Climate Prediction as an Initial Value Problem Comments on AMS Policy Statement on Tornado Forecasting and Warning Comments on ''Regional Real-Time Numerical Weather Prediction: Current Status and Future Potential" Comparison between TOVS/HIRS and SSM/T-2-Derived Upper-Tropospheric Humidity Climate Prediction as an Initial Value "free climatic variations in which the underlying sur- face plays an essential role may therefore be physically Proble m possible." One set of commonly used definitions of weather There have been no model experiments to assess and climate distinguishes these terms in the context climate prediction in which atmosphere-ocean-land of prediction: weather is considered an initial value surface processes were included. Existing papers on problem, while climate is assumed to be a boundary this subject have been limited to coupled atmosphere- value problem. Another perspective holds that climate ocean global models (e.g., Cubasch et al. 1994; Larow and weather prediction are both initial value problems and Krishnamurti 1998) or atmospheric models alone (Palmer 1998). If climate prediction were a boundary (e.g., Bengtsson et al. 1996). In Bengtsson et al. value problem, then the simulations of future climate (1996), the ocean sea surface temperature is prescribed will "forget" the initial values assumed in a model. and vegetation effects,
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – American Meteorological Society
Published: Dec 1, 1998
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