AbstractPredicting tropical cyclone (TC) activity becomes more important every year while our understanding of what factors impact them continues to be complicated. El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is one of the primary factors impacting the activities in both the Pacific and the Atlantic but an extensive examination of the fluctuation in this system has yet to be studied in its entirety. In this article, we analyze the ENSO impacts on the Atlantic tropical cyclone activity during the assessed warm and cold years to show the dominant centennial scale variation impact. We look to plausibly link this variation to the Southern Ocean Centennial Variability, which is rarely mentioned in any factors affecting the Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. This centennial variability could be used to enhance future work related to predicting tropical cyclones.
Earth Interactions – American Meteorological Society
Published: Dec 12, 2017
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