Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
J. Logan, J. Powell (2001)
Ghost Forests, Global Warming and the Mountain Pine BeetleAmerican Entomologist, 173
T. Lenton (2011)
Early warning of climate tipping pointsNature Climate Change, 1
L. Schroeder (2007)
Escape in space from enemies: a comparison between stands with and without enhanced densities of the spruce bark beetleAgricultural and Forest Entomology, 9
M. Faccoli, F. Stergulc (2004)
Ips typographus (L.) pheromone trapping in south Alps: spring catches determine damage thresholdsJournal of Applied Entomology, 128
A. Bakke (1992)
Monitoring bark beetle populations: effects of temperature 1Journal of Applied Entomology, 114
KP Burnham, DR Anderson (2002)
Model selection and inference: a practical information-theoretic approach
J. Littell, Elaine Oneil, D. McKenzie, J. Hicke, J. Lutz, R. Norheim, M. Elsner (2010)
Forest ecosystems, disturbance, and climatic change in Washington State, USAClimatic Change, 102
M. Lombardero, M. Ayres, Bruce Ayres, J. Reeve (2000)
Cold Tolerance of Four Species of Bark Beetle (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) in North America, 29
S. Netherer, J. Pennerstorfer (2001)
Parameters Relevant for Modelling the Potential Development of Ips typographus (Coleoptera: Scolytidae)Integrated Pest Management Reviews, 6
M. Ayres, M. Lombardero (2000)
Assessing the consequences of global change for forest disturbance from herbivores and pathogens.The Science of the total environment, 262 3
B. Wermelinger, MarC. Seifert (1998)
Analysis of the temperature dependent development of the spruce bark beetle Ips typographus (L) (Col., Scolytidae)Journal of Applied Entomology, 122
B. Økland, A. Berryman (2004)
Resource dynamic plays a key role in regional fluctuations of the spruce bark beetles Ips typographusAgricultural and Forest Entomology, 6
Anne Franklin, C. Cannière, J. Grégoire (2004)
Can sales of infested timber be used to quantify attacks by Ips typographus (Coleoptera, Scolytidae)? A pilot study from BelgiumAnnals of Forest Science, 61
B Wermelinger (2004)
Ecology and management of the spruce bark beetle, Ips typographus—a review of recent researchFor Ecol Manag, 202
J. Trần, T. Ylioja, R. Billings, J. Régnière, M. Ayres, M. Ayres (2007)
Impact of minimum winter temperatures on the population dynamics of Dendroctonus frontalis.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America, 17 3
JK Tran, T Ylioja, R Billings, J Régnière, MP Ayres (2007)
Impact of minimum winter temperatures on the population dynamics of Dendroctonus frontalis (Coleoptera: Scolytinae)Ecol Appl, 17
B. Bentz, J. Régnière, C. Fettig, E. Hansen, J. Hayes, J. Hicke, R. Kelsey, J. Negrón, S. Seybold (2010)
Climate Change and Bark Beetles of the Western United States and Canada: Direct and Indirect Effects, 60
R. Seidl, M. Schelhaas, M. Lindner, M. Lexer (2009)
Modelling bark beetle disturbances in a large scale forest scenario model to assess climate change impacts and evaluate adaptive management strategiesRegional Environmental Change, 9
B. Wermelinger (2002)
Development and distribution of predators and parasitoids during two consecutive years of an Ips typographus (Col., Scolytidae) infestationJournal of Applied Entomology, 126
P. Baier, E. Führer, T. Kirisits, S. Rosner (2002)
Defence reactions of Norway spruce against bark beetles and the associated fungus Ceratocystis polonica in secondary pure and mixed species standsForest Ecology and Management, 159
J. Logan, W. Macfarlane, Louisa Willcox (2010)
Whitebark pine vulnerability to climate-driven mountain pine beetle disturbance in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America, 20 4
CD Allen, AK Macalady, H Chenchouni (2010)
A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forestsFor Ecol Manag, 259
A. Jönsson, Gustaf Appelberg, S. Harding, L. Bärring (2009)
Spatio‐temporal impact of climate change on the activity and voltinism of the spruce bark beetle, Ips typographusGlobal Change Biology, 15
K. Burnham, David Anderson (2003)
Model selection and multimodel inference : a practical information-theoretic approachJournal of Wildlife Management, 67
D. Breshears, O. Myers, C. Meyer, F. Barnes, C. Zou, C. Allen, N. McDowell, W. Pockman (2009)
Tree die-off in response to global change-type drought: mortality insights from a decade of plant water potential measurements.Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 7
K. Raffa, B. Aukema, B. Bentz, A. Carroll, J. Hicke, M. Turner, W. Romme (2008)
Cross-scale Drivers of Natural Disturbances Prone to Anthropogenic Amplification: The Dynamics of Bark Beetle Eruptions, 58
H. Lange, B. Økland, P. Krokene (2006)
Thresholds in the life cycle of the spruce bark beetle under climate change
G. Rouault, J. Candau, F. Lieutier, L. Nageleisen, Jean-Claude Martin, Nathalie Warzée (2006)
Effects of drought and heat on forest insect populations in relation to the 2003 drought in Western EuropeAnnals of Forest Science, 63
M Faccoli (2002)
Winter mortality in sub-corticicolous populations of Ips typographus (Coleoptera, Scolytidae) and its parasitoids in the south-eastern AlpsJ Pest Sci, 75
A. Jönsson, S. Harding, P. Krokene, H. Lange, Å. Lindelöw, B. Økland, H. Ravn, L. Schroeder (2011)
Modelling the potential impact of global warming on Ips typographus voltinism and reproductive diapauseClimatic Change, 109
P. Baier, J. Pennerstorfer, A. Schopf (2007)
PHENIPS—A comprehensive phenology model of Ips typographus (L.) (Col., Scolytinae) as a tool for hazard rating of bark beetle infestationForest Ecology and Management, 249
V. Košťál, Petr Doležal, J. Rozsypal, M. Moravcová, H. Zahradníčková, Petr Šimek (2011)
Physiological and biochemical analysis of overwintering and cold tolerance in two Central European populations of the spruce bark beetle, Ips typographus.Journal of insect physiology, 57 8
Maria Lombardero, M. Ayres, P. Lorio, J. Ruel (2000)
Environmental effects on constitutive and inducible resin defences of Pinus taedaEcology Letters, 3
S. Behmer, A. Joern, Angela Smilanich (2012)
Insect outbreaks revisited.
Y. E, G. R, Y. S, N. N, R. K, T. R, E. L, A. E, N. N, J. R, J. N, E. D, R. N, S. Y, T. N, R. H, D. H, D. T, J. H, N. T (2001)
Herbivory in global climate change research: direct effects of rising temperature on insect herbivores
P Baier, E Führer, T Kirisits, S Rosner (2002)
Comparison of defence reactions of Norway spruce against bark beetles and the associated fungus Ceratocystis polonica in secondary pure and mixed species standsFor Ecol Manag, 159
C. Allen, A. Macalady, Haroun Chenchouni, D. Bachelet, N. McDowell, M. Vennetier, T. Kitzberger, A. Rigling, D. Breshears, E. Hogg, P. Gonzalez, R. Fensham, Zhen Zhang, J. Castro, N. Demidova, Jong-Hwan Lim, G. Allard, S. Running, Akkın Semerci, N. Cobb (2010)
A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forestsForest Ecology and Management, 259
M. Faccoli (2002)
Winter mortality in sub-corticolous populations of Ips typographus (Coleoptera, Scolytidae) and its parasitoids in the south-eastern AlpsAnzeiger für Schädlingskunde = Journal of pest science, 75
MJ Lombardero, MP Ayres, PL Lorio, JJ Ruel (2000)
Environmental effects on constitutive and inducible resin defenses of loblolly pineEcol Lett, 3
M. Klapwijk, M. Ayres, A. Battisti, S. Larsson (2012)
Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Outbreak Potential
Richard Alley, T. Berntsen, N.L. Bindoff, Zhenlin Chen, A. Chidthaisong, Pierre Friedlingstein, Jonathan Gregory, Gabriele Hegerl, Martin Heimann, Bruce Hewitson, Brian Hoskins, Fortunat Joos, J. Jouzel, V. Kattsov, Ulrike Lohmann, Martin Manning, Taroh Matsuno, Mario Molina, N. Nicholls, J. Overpeck, D. Qin, Graciela Raga, Venkatachalam Ramaswamy, Jiawen Ren, M. Rusticucci, S. Solomon, Richard Somerville, T. Stocker, Peter Stott, Ronald Stouffer, P. Whetton, Richard Wood, D. Wratt, J. Arblaster, Guy Brasseur, J. Christensen, Kenneth Denman, D. Fahey, Piers Forster, E. Jansen, P. Jones, R. Knutti, H. Treut, Peter Lemke, G. Meehl, P. Mote, David Randall, Dáithí Stone, K. Trenberth, J. Willebrand, F. Zwiers (2007)
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis
JA Logan, JA Powell (2001)
Ghost forests, global warming and the mountain pine beetle (Coleoptera: Scolytidae)Am Entomol, 47
S. Martinson, R. Hofstetter, M. Ayres (2007)
Why does longleaf pine have low susceptibility to southern pine beetleCanadian Journal of Forest Research, 37
A. Battisti, M. Stastny, E. Buffo, S. Larsson (2006)
A rapid altitudinal range expansion in the pine processionary moth produced by the 2003 climatic anomalyGlobal Change Biology, 12
M. Faccoli (2009)
Effect of Weather on Ips typographus (Coleoptera Curculionidae) Phenology, Voltinism, and Associated Spruce Mortality in the Southeastern Alps, 38
R. Seppälä, A. Buck, P. Katila (2009)
Adaptation of forests and people to climate change - a global assessment report., 22
M. Faccoli, I. Bernardinelli (2011)
Breeding performance of the second generation in some bivoltine populations of Ips typographus (Coleoptera Curculionidae) in the south-eastern AlpsJournal of Pest Science, 84
L. Safranyik, A. Carroll, J. Régnière, D. Langor, W. Riel, T. Shore, Brian Peter, Barry Cooke, V. Nealis, Stephen Taylor (2010)
Potential for Range Expansion of Mountain Pine Beetle into the Boreal Forest of North America, 142
H. Jactel, Jérôme Petit, M. Desprez-Loustau, S. Delzon, D. Piou, A. Battisti, J. Koricheva (2012)
Drought effects on damage by forest insects and pathogens: a meta‐analysisGlobal Change Biology, 18
E Annila (1969)
Influence of temperature upon development and voltinism of Ips typographus L. (Coleoptera, Scolytidae)Ann Zool Fenn, 6
Kyrre Kausrud, B. Økland, O. Skarpaas, J. Grégoire, N. Erbilgin, N. Stenseth (2012)
Population dynamics in changing environments: the case of an eruptive forest pest speciesBiological Reviews, 87
Nicholas Friedenberg, S. Sarkar, N. Kouchoukos, R. Billings, M. Ayres (2008)
Temperature Extremes, Density Dependence, and Southern Pine Beetle (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) Population Dynamics in East Texas, 37
W. Landman (2010)
Climate change 2007: the physical science basisSouth African Geographical Journal, 92
P Baier, J Pennerstorfer, A Schopf (2007)
PHENIPS—a comprehensive phenology model of Ips typographus (L.) (Col., Scolytinae) as a tool for hazard rating of bark beetle infestationFor Ecol Manag, 249
Petr Doležal, František Sehnal (2007)
Effects of photoperiod and temperature on the development and diapause of the bark beetle Ips typographusJournal of Applied Entomology, 131
H Schmidt-Vogt (1977)
Die Fichte
B. Okland, O. Bjørnstad (2006)
A resource-depletion model of forest insect outbreaks.Ecology, 87 2
B. Wermelinger (2004)
Ecology and management of the spruce bark beetle Ips typographus—a review of recent researchForest Ecology and Management, 202
K. Barton (2009)
MuMIn : multi-model inference, R package version 0.12.0
(2007)
Report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change
R. Seidl, W. Rammer, M. Lexer (2011)
Climate change vulnerability of sustainable forest management in the Eastern AlpsClimatic Change, 106
Temperature warming and the increased frequency of climatic anomalies are expected to trigger bark beetle outbreaks with potential severe consequences on forest ecosystems. We characterized the combined effects of climatic factors and density-dependent feedbacks on forest damage caused by Ips typographus (L.), one of the most destructive pests of European spruce forests, and tested whether climate modified the interannual variation in the altitudinal outbreak range of the species. We analyzed a 16-year time-series from the European Alps of timber loss in Picea abies Karsten forests due to I. typographus attacks and used a discrete population model and an information theoretic approach to compare multiple competing hypotheses. The occurrence of dry summers combined with warm temperatures appeared as the main abiotic triggers of severity of outbreaks. We also found an endogenous negative feedback with a 2-year lag suggesting a potential important role of natural enemies. Forest damage per hectare averaged 7-fold higher where spruce was planted in sites warmer than those within its historical climatic range. Dry summers, but not temperature, was related to upward shifts in the altitudinal outbreak range. Considering the potential increased susceptibility of spruce forests to insect outbreaks due to climate change, there is growing value in mitigating these effects through sustainable forest management, which includes avoiding the promotion of spruce outside its historical climatic range.
Climatic Change – Springer Journals
Published: Apr 28, 2012
Read and print from thousands of top scholarly journals.
Already have an account? Log in
Bookmark this article. You can see your Bookmarks on your DeepDyve Library.
To save an article, log in first, or sign up for a DeepDyve account if you don’t already have one.
Copy and paste the desired citation format or use the link below to download a file formatted for EndNote
Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
All DeepDyve websites use cookies to improve your online experience. They were placed on your computer when you launched this website. You can change your cookie settings through your browser.