Flow-dependent reliability: A path to more skillful ensemble forecasts

Flow-dependent reliability: A path to more skillful ensemble forecasts CapsuleImproving short-range flow-dependent reliability may provide a practical approach to increasing forecast skill out to ∼10 days. This is discussed and illustrated for a specific flow situation associated with convection over North America and poor skill for Europe. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society

Flow-dependent reliability: A path to more skillful ensemble forecasts

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Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Copyright
Copyright © American Meteorological Society
ISSN
1520-0477
D.O.I.
10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0027.1
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

CapsuleImproving short-range flow-dependent reliability may provide a practical approach to increasing forecast skill out to ∼10 days. This is discussed and illustrated for a specific flow situation associated with convection over North America and poor skill for Europe.

Journal

Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyAmerican Meteorological Society

Published: Jan 2, 2018

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