Global Climate Change and Tropical Cyclones James Lighthill,* Greg Hollands William Gray,# Christopher Landsea,# George Craig,@ Jenni Evans,& Yoshio Kurihara,** and Charles Guard++ Abstract The authors conclude that, even though the possibility of some minor indirect effects of global warming on TC frequency and intensity cannot be excluded, they must effectively be "swamped" by large This paper offers an overview of the authors' studies during a natural variability. specialized international symposium (Mexico, 22 November-1 De- cember 1993) where they aimed at making an objective assessment of whether climate changes, consequent on an expected doubling of atmospheric C0 in the next six or seven decades, are likely to 1. Introduction increase significantly the frequency or intensity of tropical cyclones (TC). Out of three methodologies available for addressing the ques- tion they employ two, discarding the third for reasons set out in the As part of the joint World Meteorological Organiza- appendix. tion/International Council of Scientific Unions (WMO/ In the first methodology, the authors enumerate reasons why, in ICSU) program on tropical cyclone disasters it was tropical oceans, the increase in sea surface temperature (SST) agreed that the WMO/ICSU Third International Work- suggested by climate change models might be expected to
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – American Meteorological Society
Published: Nov 1, 1994
It’s your single place to instantly
discover and read the research
that matters to you.
Enjoy affordable access to
over 12 million articles from more than
10,000 peer-reviewed journals.
All for just $49/month
Read as many articles as you need. Full articles with original layout, charts and figures. Read online, from anywhere.
Keep up with your field with Personalized Recommendations and Follow Journals to get automatic updates.
It’s easy to organize your research with our built-in tools.
Read from thousands of the leading scholarly journals from SpringerNature, Elsevier, Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford University Press and more.
All the latest content is available, no embargo periods.
“Hi guys, I cannot tell you how much I love this resource. Incredible. I really believe you've hit the nail on the head with this site in regards to solving the research-purchase issue.”Daniel C.
“Whoa! It’s like Spotify but for academic articles.”@Phil_Robichaud
“I must say, @deepdyve is a fabulous solution to the independent researcher's problem of #access to #information.”@deepthiw
“My last article couldn't be possible without the platform @deepdyve that makes journal papers cheaper.”@JoseServera