Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
J. Christian, V. Arora, G. Boer, C. Curry, Konstantin Zahariev, K. Denman, G. Flato, W. Lee, W. Merryfield, N. Roulet, J. Scinocca (2010)
The global carbon cycle in the Canadian Earth system model (CanESM1): Preindustrial control simulationJournal of Geophysical Research, 115
K. Hibbard, G. Meehl, P. Cox, P. Friedlingstein (2007)
A strategy for climate change stabilization experimentsEos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 88
H. Matthews, N. Gillett, P. Stott, K. Zickfeld (2009)
The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissionsNature, 459
R. A. Houghton (2008)
TRENDS: A Compendium of Data on Global ChangeNature
M. Allen, D. Frame, C. Huntingford, C. Jones, J. Lowe, M. Meinshausen, N. Meinshausen (2009)
Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonneNature, 458
K. A. Hibbard, G. A. Meehl, P. M. Cox, P. Friedlingstein (2007)
A strategy for climate change stabilization experimentsGlobal Biogeochem. Cycles, 88
R. Houghton (2001)
Carbon Flux to the Atmosphere from Land-Use Changes: 1850 to 1990
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment Canada
J. Scinocca, N. McFarlane, M. Lazare, Jiangnan Li, D. Plummer (2008)
Technical Note: The CCCma third generation AGCM and its extension into the middle atmosphereAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 8
K. Matsumoto, N. Gruber (2005)
How accurate is the estimation of anthropogenic carbon in the ocean? An evaluation of the ΔC* methodAtmos. Chem. Phys., 19
V. Arora, G. Boer (2010)
Uncertainties in the 20th century carbon budget associated with land use changeGlobal Change Biology, 16
Richard Alley, T. Berntsen, N.L. Bindoff, Zhenlin Chen, A. Chidthaisong, Pierre Friedlingstein, Jonathan Gregory, Gabriele Hegerl, Martin Heimann, Bruce Hewitson, Brian Hoskins, Fortunat Joos, J. Jouzel, V. Kattsov, Ulrike Lohmann, Martin Manning, Taroh Matsuno, Mario Molina, N. Nicholls, J. Overpeck, D. Qin, Graciela Raga, Venkatachalam Ramaswamy, Jiawen Ren, M. Rusticucci, S. Solomon, Richard Somerville, T. Stocker, Peter Stott, Ronald Stouffer, P. Whetton, Richard Wood, D. Wratt, J. Arblaster, Guy Brasseur, J. Christensen, Kenneth Denman, D. Fahey, Piers Forster, E. Jansen, P. Jones, R. Knutti, H. Treut, Peter Lemke, G. Meehl, P. Mote, David Randall, Dáithí Stone, K. Trenberth, J. Willebrand, F. Zwiers (2007)
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis
V. Arora, G. Boer, J. Christian, C. Curry, K. Denman, Konstantin Zahariev, G. Flato, J. Scinocca, W. Merryfield, W. Lee (2009)
The Effect of Terrestrial Photosynthesis Down Regulation on the Twentieth-Century Carbon Budget Simulated with the CCCma Earth System ModelJournal of Climate, 22
(2007)
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate ChangeClim. Change
K. L. Denman (2007)
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate ChangeEos Trans. AGU
Katsumi Matsumoto, N. Gruber (2005)
How accurate is the estimation of anthropogenic carbon in the ocean? An evaluation of the ΔC* methodGlobal Biogeochemical Cycles, 19
V. Arora, H. Matthews (2009)
Characterizing uncertainty in modeling primary terrestrial ecosystem processesGlobal Biogeochemical Cycles, 23
E. Roeckner, M. Giorgetta, T. Crueger, M. Esch, J. Pongratz (2011)
Historical and future anthropogenic emission pathways derived from coupled climate–carbon cycle simulationsClimatic Change, 105
C. L. Sabine, R. A. Feely (2007)
Greenhouse Gas Sinks
T. Barker, I. Bashmakov, A. Alharthi, M. Ammann, Luis Cifuentes, J. Drexhage, Duan Mao-sheng, O. Edenhofer, B. Flannery, M. Grubb, M. Hoogwijk, F. Ibitoye, C. Jepma, W. Pizer, K. Yamaji, S. Awerbuch, L. Bernstein, A. Faaij, Hitoshi Hayami, Tom-Reiel Heggedal, S. Kverndokk, John Latham, A. Michaelowa, D. Popp, Peter Read, S. Schleicher, Michael Smith, F. Tóth, B. Metz, O. Davidson, P. Bosch, R. Dave, L. Meyer (2007)
Mitigation from a cross-sectoral perspective
C. Sabine, R. Feely, D. Reay, C. Hewitt, K. Smith, J. Grace (2007)
The oceanic sink for carbon dioxide.
W. Landman (2010)
Climate change 2007: the physical science basisSouth African Geographical Journal, 92
S. Solomon (2007)
The Physical Science Basis : Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 996
P. Peylin, P. Ciais, Corinne Quéré, P. Friedlingstein (2000)
Regional changes in carbon dioxide fluxes of land and oceans since 1980.Science, 290 5495
S. Menon, K. Denman, G. Brasseur, A. Chidthaisong, P. Ciais, P. Cox, R. Dickinson, D. Hauglustaine, C. Heinze, E. Holland, D. Jacob, U. Lohmann, S. Ramachandran, P. Dias, S. Wofsy, Xiaoye Zhang (2007)
Couplings between changes in the climate system and biogeochemistry
The response of the second‐generation Canadian earth system model (CanESM2) to historical (1850–2005) and future (2006–2100) natural and anthropogenic forcing is assessed using the newly‐developed representative concentration pathways (RCPs) of greenhouse gases (GHGs) and aerosols. Allowable emissions required to achieve the future atmospheric CO2 concentration pathways, are reported for the RCP 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. For the historical 1850–2005 period, cumulative land plus ocean carbon uptake and, consequently, cumulative diagnosed emissions compare well with observation‐based estimates. The simulated historical carbon uptake is somewhat weaker for the ocean and stronger for the land relative to their observation‐based estimates. The simulated historical warming of 0.9°C compares well with the observation‐based estimate of 0.76 ± 0.19°C. The RCP 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios respectively yield warmings of 1.4, 2.3, and 4.9°C and cumulative diagnosed fossil fuel emissions of 182, 643 and 1617 Pg C over the 2006–2100 period. The simulated warming of 2.3°C over the 1850–2100 period in the RCP 2.6 scenario, with the lowest concentration of GHGs, is slightly larger than the 2°C warming target set to avoid dangerous climate change by the 2009 UN Copenhagen Accord. The results of this study suggest that limiting warming to roughly 2°C by the end of this century is unlikely since it requires an immediate ramp down of emissions followed by ongoing carbon sequestration in the second half of this century.
Geophysical Research Letters – Wiley
Published: Apr 16, 2012
Keywords: ; ; ;
Read and print from thousands of top scholarly journals.
Already have an account? Log in
Bookmark this article. You can see your Bookmarks on your DeepDyve Library.
To save an article, log in first, or sign up for a DeepDyve account if you don’t already have one.
Copy and paste the desired citation format or use the link below to download a file formatted for EndNote
Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
All DeepDyve websites use cookies to improve your online experience. They were placed on your computer when you launched this website. You can change your cookie settings through your browser.