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Can we Estimate the Likelihood of Climatic Changes at 2100?

Can we Estimate the Likelihood of Climatic Changes at 2100? CAN WE ESTIMATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF CLIMATIC CHANGES AT 2100? An Editorial Comment Why This Editorial? In 1988, in the wake of massive heat waves in North America, James Hansen, Director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City, garnered international publicity for asserting that it was time to stop ‘waffling’ and accept the fact that the increase in temperature trends in the late twentieth century were likely to be due to human activities, in particular global warming induced by greenhouse gas increases. This controversial assertion earned for Jim Hansen the enmity of many in the fossil fuel industry and the praise of environmental groups. Therefore, twelve years later when Hansen and colleagues published a paper in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science in August 2000 (Hansen et al., 2000) that some of Hansen’s original detractors labeled a ‘recantation’, this, too, generated a great deal of controversy. Hansen et al. laid out a number of points, including a proposed low CO emission scenario based upon trends of CO 2 2 increase in the past decade, which he details in a Response (Hansen, 2002) in this issue of Climatic Change to a critical Editorial http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Climatic Change Springer Journals

Can we Estimate the Likelihood of Climatic Changes at 2100?

Schneider, Stephen
Climatic Change , Volume 52 (4) – Oct 10, 2004
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References (20)

Publisher
Springer Journals
Copyright
Copyright © 2002 by Kluwer Academic Publishers
Subject
Earth Sciences; Atmospheric Sciences; Climate Change/Climate Change Impacts
ISSN
0165-0009
eISSN
1573-1480
DOI
10.1023/A:1014276210717
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

CAN WE ESTIMATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF CLIMATIC CHANGES AT 2100? An Editorial Comment Why This Editorial? In 1988, in the wake of massive heat waves in North America, James Hansen, Director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City, garnered international publicity for asserting that it was time to stop ‘waffling’ and accept the fact that the increase in temperature trends in the late twentieth century were likely to be due to human activities, in particular global warming induced by greenhouse gas increases. This controversial assertion earned for Jim Hansen the enmity of many in the fossil fuel industry and the praise of environmental groups. Therefore, twelve years later when Hansen and colleagues published a paper in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science in August 2000 (Hansen et al., 2000) that some of Hansen’s original detractors labeled a ‘recantation’, this, too, generated a great deal of controversy. Hansen et al. laid out a number of points, including a proposed low CO emission scenario based upon trends of CO 2 2 increase in the past decade, which he details in a Response (Hansen, 2002) in this issue of Climatic Change to a critical Editorial

Journal

Climatic Change – Springer Journals

Published: Oct 10, 2004

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