C A i \ r A BOOK REVIEWS FORECAST VERIFICATION: A PRACTITIONER'S GUIDE I N ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE Ian T. Jolliffe and David B. Stephenson, Eds., 2003, 254 pp., $95.00, hardbound, John Wiley & Sons, ISBN 0-471-49759-2 lution, discrimination, and sharpness [as suggested by orecast Verification: A Practitioners Guide in At- mospheric Science, edited by Ian T. Jolliffe and Murphy and Winkler (1987)], and for "goodness," of which Murphy (1993) identified three types: consis- David B. Stephenson, is a fairly tightly coupled set of chapters written by generally well-known ex- tency, quality (accuracy or skill), and value (utility). They also note that in order to quantify the value of a perts (in some cases, perhaps more so in Europe than in North America) in verification and, especially, in forecast, a baseline is needed, and that persistence, cli- matology, and randomization are common baselines. the subjects of their particular chapters. In a book in which sections or chapters are written by different au- While development of objective forecasting sys- thors, one asks the questions, 1) how tems is not the subject of the book and gets little di- well do the individual chapters read rect treatment (other than ensembles), the authors
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – American Meteorological Society
Published: Apr 1, 2004
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