MEETING SUMMARIES WORKSHOP ON MONSOON CLIMATE SYSTEMS Toward Better Prediction of the Monsoon BY KENNETH R. SPERBER AN D TETSUZO YASUNARI he Earths monsoon systems are the lifeblood MONSOON CLIMATE SYSTEMS WORKSHOP of more than two-thirds of the world's population through the rainfall they provide to the mainly WHAT: More than 60 experts gathered to assess the agrarian societies they influence. In some cases current understanding of monsoon variability the monsoon is remarkably regular, for example, and highlight outstanding problems simulating over India the interannual standard deviation of the monsoon. the rainfall is about 10% of the annual mean, but WHEN: I5-I7 June 2005 the perturbations are strong enough to lead to f California, Irvine WHERE: University o natural disasters resulting from flood or drought and associated land-use impacts. During the course of the monsoon season there can also be strong variations times, and mitigation of potential flooding and short- in rainfall. Intraseasonal (30-60 day) oscillations term drought. Poor simulation of the ISO has been a (ISOs) influence the onset of the monsoon and give pervasive problem in all scales of modeling. Though rise to protracted active (i.e., enhanced) and break there are exceptions to this latter statement, attempts
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – American Meteorological Society
Published: Oct 1, 2006
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