AN INTERDISCIPLINARY APPROACH TO THE STUDY OF EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS Large-Scale Atmospheric Controls and Insights from Dynamical Systems Theory and Statistical Mechanics Gabriele Messori , r odri Go Caballero , Freddy b ou Chet , d avide Faranda , r iChard Grotjahn , n ili h arnik , s teve jewson , joaqui M G. Pinto , Gwendal r ivière , t iM w oollin Gs , and Pas Cal y iou eather extremes affecting large regions— LARGE-SCALE ATMOSPHERIC CONTROLS OF EXTREME including heat waves, cold spells, and intense WEATHER EVENTS AND NOVEL PREDICTABILITY W storms—can cause large socioeconomic losses and garner scientific interest (e.g., Guirguis PATHWAYS et al. 2011) and widespread media coverage (e.g., Ludwig et al. 2015). Advancing our mechanistic w hat : Scientists and industry experts from six countries gathered to focus on the mechanistic understanding of their drivers and our ability to understanding and prediction of societally predict them, in both a forecasting and a risk assess- relevant extreme weather events in the mid- and ment context, is a compelling scientific goal. high latitudes. These included warm and cold A common approach to this problem is to identify temperature extremes, extratropical cyclones, recurring, large-scale atmospheric
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – American Meteorological Society
Published: May 20, 2018
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