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A. Gerber, D. Green (1998)
Rational Learning and Partisan AttitudesAmerican Journal of Political Science, 42
Mark Fischle (2000)
Mass Response to the Lewinsky Scandal: Motivated Reasoning or BayesianUpdating?Political Psychology, 21
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The corresponding parameter estimates for 1990–1991
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William Jacoby (1988)
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Substantial majorities in the NES and other surveys typically support increases in spending for assistance to the poor, environmental protection, public schools, and social security
The three waves of the 1980 NES panel survey were conducted in January and February, June, and September and October. My analysis is based on data from 759 respondents inter-viewed
A. Campbell (1968)
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Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Bush is handling the economy? Do you approve [disapprove] strongly or not strongly?" 16. The corresponding parameter estimates for 1990-1991 are
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538, by the complement of the estimated weight attached to prior evaluations (1 − .622 = .378). The corresponding estimates of x t for the "High Information" and "Low Information
Partisanship is coded relative to that of the candidate or incumbent president in each instance
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other sources of error obscure the respondent's "true" attitude
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My analysis is based on data from 759 respondents interviewed in all three waves
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H. Cantril (2011)
The politics of despair
The table does not include questions tapping what Fiorina (
John Jackson (1975)
Issues, Party Choices, and Presidential VotesAmerican Journal of Political Science, 19
The High Information respondents are those scoring in the upper half of the sample on a political information scale derived from responses to factual questions in the NES survey
Martin Zechman (1979)
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Edward Leamer (1980)
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The patterns of responses in Figure 3
BEYOND THE RUNNING TALLY 147
M. Wattenberg (1985)
The Decline of American Political Parties 1952-1994
(1993)
the regression model in Equation 5 imposes an important simplification by treating the ratio of prior precision to posterior precision as a constant parameter rather than a variable
The parameter estimate for partisan bias in Table 1 implies shocks of −1.01 and −1.83, respectively, for strong Republicans and strong Democrats, by comparison with the estimated shock of −1
M. Fiorina (1977)
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My measure of partisanship is the NES 7-point party identification scale
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The detailed results for the individual regressions of partisanship on lagged partisanship and lagged evaluations
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(2002)
For much more extensive empirical investigations arriving at the same conclusion
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G. Markus (1982)
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M. Fiorina (1981)
Retrospective voting in American national elections
The value of − 1.42 is obtained by dividing the estimated intercept, − .538, by the complement of the estimated weight attached to prior evaluations (1 − .622 = .378)
Larry Bartels (1993)
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I examine the impact of long-term partisan loyalties on perceptions of specific political figures and events. In contrast to the notion of partisanship as a simple “running tally” of political assessments, I show that party identification is a pervasive dynamic force shaping citizens' perceptions of, and reactions to, the political world. My analysis employs panel data to isolate the impact of partisan bias in the context of a Bayesian model of opinion change; I also present more straightforward evidence of contrasts in Democrats' and Republicans' perceptions of “objective” politically relevant events. I conclude that partisan bias in political perceptions plays a crucial role in perpetuating and reinforcing sharp differences in opinion between Democrats and Republicans. This conclusion handsomely validates the emphasis placed by the authors of The American Voter on “the role of enduring partisan commitments in shaping attitudes toward political objects.”
Political Behavior – Springer Journals
Published: Oct 10, 2004
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