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letter to the editor1

letter to the editor1 An example of the short-term forecast enigma. Bull Am. Meteorol. Comments on "The Ft. Collins Soc., 62, 1560-1569. Hailstorm—An Example of the Purdom , J. F. W., 1979: The development and evolution of deep Short-Term Forecast Enigma" convection. Preprints, 11th Conference on Severe Local Storms {Kansas City, Mo.), AMS, Boston, pp. 143-150. The Novembe r 1981 BULLETIN articl e by Fritsch and Rodgers (1981) covers a fairly detailed postanalysis of a severe thunderstorm out- break on the front range of the Rocky Mountains, and it discusses many of the problems faced by forecaster s attemptin g to provide se- HENR Y A . KING III , Lt . Col. , USA F vere weather service to the public. The authors concluded that until Chief, Scientific Services Branch we obtain enhanced observational capability and increased compu- Headquarter s 3D Weather Wing (MAC) ter power, "operational prediction of the characteristics and evolu- Offu t Air Force Base, Nebr. 68113 tion of convective systems will remain largely a qualitative effort re- stricted to little more than short term extrapolation." We disagree with the authors' conclusions. There have been ad- vances in the tools and concepts that are available to contemporary severe weather http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society

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Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Copyright
Copyright © American Meteorological Society
ISSN
1520-0477
DOI
10.1175/1520-0477-64.4.389
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

An example of the short-term forecast enigma. Bull Am. Meteorol. Comments on "The Ft. Collins Soc., 62, 1560-1569. Hailstorm—An Example of the Purdom , J. F. W., 1979: The development and evolution of deep Short-Term Forecast Enigma" convection. Preprints, 11th Conference on Severe Local Storms {Kansas City, Mo.), AMS, Boston, pp. 143-150. The Novembe r 1981 BULLETIN articl e by Fritsch and Rodgers (1981) covers a fairly detailed postanalysis of a severe thunderstorm out- break on the front range of the Rocky Mountains, and it discusses many of the problems faced by forecaster s attemptin g to provide se- HENR Y A . KING III , Lt . Col. , USA F vere weather service to the public. The authors concluded that until Chief, Scientific Services Branch we obtain enhanced observational capability and increased compu- Headquarter s 3D Weather Wing (MAC) ter power, "operational prediction of the characteristics and evolu- Offu t Air Force Base, Nebr. 68113 tion of convective systems will remain largely a qualitative effort re- stricted to little more than short term extrapolation." We disagree with the authors' conclusions. There have been ad- vances in the tools and concepts that are available to contemporary severe weather

Journal

Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyAmerican Meteorological Society

Published: Apr 1, 1983

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