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Time-Series Implications of Aggregate Dividend Behavior

Time-Series Implications of Aggregate Dividend Behavior This article investigates the hypothesis that dividend changes are determined by changes in some measure of permanent earnings. The analysis employs two measures of permanent earnings and takes into account the nonstationarity of dividend and earnings series. This study finds that dynamic dividend behavior is accounted for primarily by changes in permanent earnings. dividends respond strongly to permanent changes in earnings without any significant overreaction, whereas they respond little, if at all, to transitory changes in earnings. The findings also suggest that the partial adjustment hypothesis, which assumes managers partially adjust dividends to a target dividend, performs better when the target dividend level is proportional to permanent earnings than when it is proportional to current earnings. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png The Review of Financial Studies Oxford University Press

Time-Series Implications of Aggregate Dividend Behavior

The Review of Financial Studies , Volume 9 (2) – Apr 3, 1996

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References (39)

Publisher
Oxford University Press
Copyright
Oxford University Press
ISSN
0893-9454
eISSN
1465-7368
DOI
10.1093/rfs/9.2.589
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

This article investigates the hypothesis that dividend changes are determined by changes in some measure of permanent earnings. The analysis employs two measures of permanent earnings and takes into account the nonstationarity of dividend and earnings series. This study finds that dynamic dividend behavior is accounted for primarily by changes in permanent earnings. dividends respond strongly to permanent changes in earnings without any significant overreaction, whereas they respond little, if at all, to transitory changes in earnings. The findings also suggest that the partial adjustment hypothesis, which assumes managers partially adjust dividends to a target dividend, performs better when the target dividend level is proportional to permanent earnings than when it is proportional to current earnings.

Journal

The Review of Financial StudiesOxford University Press

Published: Apr 3, 1996

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