The intermediate time period (e.g., decadal fore- Comments on “A Unified casts) in Hurrell et al. (2009) is hypothesized to be a mix between an initial and boundary value problem. Modeling Approach to Hurrell et al. write the following: Climate System Prediction” The errors induced by incorrect initial conditions shou ld become less apparent as t he simu lations —Rog e R A. Pielke SR. evolve as systematic “ boundary” and external inf lu- University of Colorado at Boulder, ences become more important, but they could still be Boulder, Colorado evident through the course of the simulations. he authors of Hurrell et al. (2009; and that of A good rule of thumb for prediction is that an up- Palmer et al 2008) should be commended for per bound on predictability corresponds approxi- moving toward a more integrated perspective of mately to one life cycle of the phenomenon being climate prediction. The authors of this paper, howev- considered. Hence, one cou ld hope to predict a er, do not present a completely new perspective as they single convective element, cyclone wave, MJO cycle, claim in their text when they write, “There is a new ENSO warm event, or f luctuation
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – American Meteorological Society
Published: Dec 1, 2010
It’s your single place to instantly
discover and read the research
that matters to you.
Enjoy affordable access to
over 12 million articles from more than
10,000 peer-reviewed journals.
All for just $49/month
Read as many articles as you need. Full articles with original layout, charts and figures. Read online, from anywhere.
Keep up with your field with Personalized Recommendations and Follow Journals to get automatic updates.
It’s easy to organize your research with our built-in tools.
Read from thousands of the leading scholarly journals from SpringerNature, Elsevier, Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford University Press and more.
All the latest content is available, no embargo periods.
“Hi guys, I cannot tell you how much I love this resource. Incredible. I really believe you've hit the nail on the head with this site in regards to solving the research-purchase issue.”Daniel C.
“Whoa! It’s like Spotify but for academic articles.”@Phil_Robichaud
“I must say, @deepdyve is a fabulous solution to the independent researcher's problem of #access to #information.”@deepthiw
“My last article couldn't be possible without the platform @deepdyve that makes journal papers cheaper.”@JoseServera