Shifts in Perceptions of Climate Change: A Delphi Experiment Revisited

Shifts in Perceptions of Climate Change: A Delphi Experiment Revisited A group of atmospheric scientists, members of two midwestern AMS chapters, were polled in 1982 and in 1992 about their perceptions of current climate trends and the climate-change issue. Most correctly assessed the recent trends in climate conditions, aware of the cooling-wet trend with considerable seasonal weather variability prior to 1982, and most were aware of the warming trend in 1992. In both 1983 and 1992, a large majority of the respondents believed that information being presented about the climate-change issue was generally confusing to them and to the lay public. Half of the respondents in 1992 believed that evidence that a change in climate will occur is convincing, whereas in 1982 only 20 believed that evidence was convincing. In response to the question about whether the enhanced greenhouse effect on climate had begun in 1992, half said yes and half said no. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society

Shifts in Perceptions of Climate Change: A Delphi Experiment Revisited

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Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Copyright
Copyright © American Meteorological Society
ISSN
1520-0477
D.O.I.
10.1175/1520-0477-73.10.1623
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

A group of atmospheric scientists, members of two midwestern AMS chapters, were polled in 1982 and in 1992 about their perceptions of current climate trends and the climate-change issue. Most correctly assessed the recent trends in climate conditions, aware of the cooling-wet trend with considerable seasonal weather variability prior to 1982, and most were aware of the warming trend in 1992. In both 1983 and 1992, a large majority of the respondents believed that information being presented about the climate-change issue was generally confusing to them and to the lay public. Half of the respondents in 1992 believed that evidence that a change in climate will occur is convincing, whereas in 1982 only 20 believed that evidence was convincing. In response to the question about whether the enhanced greenhouse effect on climate had begun in 1992, half said yes and half said no.

Journal

Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyAmerican Meteorological Society

Published: Oct 1, 1992

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