award lectures

award lectures Climate Variability of a Coupled f Ocean-Atmosphere-Land Surface Model: Implication for the Detection of Global Warming* Walter Orr Roberts Lecture Syukuro Manabe and Ronald J. Stouffer Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/NOAA, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey ABSTRACT This lecture evaluates the low-frequency variability of surface air temperature that was obtained from a 1000-yr inte- gration of a coupled ocean-atmosphere-land surface model. The model simulates reasonably well the variability of local and global mean surface air temperature (SAT) at decadal timescales. The physical mechanisms responsible for this variability are explored. Based upon an analysis of the time series of the simulated global mean SAT, it is indicated that the warming trend of ~0.5°C century - 1 since the end of the last century was not generated internally through the interac- tion among the atmosphere, ocean, and land surface. Instead, it appears to have been induced by a sustained change in the thermal forcing such as that resulting from changes in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentration, solar irradiance, and aerosol loading. 1. Introduction Figure 1 illustrates the time series of glo- One of the emerging tools for the study of climate bally averaged, an- variability is a coupled ocean-atmosphere-land sur- nual mean surface http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society

award lectures

Loading next page...
 
/lp/ams/award-lectures-4Xrxv6JqXB
Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Copyright
Copyright © American Meteorological Society
ISSN
1520-0477
D.O.I.
10.1175/1520-0477-78.6.1177
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Climate Variability of a Coupled f Ocean-Atmosphere-Land Surface Model: Implication for the Detection of Global Warming* Walter Orr Roberts Lecture Syukuro Manabe and Ronald J. Stouffer Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/NOAA, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey ABSTRACT This lecture evaluates the low-frequency variability of surface air temperature that was obtained from a 1000-yr inte- gration of a coupled ocean-atmosphere-land surface model. The model simulates reasonably well the variability of local and global mean surface air temperature (SAT) at decadal timescales. The physical mechanisms responsible for this variability are explored. Based upon an analysis of the time series of the simulated global mean SAT, it is indicated that the warming trend of ~0.5°C century - 1 since the end of the last century was not generated internally through the interac- tion among the atmosphere, ocean, and land surface. Instead, it appears to have been induced by a sustained change in the thermal forcing such as that resulting from changes in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentration, solar irradiance, and aerosol loading. 1. Introduction Figure 1 illustrates the time series of glo- One of the emerging tools for the study of climate bally averaged, an- variability is a coupled ocean-atmosphere-land sur- nual mean surface

Journal

Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyAmerican Meteorological Society

Published: Jun 1, 1997

There are no references for this article.

You’re reading a free preview. Subscribe to read the entire article.


DeepDyve is your
personal research library

It’s your single place to instantly
discover and read the research
that matters to you.

Enjoy affordable access to
over 12 million articles from more than
10,000 peer-reviewed journals.

All for just $49/month

Explore the DeepDyve Library

Unlimited reading

Read as many articles as you need. Full articles with original layout, charts and figures. Read online, from anywhere.

Stay up to date

Keep up with your field with Personalized Recommendations and Follow Journals to get automatic updates.

Organize your research

It’s easy to organize your research with our built-in tools.

Your journals are on DeepDyve

Read from thousands of the leading scholarly journals from SpringerNature, Elsevier, Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford University Press and more.

All the latest content is available, no embargo periods.

See the journals in your area

Monthly Plan

  • Read unlimited articles
  • Personalized recommendations
  • No expiration
  • Print 20 pages per month
  • 20% off on PDF purchases
  • Organize your research
  • Get updates on your journals and topic searches

$49/month

Start Free Trial

14-day Free Trial

Best Deal — 39% off

Annual Plan

  • All the features of the Professional Plan, but for 39% off!
  • Billed annually
  • No expiration
  • For the normal price of 10 articles elsewhere, you get one full year of unlimited access to articles.

$588

$360/year

billed annually
Start Free Trial

14-day Free Trial