COMME N 1) what is the ultimate purpose of the user of the Reforecasts: An Important reforecasts (e.g., diagnosing operational model behavior, studying predictability, making opera- Dataset for Improving tional forecasts), and 2) can the stripped-down model furnish results Weather Predictions competitive with an operational model? — B O B GLAHN Only by running a series of tests could the answer to Meteorological Development Laboratory, 2) be determined, and even then it would only apply to Office of Science and Technology, NOAA/National Weather Service, the specific situation. It is possible that a long sample of Silver Spring, Maryland low-resolution reforecasts would be more appropriate than a shorter sample of operational model forecasts for short-range forecasting than for longer range, or vice versa. For instance, the reforecast model will undoubtedly give good forecasts for the first day or amill et al. (2006, hereafter HWM) present two at the resolution at which it is run, but that reso- a very interesting way to develop objective lution may not be optimal for short-range forecasts. forecasts of surface weather variables. Basically, For projections of a week or two, the resolution of the this consists of running some numerical model for a reforecasts would
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – American Meteorological Society
Published: Sep 1, 2008
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