Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
W. Laurance, M. Cochrane, S. Bergen, P. Fearnside, P. Delamônica, C. Barber, S. D'angelo, T. Fernandes (2001)
The Future of the Brazilian AmazonScience, 291
J. Terborgh, J. Weske (1969)
Colonization of Secondary Habitats by Peruvian BirdsEcology, 50
M. Waltert, A. Mardiastuti, M. Mühlenberg (2005)
Effects of deforestation and forest modification on understorey birds in Central Sulawesi, IndonesiaBird Conservation International, 15
Aide Tm, Grau Hr (2004)
Globalization, Migration, and Latin American EcosystemsScience, 305
B. Soares-Filho, D. Nepstad, L. Curran, G. Cerqueira, R. Garcia, Claudia Ramos, E. Voll, A. McDonald, P. Lefebvre, P. Schlesinger (2006)
Modelling conservation in the Amazon basinNature, 440
D. Bowman, J. Woinarski, D. Sands, A. Wells, V. McShane (1990)
Slash-and-burn agriculture in the wet coastal lowlands of Papua New Guinea: Response of birds, butterflies and reptilesJournal of Biogeography, 17
A. Smith, N. Horning, D. Moore (1997)
Regional Biodiversity Planning and Lemur Conservation with GIS in Western MadagascarConservation Biology, 11
Stephen Perz, D. Skole (2003)
Secondary Forest Expansion in the Brazilian Amazon and the Refinement of Forest Transition TheorySociety & Natural Resources, 16
Lewis Lewis, Phillips Phillips, Baker Baker, Lloyd Lloyd, Malhi Malhi, Almeida Almeida, Higuchi Higuchi, Laurance Laurance, Neill Neill, Silva Silva, Terborgh Terborgh, Lezama Lezama, Martinez Martinez, Brown Brown, Chave Chave, Kuebler Kuebler, Vargas Vargas, Vinceti Vinceti (2004)
Concerted changes in tropical forest structure and dynamics: Evidence from 50 South American long‐term plotsPhilosophic Trans. R. Soc. Lond. Biol. Sci. B., 359
R. Ernst, Mark‐Oliver Rödel (2005)
ANTHROPOGENICALLY INDUCED CHANGES OF PREDICTABILITY IN TROPICAL ANURAN ASSEMBLAGESEcology, 86
R. Chazdon (2003)
Tropical forest recovery: legacies of human impact and natural disturbancesPerspectives in Plant Ecology Evolution and Systematics, 6
Pearman Pearman (1997)
Correlates of amphibian diversity in an altered landscape of AmazonianEcuador. Conserv. Biol., 11
(1986)
Ecology of the leaf litter herpetofauna of a Neotropical rainforest
(1997)
Community composition and breeding success of Amazonian frogs in continuous forest and matrix aquatic sites
R. Medellín, M. Equihua (1998)
Mammal species richness and habitat use in rainforest and abandoned agricultural fields in Chiapas, MexicoJournal of Applied Ecology, 35
R. Dunn, T. Romdal (2005)
Mean latitudinal range sizes of bird assemblages in six Neotropical forest chronosequencesGlobal Ecology and Biogeography, 14
D. Tilman, R. May, C. Lehman, M. Nowak (1994)
Habitat destruction and the extinction debtNature, 371
J. Kanowski (2007)
Emerging Threats to Tropical ForestsAustral Ecology, 32
K. Green (1978)
Primate censusing in northern Colombia: A comparison of two techniquesPrimates, 19
T. Brooks, R. Mittermeier, C. Mittermeier, G. Fonseca, A. Rylands, W. Konstant, Penny Flick, J. Pilgrim, S. Oldfield, G. Magin, C. Hilton‐Taylor (2002)
Habitat Loss and Extinction in the Hotspots of BiodiversityConservation Biology, 16
S. Pawar, G. Rawat, B. Choudhury (2004)
Recovery of frog and lizard communities following primary habitat alteration in Mizoram, Northeast IndiaBMC Ecology, 4
J. Blake, Bette Loiselle (2001)
BIRD ASSEMBLAGES IN SECOND-GROWTH AND OLD-GROWTH FORESTS, COSTA RICA: PERSPECTIVES FROM MIST NETS AND POINT COUNTS, 118
R. Dunn (2004)
Recovery of Faunal Communities During Tropical Forest RegenerationConservation Biology, 18
D. Cleary, A. Mooers (2006)
Burning and logging differentially affect endemic vs. widely distributed butterfly species in BorneoDiversity and Distributions, 12
C. Fagan, C. Peres, J. Terborgh (2006)
Tropical forests: A protected-area strategy for the twenty-first century
P. Stouffer (1999)
Bird communities in two types of anthropogenic successional vegetation in Central AmazoniaThe Condor, 101
B. Brook, C. Bradshaw, L. Koh, N. Sodhi (2006)
Momentum Drives the Crash: Mass Extinction in the Tropics 1Biotropica, 38
D. Vallan (2002)
Effects of anthropogenic environmental changes on amphibian diversity in the rain forests of eastern MadagascarJournal of Tropical Ecology, 18
S. Wright, H. Muller‐Landau (2006)
The Future of Tropical Forest Species 1Biotropica, 38
J. Heinen (1992)
Comparisons of the Leaf Litter Herpetofauna in Abandoned Cacao Plantations and Primary Rain Forest in Costa Rica: Some Implications for Faunal Restoration1Biotropica, 24
S. Lewis, S. Lewis, O. Phillips, T. Baker, J. Lloyd, Y. Malhi, S. Almeida, N. Higuchi, W. Laurance, D. Neill, J. Silva, J. Silva, J. Terborgh, A. Lezama, R. Martinez, S. Brown, J. Chave, C. Kuebler, P. Vargas, B. Vinceti (2004)
Concerted changes in tropical forest structure and dynamics: evidence from 50 South American long-term plots.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 359 1443
C. Peres, F. Michalski (2006)
Synergistic effects of habitat disturbace and hunting in Amazonian forest fragments
Robert Smith, R. Muir, M. Walpole, A. Balmford, N. Leader‐Williams (2003)
Governance and the loss of biodiversityNature, 426
A. Lugo, E. Helmer (2004)
Emerging forests on abandoned land: Puerto Rico’s new forestsForest Ecology and Management, 190
C. Uhl, R. Buschbacher, E. Serrão (1988)
Abandoned pastures in eastern Amazonia. I. Patterns of plant successionJournal of Ecology, 76
Cheryl Fimbel (1994)
The relative use of abandoned farm clearings and old forest habitats by primates and a forest antelope at Tiwai, Sierra leone, West AfricaBiological Conservation, 70
J. Barlow, L. Mestre, T. Gardner, C. Peres (2007)
The value of primary, secondary and plantation forests for Amazonian birds.Biological Conservation, 136
A. Estrada, R. Coates‐Estrada, D. Meritt (1994)
Non flying mammals and landscape changes in the tropical rain forest region of Los Tuxtlas, MexicoEcography, 17
Crump Crump (1971)
Quantitative analysis of the ecological distribution of a tropical herpetofaunaOccasional Papers of the Museum of Natural History, University of Kansas, 3
I. Turner, Y. Wong, P. Chew, A. Ibrahim (1997)
Tree species richness in primary and old secondary tropical forest in SingaporeBiodiversity & Conservation, 6
Yong Cao, D. Williams, David Larsen (2002)
COMPARISON OF ECOLOGICAL COMMUNITIES: THE PROBLEM OF SAMPLE REPRESENTATIVENESSEcological Monographs, 72
T. Raman, G.S. Rawat, A. Johnsingh (1998)
Recovery of tropical rainforest avifauna in relation to vegetation succession following shifting cultivation in Mizoram, north‐east IndiaJournal of Applied Ecology, 35
L. Branch (1983)
Seasonal and habitat differences in the abundance of primates in the Amazon (Tapajos) National Park, BrazilPrimates, 24
S. Wright, H. Muller‐Landau (2006)
The Uncertain Future of Tropical Forest Species 1Biotropica, 38
T. Sorensen, L. Fedigan (2000)
Distribution of three monkey species along a gradient of regenerating tropical dry forestBiological Conservation, 92
M. Castelletta, N. Sodhi, R. Subaraj (2000)
Heavy Extinctions of Forest Avifauna in Singapore: Lessons for Biodiversity Conservation in Southeast AsiaConservation Biology, 14
T. O'Brien, M. Kinnaird, A. Nurcahyo, Maya Prasetyaningrum, M. Iqbal (2003)
Fire, demography and the persistence of siamang (Symphalangus syndactylus: Hylobatidae) in a Sumatran rainforestAnimal Conservation, 6
P. Pearman (1997)
Correlates of Amphibian Diversity in an Altered Landscape of Amazonian EcuadorConservation Biology, 11
S. Wright (2005)
Tropical forests in a changing environment.Trends in ecology & evolution, 20 10
(2005)
State of the world's forests. Food and agriculture organization
(2005)
Avifauna do Parque Nacional do Jaú: um estudo integrado em biogeografia
N. Sodhi, L. Koh, D. Prawiradilaga, Darjono, Idris Tinulele, Dadang Putra, T. Tan (2005)
Land use and conservation value for forest birds in Central Sulawesi (Indonesia)Biological Conservation, 122
B. Horne (1983)
DENSITY AS A MISLEADING INDICATOR OF HABITAT QUALITYJournal of Wildlife Management, 47
B. Brook, N. Sodhi, P. Ng (2003)
Catastrophic extinctions follow deforestation in SingaporeNature, 424
D. Brugière, J. Gautier, Augustin Moungazi, A. Gautier-hion (2002)
Primate Diet and Biomass in Relation to Vegetation Composition and Fruiting Phenology in a Rain Forest in GabonInternational Journal of Primatology, 23
J. García, Jésus (1997)
Distribution, status and conservation of primates in Monte Alen National Park, Equatorial GuineaOryx, 31
J. Silva, C. Uhl, G. Murray (1996)
Plant Succession, Landscape Management, and the Ecology of Frugivorous Birds in Abandoned Amazonian PasturesConservation Biology, 10
Germán Andrade, Heidi Rubio-Torgler (1994)
Sustainable Use of the Tropical Rain Forest: Evidence from the Avifauna in a Shifting-Cultivation Habitat Mosaic in the Colombian AmazonConservation Biology, 8
When supported by sufficient evidence , predictive analyses and scenario building can make important contributions towards devising conservation policy strategies. Wright and Muller‐Landau (2006a, henceforth termed WMLa) provide a timely analysis that attempts to predict the future of tropical forest species based on human population‐driven projections of tropical deforestation. Citing evidence of slowing population growth and rapid urbanization they suggest that deforestation rates are expected to decrease, and natural forest regeneration through secondary succession to accelerate. WMLa use their predictions of an increase in secondary forest area to paint an optimistic picture of the future, going so far as to suggest that the widely anticipated mass extinction of tropical forest species will be avoided (see also Aide & Grau 2004 ). Brook (2006, henceforth termed BBKS) reject the optimistic predictions of WMLa by reinforcing the importance of a number of original caveats made by WMLa, as well as raising additional objections. BBKS indicate that the relationship between rural and urban population growth and deforestation is too complex to be reliably predicted. They also argue that the negative effects of the heavy momentum set in motion by current patterns of deforestation and population growth ( i.e. , loss of
Biotropica – Wiley
Published: Jan 1, 2007
Read and print from thousands of top scholarly journals.
Already have an account? Log in
Bookmark this article. You can see your Bookmarks on your DeepDyve Library.
To save an article, log in first, or sign up for a DeepDyve account if you don’t already have one.
Copy and paste the desired citation format or use the link below to download a file formatted for EndNote
Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
All DeepDyve websites use cookies to improve your online experience. They were placed on your computer when you launched this website. You can change your cookie settings through your browser.