Methods and Problems/' a part of the International Conference on Tropical Meteorology held in Brisbane The remarkable technological changes in the meteorological field in July 1988. In this paper, we present our views on over the past two decades have not led to commensurate improve- ments in forecast accuracy of tropical cyclones. Part of the reason this important topic of observing/forecasting tropical may be that forecast techniques have not been optimally adapted cyclones based on our experience with tropical cy- to the changing technology. Alternatively, perhaps observational clone forecasting and research. Our aim is to con- strategies should be designed to provide data in critical regions. tribute to the formation of a coherent plan for the These and other questions are discussed herein in the context of future developments. development of future tropical cyclone observing/ forecasting systems. A much more comprehensive discussion of the aircraft reconnaissance question may be found in Gray et al. (1989). 1. Introduction Over the past three to four decades, tremendous progress has been made in observing tropical cy- 2. Aircraft reconnaissance clones. Weather radars have improved from the sim- ple analogue type to digital Doppler systems. Satel- Prior to the satellite era, aircraft reconnaissance
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – American Meteorological Society
Published: Dec 1, 1989
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