Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
M. Hulme, O. Brown (1998)
Portraying climate scenario uncertainties in relation to tolerable regional climate changeClimate Research, 10
(1998)
Climate Change Scenarios, Impact Thresholds and Risk
P. Bak (1997)
How Nature Works: The Science of Self-Organized CriticalityAmerican Journal of Physics, 65
(1998)
Draft Discussion Paper , IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios ( SRES )
J. Overpeck (1996)
Warm Climate SurprisesScience, 271
J. Hansen, M. Sato, A. Lacis, R. Ruedy, I. Tegen, E. Matthews (1998)
Climate forcings in the industrial era.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 95 22
S. Schneider (1983)
CO2, Climate and Society: A Brief Overview
S. H. Schneider (1983)
Social Science Research and Climate Change: In Interdisciplinary Appraisal
J. Stone (1997)
Climate change 1995: The science of climate change. Contribution of working group I to the second assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate changeGlobal Environmental Change-human and Policy Dimensions, 7
S. Schreider, A. Jakeman, A. Pittoc, P. Whetton (1996)
Estimation of possible climate change impacts on water availability, extreme flow events and soil moisture in the Goulburn and Ovens Basins, VictoriaClimatic Change, 34
M. New, M. Hulme (2000)
Representing uncertainty in climate change scenarios: a Monte-Carlo approachIntegrated Assessment, 1
(1999)
Representing Uncertainties in Water Resource Impact Assessments: Breakout Group Report
H. Visser, R. Folkert, J. Hoekstra, J. Wolff (2000)
Identifying Key Sources of Uncertainty in Climate Change ProjectionsClimatic Change, 45
J. Titus, V. Narayanan (1996)
The risk of sea level riseClimatic Change, 33
M. Morgan, M. Henrion (1990)
Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis
R. W. Katz (1999)
Representing Uncertainty in Climate Change Scenarios and Impact Studies
William Clark, Jill Jäger (1997)
Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate ChangeEnvironment, 39
R. N. Jones, A. B. Pittock, P. H. Whetton (1999)
Climate Change in the South Pacific: Impacts and Responses in Australia, New Zealand, and Small Island States
(1996)
Climate Change 1995: Economic and Social Dimensions of Climate Change
A. Patt (1999)
Extreme Outcomes: The Strategic Treatment of Low Probability Events in Scientific AssessmentsRisk, Decision, Policy, 4
A. Henderson‐sellers (1993)
An antipodean climate of uncertainty?Climatic Change, 25
L. Mearns, M. Hulme, T. Carter, R. Leemans, M. Lal, P. Whetton, L. Hay, Roger Jones, T. Kittel, Joel Smith, R. Wilby (2001)
Climate scenario development
(1996)
Hydrology and Freshwater Ecology
R. N. Jones (1998)
Proceedings of a Workshop on the Impacts of Global Change on Australian Temperate Forests
(1998)
Climate Impact Group, CSIRO Division of Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, p
(1998)
Uncertainty and Sensitivity in Global Carbon Cycle Monitoring
(1996)
Climate Models – Projections of Future Climate
M. Morgan, H. Dowlatabadi (1996)
Learning from integrated assessment of climate changeClimatic Change, 34
T. R. Carter, M. L. Parry, H. Harasawa, S. Nishioka (1994)
IPCC Technical Guidelines for Assessing Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations
A. Patt (1999)
Assessing extreme outcomes: the strategic treatment of low probability impacts in scientific assessmentRisk Decision and Policy, 4
Q. Ahmad (1997)
Climate change 1995. Economic and social dimensions of climate change. Contribution of working group III to the second assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate changeGlobal Environmental Change-human and Policy Dimensions, 7
M. Kirschbaum, P. Bullock, R. Evans, K. Goulding, P. Jarvis, I. Noble, M. Rounsevell, T. Sharkey (1996)
Climate Change 1995: impacts, adaptations and mitigation of climate change: scientific-technical analyses. Contribution of Working Group II to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
R. Watson, M. Zinyowera, R. Moss, D. Dokken (1997)
The regional impacts of climate change : an assessment of vulnerability
A. Pittock, Roger Jones (2000)
Adaptation to What and Why?Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 61
T. Carter, Martin Parry, Hadeo Harasawa, S. Nishioka (1994)
IPCC technical guidelines for assessing climate change impacts and adaptations : part of the IPCC special report to the first session of the conference of the parties to the UN framework convention on climate change
M. Hulme, S. Raper, T. Wigley (1995)
An integrated framework to address climate change (ESCAPE) and further developments of the global and regional climate modules (MAGICC)Energy Policy, 23
Kattsov, Zong-ci Zhao, S. Joussaume, C. Covey, W. Ogana, A. Kitoh, B. Mcavaney (2001)
Contribution of Working Group 1 to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(1999)
Monitoring’, Clim
R. N. Jones (1999)
1st ECLAT-2 Workshop in Representing Uncertainty in Climate Change Scenarios and Impact Studies
R. Watson, M. Zinyowera, R. Moss (1997)
Climate change 1995 - impacts, adaptations and mitigation of climate change : scientific-technical analysesEcology, 78
P. Whetton, M. Haylock, R. Galloway (1996)
Climate change and snow-cover duration in the Australian AlpsClimatic Change, 32
A. B. Pittock (1993)
Modelling Change in Environmental Systems
J. Haigh (2002)
Radiative forcing of climate changeWeather, 57
K. Walsh, W. Cai, K. Hennessy, Roger Jones, K. McInnes, K. Nguyen, C. Page, P. Whetton (2001)
Climate Change in Queensland under Enhanced Greenhouse Conditions
(1990)
Workshop Report Number 1, Climatic Research Unit, Norwich, U.K
(1996)
Climate Change Scenarios for the Australian Region
404 EDITORIAL COMMENT DIALOGUE model, introduced by Visser et al. (2000) does this. DIALOGUE is an integrated assessment model that estimates global temperature from linked greenhouse gas emission scenarios, and gas cycle, radiative forcing and simple cli- mate models. Each of the components has been assessed separately to determine its individual contribution to the total range of uncertainty contained within projected global temperature. Uncertainty contained in projections of global change combines with uncer- tainties in projections of regional change, with both propagating through to impact assessments (e.g., Figure 10-1, Arnell et al., 1996). Tools such as DIALOGUE may be suitably adapted to manage uncertainty in regional climate change projections by calculating conditional probabilities. The broad context of such a role is dis- cussed in this paper, and examples for managing uncertainty in regional climate change projections are presented with recommendations for future research. 2. The Portrayal of Uncertainty within the IPCC Second Assessment Report Although the IPCC SAR on impacts, adaptation and mitigation (Watson et al., 1996) explicitly linked dangerous climate change with mitigation and adaptation assessment in its Technical Summary (IPCC, 1996b), the body of the report was mostly restricted to describing sensitivity and vulnerability assessments. Most of
Climatic Change – Springer Journals
Published: Oct 8, 2004
Read and print from thousands of top scholarly journals.
Already have an account? Log in
Bookmark this article. You can see your Bookmarks on your DeepDyve Library.
To save an article, log in first, or sign up for a DeepDyve account if you don’t already have one.
Copy and paste the desired citation format or use the link below to download a file formatted for EndNote
Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
All DeepDyve websites use cookies to improve your online experience. They were placed on your computer when you launched this website. You can change your cookie settings through your browser.