The Future of Humans in an Increasingly Automated Forecast Process

The Future of Humans in an Increasingly Automated Forecast Process THE FUTURE OF HUMANS IN A N INCREASINGLY AUTOMATED FORECAST PROCESS , PARTICK S. MARKET, BRUCE TELFEYAN, GARY M. LACKMANN, KENNETH CAREY, BY NEIL A . STUART HAROLD E. BROOKS, DANIEL NIETFELD, BRIAN C . MOTTA, AND KEN REEVES The meteorological community is considering new roles for forecasters as increased accuracy in computer-generated weather forecasts continues t o reduce the need for human intervention. orative effort of the forecast community to iden- ur role as human s in the forecast process has been a very sensitive and highly debated issue tif y th e ways in which these roles might continue to withi n the meteorological profession since change in the future. the advent of numerical weather prediction (NWP) Reliance on NW P model guidance to initialize a models in the 1960s. NW P model guidance contin- gridded forecast database has become particularly ues to improve to such a degree that forecasters are evident in the National Weather Service (NWS) since discovering their ability to add value to NW P model the late 1990s. Since then, forecasting has shifted fro m forecasts is outpaced (Brooks et al. 1996). This has the manual production of text-based forecasts to the resulted http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society

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Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Copyright
Copyright © American Meteorological Society
ISSN
1520-0477
eISSN
1520-0477
D.O.I.
10.1175/BAMS-87-11-1497
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

THE FUTURE OF HUMANS IN A N INCREASINGLY AUTOMATED FORECAST PROCESS , PARTICK S. MARKET, BRUCE TELFEYAN, GARY M. LACKMANN, KENNETH CAREY, BY NEIL A . STUART HAROLD E. BROOKS, DANIEL NIETFELD, BRIAN C . MOTTA, AND KEN REEVES The meteorological community is considering new roles for forecasters as increased accuracy in computer-generated weather forecasts continues t o reduce the need for human intervention. orative effort of the forecast community to iden- ur role as human s in the forecast process has been a very sensitive and highly debated issue tif y th e ways in which these roles might continue to withi n the meteorological profession since change in the future. the advent of numerical weather prediction (NWP) Reliance on NW P model guidance to initialize a models in the 1960s. NW P model guidance contin- gridded forecast database has become particularly ues to improve to such a degree that forecasters are evident in the National Weather Service (NWS) since discovering their ability to add value to NW P model the late 1990s. Since then, forecasting has shifted fro m forecasts is outpaced (Brooks et al. 1996). This has the manual production of text-based forecasts to the resulted

Journal

Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyAmerican Meteorological Society

Published: Nov 8, 2006

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