The CBLAST-Hurricane Program and the Next- Generation Fully Coupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Models for Hurricane Research and Prediction BY SHUY I S. CHEN , JAME S F. PRICE, WE I ZHAO , MAR K A . DONELAN , AN D EDWAR D J . WALS H h e record-setting 2005 hurrican e season has sphere-wave-ocea n modeling system tha t is capable highlighte d the urgent need for a better under- of resolvin g th e eye an d eyewall at ~l-k m grid resolu- Tstandin g of the factors tha t contribute to hurri- tion , whic h is consisten t wit h a ke y recommendation can e intensity, an d for th e development of correspond- for th e next-generatio n hurricane-prediction models A Science Advisor Board Hurricane ing advanced hurricane prediction models to improve b y the NOA intensity forecasts. The lack of skill in present forecasts Intensit y Research Workin g Group. It is also th e Na- tiona l Center s for Environmenta l Prediction (NCEP) of hurrican e intensity may be attributed, in part , to de- ficiencies in th e curren t prediction models—insufficient pla n for the new Hurricane Weather Research and
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – American Meteorological Society
Published: Mar 1, 2007
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