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MANAGEMENT EARNINGS FORECASTS: THEIR USEFULNESS AS A SOURCE OF FIRM‐SPECIFIC INFORMATION TO SECURITY ANALYSTS

MANAGEMENT EARNINGS FORECASTS: THEIR USEFULNESS AS A SOURCE OF FIRM‐SPECIFIC INFORMATION TO... Although managers frequently release earnings forecasts, little is known about how this information affects investor beliefs. This study compares changes in analyst earnings forecasts following the release of management forecasts: (1) to changes in analyst forecasts of a control sample of nonforecasting firms; and (2) between management forecasts with differing degrees of accuracy. The forecasting error of analyst estimates for firms releasing management forecasts decreases more rapidly than the errors associated with the control firms, which implies that management forecasts are useful. Analysts apparently are capable of determining which management forecasts are most accurate and responding appropriately. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png The Journal of Financial Research Wiley

MANAGEMENT EARNINGS FORECASTS: THEIR USEFULNESS AS A SOURCE OF FIRM‐SPECIFIC INFORMATION TO SECURITY ANALYSTS

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References (6)

Publisher
Wiley
Copyright
© The Southern Finance Association and the Southwestern Finance Association
ISSN
0270-2592
eISSN
1475-6803
DOI
10.1111/j.1475-6803.1988.tb00091.x
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Although managers frequently release earnings forecasts, little is known about how this information affects investor beliefs. This study compares changes in analyst earnings forecasts following the release of management forecasts: (1) to changes in analyst forecasts of a control sample of nonforecasting firms; and (2) between management forecasts with differing degrees of accuracy. The forecasting error of analyst estimates for firms releasing management forecasts decreases more rapidly than the errors associated with the control firms, which implies that management forecasts are useful. Analysts apparently are capable of determining which management forecasts are most accurate and responding appropriately.

Journal

The Journal of Financial ResearchWiley

Published: Dec 1, 1988

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