COMMENTS

COMMENTS The intermediate time period (e.g., decadal fore- Comments on “A Unified casts) in Hurrell et al. (2009) is hypothesized to be a mix between an initial and boundary value problem. Modeling Approach to Hurrell et al. write the following: Climate System Prediction” The errors induced by incorrect initial conditions shou ld become less apparent as t he simu lations —Rog e R A. Pielke SR. evolve as systematic “ boundary” and external inf lu- University of Colorado at Boulder, ences become more important, but they could still be Boulder, Colorado evident through the course of the simulations. he authors of Hurrell et al. (2009; and that of A good rule of thumb for prediction is that an up- Palmer et al 2008) should be commended for per bound on predictability corresponds approxi- moving toward a more integrated perspective of mately to one life cycle of the phenomenon being climate prediction. The authors of this paper, howev- considered. Hence, one cou ld hope to predict a er, do not present a completely new perspective as they single convective element, cyclone wave, MJO cycle, claim in their text when they write, “There is a new ENSO warm event, or f luctuation http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society

Loading next page...
 
/lp/ams/comments-8bn8hoDuJI
Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Copyright
Copyright © American Meteorological Society
ISSN
1520-0477
D.O.I.
10.1175/2010BAMS2975.1
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

The intermediate time period (e.g., decadal fore- Comments on “A Unified casts) in Hurrell et al. (2009) is hypothesized to be a mix between an initial and boundary value problem. Modeling Approach to Hurrell et al. write the following: Climate System Prediction” The errors induced by incorrect initial conditions shou ld become less apparent as t he simu lations —Rog e R A. Pielke SR. evolve as systematic “ boundary” and external inf lu- University of Colorado at Boulder, ences become more important, but they could still be Boulder, Colorado evident through the course of the simulations. he authors of Hurrell et al. (2009; and that of A good rule of thumb for prediction is that an up- Palmer et al 2008) should be commended for per bound on predictability corresponds approxi- moving toward a more integrated perspective of mately to one life cycle of the phenomenon being climate prediction. The authors of this paper, howev- considered. Hence, one cou ld hope to predict a er, do not present a completely new perspective as they single convective element, cyclone wave, MJO cycle, claim in their text when they write, “There is a new ENSO warm event, or f luctuation

Journal

Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyAmerican Meteorological Society

Published: Dec 1, 2010

There are no references for this article.

You’re reading a free preview. Subscribe to read the entire article.


DeepDyve is your
personal research library

It’s your single place to instantly
discover and read the research
that matters to you.

Enjoy affordable access to
over 18 million articles from more than
15,000 peer-reviewed journals.

All for just $49/month

Explore the DeepDyve Library

Search

Query the DeepDyve database, plus search all of PubMed and Google Scholar seamlessly

Organize

Save any article or search result from DeepDyve, PubMed, and Google Scholar... all in one place.

Access

Get unlimited, online access to over 18 million full-text articles from more than 15,000 scientific journals.

Your journals are on DeepDyve

Read from thousands of the leading scholarly journals from SpringerNature, Elsevier, Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford University Press and more.

All the latest content is available, no embargo periods.

See the journals in your area

DeepDyve

Freelancer

DeepDyve

Pro

Price

FREE

$49/month
$360/year

Save searches from
Google Scholar,
PubMed

Create lists to
organize your research

Export lists, citations

Read DeepDyve articles

Abstract access only

Unlimited access to over
18 million full-text articles

Print

20 pages / month

PDF Discount

20% off