant system stressor.•Expected temperature increase is indicated as the dominant stressor in the Chesapeake Bay system.•Full-system ecosystem models can be essential tools to identify non-additive and unexpected effects of system change.•Ecosystem modelling tools like Atlantis are useful to test effects of single factors confounded in nature and not separable in the laboratory.
Ecological Modelling – Elsevier
Published: Dec 10, 2017
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