"Millennium Perspectives" is a special year-long section celebrating the new millennium. AMS Fellows, as recognized leaders in the fields served by the AMS, were asked to reflect on the close of this millennium and contribute brief essays on what they believe were significant issues or developments in the atmospheric and related oceanic and hydrologic sciences. They were also asked to predict what they believe will be the great challenges or developments yet to come. A selection of essays will be published throughout the 2000 volume year. We thank those Fellows who have and continue to share their thoughts. We hope you find "Millennium Perspectives" interesting as well as thought provoking. crease and an unprecedented prosperity (and resource Throughout human experience—indeed, for more consumption), all achieved in a short period of time. than one million years—the world's peoples have operated on three unchanging (and ultimately incor- Short compared with what? rect) premises: • the timescale of most climate variability • the assimilative capacity of the atmosphere is in- • the recurrence time between geophysical extreme finite, events • the time required for the emergence of unintended • climate is unchanging, and • weather is inherently unpredictable. consequences We can therefore
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – American Meteorological Society
Published: Jun 1, 2000
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