Application of Forecast Verification Science to Operational River Forecasting in the U.S. National Weather Service

Application of Forecast Verification Science to Operational River Forecasting in the U.S.... Forecast verification in operational hydrology has been very limited to date, mainly due to the complexity of verifying both forcing input forecasts and hydrologic forecasts on multiple space-time scales. However, forecast verification needs to be the driver in both hydrologic research and operations to help advance the understanding of predictability and help the diverse users better utilize the river forecasts. Therefore, in NOAA's National Weather Service, the Hydrologic Services Program is developing a comprehensive river forecast verification service to routinely and systematically verify all hydrometeorological and hydrologic forecasts. This verification service will include capabilities for archiving forecast and observed data, evaluating logistical properties of the forecast services, computing a variety of verification metrics to evaluate the different aspects of forecast quality, displaying and disseminating verification data and metrics, and analyzing the sources of forecast skill and uncertainty through the use of multiple forecast and hindcast scenarios. This paper describes ongoing and planned verification activities for enhancing the collaboration between the meteorological and hydrologic research and operational communities to quantify forecast improvements based on rigorous forecast verification. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society

Application of Forecast Verification Science to Operational River Forecasting in the U.S. National Weather Service

Loading next page...
 
/lp/ams/application-of-forecast-verification-science-to-operational-river-TTXvNe2a2a
Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Copyright
Copyright © American Meteorological Society
ISSN
1520-0477
D.O.I.
10.1175/2008BAMS2619.1
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Forecast verification in operational hydrology has been very limited to date, mainly due to the complexity of verifying both forcing input forecasts and hydrologic forecasts on multiple space-time scales. However, forecast verification needs to be the driver in both hydrologic research and operations to help advance the understanding of predictability and help the diverse users better utilize the river forecasts. Therefore, in NOAA's National Weather Service, the Hydrologic Services Program is developing a comprehensive river forecast verification service to routinely and systematically verify all hydrometeorological and hydrologic forecasts. This verification service will include capabilities for archiving forecast and observed data, evaluating logistical properties of the forecast services, computing a variety of verification metrics to evaluate the different aspects of forecast quality, displaying and disseminating verification data and metrics, and analyzing the sources of forecast skill and uncertainty through the use of multiple forecast and hindcast scenarios. This paper describes ongoing and planned verification activities for enhancing the collaboration between the meteorological and hydrologic research and operational communities to quantify forecast improvements based on rigorous forecast verification.

Journal

Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyAmerican Meteorological Society

Published: Jun 1, 2009

There are no references for this article.

You’re reading a free preview. Subscribe to read the entire article.


DeepDyve is your
personal research library

It’s your single place to instantly
discover and read the research
that matters to you.

Enjoy affordable access to
over 18 million articles from more than
15,000 peer-reviewed journals.

All for just $49/month

Explore the DeepDyve Library

Search

Query the DeepDyve database, plus search all of PubMed and Google Scholar seamlessly

Organize

Save any article or search result from DeepDyve, PubMed, and Google Scholar... all in one place.

Access

Get unlimited, online access to over 18 million full-text articles from more than 15,000 scientific journals.

Your journals are on DeepDyve

Read from thousands of the leading scholarly journals from SpringerNature, Elsevier, Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford University Press and more.

All the latest content is available, no embargo periods.

See the journals in your area

DeepDyve

Freelancer

DeepDyve

Pro

Price

FREE

$49/month
$360/year

Save searches from
Google Scholar,
PubMed

Create lists to
organize your research

Export lists, citations

Read DeepDyve articles

Abstract access only

Unlimited access to over
18 million full-text articles

Print

20 pages / month

PDF Discount

20% off