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The Jump Behavior of Foreign Exchange Market: Analysis of Thai Baht

The Jump Behavior of Foreign Exchange Market: Analysis of Thai Baht We use square root stochastic volatility with or without jump model to study the heteroskedasticity and jump behavior of the Thai Baht. Bayesian factor is used to evaluate the explanatory power of competing model. It turns out that the square root stochastic volatility model with independent jump in observation and state equations (SVIJ) has the best explanatory power to our sample. Using the estimation results of the SVIJ model, we are able to link the major events of the Asian financial crisis to the jump behavior of either volatility or observation. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies World Scientific Publishing Company

The Jump Behavior of Foreign Exchange Market: Analysis of Thai Baht

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References (12)

Publisher
World Scientific Publishing Company
Copyright
Copyright ©
ISSN
0219-0915
eISSN
1793-6705
DOI
10.1142/S0219091507001069
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

We use square root stochastic volatility with or without jump model to study the heteroskedasticity and jump behavior of the Thai Baht. Bayesian factor is used to evaluate the explanatory power of competing model. It turns out that the square root stochastic volatility model with independent jump in observation and state equations (SVIJ) has the best explanatory power to our sample. Using the estimation results of the SVIJ model, we are able to link the major events of the Asian financial crisis to the jump behavior of either volatility or observation.

Journal

Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and PoliciesWorld Scientific Publishing Company

Published: Jun 1, 2007

Keywords: Asian financial crisis foreign exchange market jump behavior Markov chain Monte Carlo stochastic volatility

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