Global Warming Less Than Predicted science in UAH's Earth System Science Laboratory Bone-chilling temperatures in the Midwest and North- (ESSL), and Richard McNider, associate professor of east this winter indicate that global warming may be on mathematics and ESSL director, generated a math- hold. ematics model to calculate just how much volcanoes and warming and cooling events in the tropical Pacific Researchers from the National Climatic Data Cen- Ocean have affected earth's temperature since 1979. ter (NCDC) in Asheville, North Carolina, and the When the effects of these natural forces were re- University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH) have con- moved from the temperature record, Christy and firmed in separate reports that surface temperature McNider found a global warming trend of 0.09°C per changes in 1993 have risen only 0.2°C above the 30- decade—a trend so small it could represent nothing year average ending in 1980, or only one-fourth as more than natural variations in the global climate; or it much as the global warming that was predicted based could be the magnitude of an enhance greenhouse on the enhanced greenhouse effect. effect. Research teams from both institutions attribute the Christy and McNider also attributed Pacific Ocean effects from
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – American Meteorological Society
Published: Mar 1, 1994
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