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E. Stakhiv, D. Major (1997)
Ecosystem Evaluation, Climate Change and Water Resources PlanningClimatic Change, 37
J.L. Meyer (1993)
Sustaining Our Water Resources: Proceedings of the Water Science and Technology Board's Tenth Anniversary Symposium, November 9, 1992
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Conclusions, remaining issues, and next stepsClimatic Change, 28
G. Brundtland, M. Khalid (1987)
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Planning for Sea Level Rise and Shore Protection Under Climate UncertaintyClimatic Change, 37
T. R. Carter, M. L. Parry, H. Harasawa, S. Nishioka (1994)
IPCC Technical Guidelines for Assessing Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations
P. Rogers (1997)
Engineering Design and Uncertainties Related to Climate ChangeClimatic Change, 37
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Nonmarket Valuation and the Estimation of Damages from Global WarmingClimatic Change, 37
T. Carter, Martin Parry, Hadeo Harasawa, S. Nishioka (1994)
IPCC technical guidelines for assessing climate change impacts and adaptations : part of the IPCC special report to the first session of the conference of the parties to the UN framework convention on climate change
D. Major, K. Frederick (1997)
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R. Mendelsohn, L. Bennett (1997)
Global Warming and Water Management: Water Allocation and Project EvaluationClimatic Change, 37
H. Lins, D. Wolock, G. McCabe (1997)
Scale and Modeling Issues in Water Resources PlanningClimatic Change, 37
A. Wood, D. Lettenmaier, R. Palmer (1997)
Assessing Climate Change Implications for Water Resources PlanningClimatic Change, 37
K. Frederick (1997)
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D. Parker (1994)
Economic and Environmental Principles and Guidelines for Water and Related Land Resources Implementation Studies
The prospect of anthropogenically-induced climate change presents water planners with a variety of challenges. Drawing on work presented in this volume, these challenges are summarized and conceptual issues surrounding strategies for adapting water planning and project evaluation practices to this prospect are examined. The six-step planning process detailed in the Economic and Environmental Principles and Guidelines for Water and Related Land Resources Implementation Studies (P&G) is described; its ability to incorporate consideration of and responses to possible climate impacts is assessed. The methods of sensitivity analysis, scenario planning, and decision analysis that are encouraged by the P&G are found to be generally appropriate for planning and project evaluation under the prospect of climate change. However, some important planning and evaluation criteria require review and possible adaptation. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) impact assessment procedures are found to be particularly useful as a framework for climate change impact and sensitivity analyses, and would fulfill the requirements for future environmental impact statements. The ideas and principles are compatible with those found in the P&G. The water resources guidelines in the P&G deal explicitly with the specific comparison, appraisal, and selection of project alternatives based on normative decision rules associated with benefit cost analysis and maximizing national welfare. These basic rules and normative decision criteria for evaluating alternative adaptation measures were validated to a large degree by the IPCC Working Group III report (1996c) on economic and social dimensions of climate change. Neither IPCC guidelines nor general environmental impact procedures possess comparable prescriptive decision criteria. The paper concludes with guidance to planners as to: (1) climate-related factors that are of concern and should be monitored; (2) conditions under which climate change should receive particular attention; and (3) adaptation opportunities.
Climatic Change – Springer Journals
Published: Oct 15, 2004
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