MURIEL ATKIN (Washington, DC, U.S.A.) TAJIKISTAN: A CASE STUDY FOR CONFLICT POTENTIAL* Introduction It is too late to look for warning signs of impending conflict in Tajikistan. Civil war has already wracked that country, leaving unknown tens of thou- sands dead, many more displaced and large sections of the country dam- aged. The fighting was at its most intense from mid-1992 to early 1993 but has continued at varying levels of intensity since then. Peace negotiations which begun in 1994 finally resulted in terms for a settlement signed in 1997. However, that has not yet restored peace to Tajikistan, nor does it ' include all the contending factions. Implementation of the peace agreement began in earnest in 1998, but has been beset with numerous difficulties. Some of the problems which caused the civil war to break out in the first place still bedevil Tajikistani politics; these are compounded by additional points of conflict which have evolved since the start of the war. At the heart of the conflict in Tajikistan is a struggle for power. With the weakening and then demise of the Soviet order, with its clear system of the privileged and the excluded, different factions began
The Soviet and Post Soviet Review – Brill
Published: Jan 1, 1997
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