PREDICTING DROUGHT ON SEASONAL-TO-DECADAL TIME SCALES BY SIEGFRIED SCHUBERT, RANDA L KOSTER, MARTI N HOERLING , RICHAR D SEAGER, DENNI S LETTENMAIER, ARU N KUMAR, AN D DAVID GUTZLER rought, especially prolonged multiyear drought, OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING REQUIREMENTS FOR has tremendous societal and economic impacts on the United States and many other countries D PREDICTING DROUGHT ON SEASONAL-TO-DECADAL throughou t the world. Estimates of the costs of TIME SCALES drough t to the United States alone range from $6 to $8 billion annually, with major droughts costing WHAT : More than 100 drough t researchers and substantiall y more (e.g., $39 billion in 1988). In other s fro m multiple nations me t t o accelerate Apri l 2003 the Western Governors' Association, program s o n drough t prediction, and t o facilitate wate r management and agricultural applications i n partnershi p with the National Oceanic and fo r th e Americas. Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) wrote a report WHEN : 17-19 Ma y 2005 titled "Creating a drought early warning system for WHERE : University of Maryland the 21st century: The National Integrated Drought Informatio n System" (NIDIS 2004). The basic idea behin d the National Integrated
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – American Meteorological Society
Published: Oct 1, 2007
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