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index to advertisers Vol. 70, No. I lanuary 1989 14 4 STATISTICAL INFERENCE AND PREDICTION IN CLIMATOLOGY: A BAYESIAN APPROACH c2 Alden Electronics c3 Atmospheric Instrumentation Research, Inc. by Edward S. Epstein c4 Belfort Instrument Company 49 Sofrel 52 Unisys This monograph is intended to introduce 60 WSI som e concepts of statistical inference and pre- 65 Rotronic diction that are not generally treated in th e tradi- 68 Environmental Satellite Data tional college course in statistics, and have not 71 Texas A&M 72 Servo seen their way into the technical literature gen- 74 Vaisala erally available to the practicing climatologist. 75 Georgia Institute of Technology Even today, where Bayesian methods are pre- 76 Weatherdata sented the practical aspects of their application 77 Climatronics are seldom emphasized. Using examples drawn 78 Zephyr 81 Academic Press fro m climatology and meteorology covering 93 Sinclair probabilistic processes ranging from Bernoulli to normal to autoregression, methods for quan- tifying beliefs as concise probability statements AMS Publications, Preprints, etc. are described, and the implications of new data o n beliefs and of beliefs on predictions are 80 AMS News Letter developed . 143 AMS Videotape Series 95 Atmospheric Wall Chart 144 Employment Announcements 108 International Cloud Atlas ABOU T THE AUTHOR 144 Statistical Inference and Prediction in Climatology Edwar d S. Epstein, a fello w of both the Ameri- can Meteorological Society and the American Association for the Advancemen t of Science, is presently principal scientist of th e Climat e Analy- sis Cente r in th e National Weathe r Service's Na- tional Meteorological Center. Among the po- sitions he has previously held at the National Oceani c and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA ) are those of associate administrator for environmenta l monitoring and prediction (1973- 78), director of the National Climate Program Offic e (1978-81), an d chief of the National Envi- employment announcements ronmental , Data and Information Service's Cli- mate and Earth Science Laboratory (1981-83). The American Meteorological Society issues employment Befor e joinin g NOA A he was professor of mete announcement s monthly, setting fort h opportunitie s fo r posi- orolog y and chairman of th e Department of At- tion s in the atmospheric and oceanographic fields. The em- mospheri c and Oceanic Science at the Univer- ployer s describe the prerequisites and requirements for the sity of Michigan. openings . Member s an d nonmembers may subscribe to the announce- ments . The subscription price fo r a calenda r year (12 monthl y $30 AM S Members $45 Nonmembers issues) is $6 fo r AM S member s an d $25 fo r nonmember s (add (plus $3 postage/handling) $10 fo r mailing to a foreign address; monthly issues will be sent via air mail). After July 1, half-yea r subscriptions (for Send order and remittance to: Jul y through December issues) are available at one half of the above annual prices. AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY The purpos e of the Employmen t Announcements is t o pro- 45 Beaco n St. vide a means by which those seeking positions in the atmo- Boston, M A 02108 spheric an d related fields an d those requiring personnel to fill such openings may have a convenient means of communica- tion . Organizations that wish to avail themselves of this Meteorologica l ISBN: 0-933876-62-9 Monograph s ISBN: 0065-9401 service should contact Corinne Kazarosian, American Mete- Vol. 20, No. 42, 1985 orologica l Society, 45 Beacon Street, Boston, MA 02108 (617-227-2425), for details and charges. • http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society

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Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society , Volume 70 (1): 1 – Jan 1, 1989
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Publisher
American Meteorological Society
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Copyright © American Meteorological Society
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1520-0477
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10.1175/1520-0477-70.1.144
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Abstract

Vol. 70, No. I lanuary 1989 14 4 STATISTICAL INFERENCE AND PREDICTION IN CLIMATOLOGY: A BAYESIAN APPROACH c2 Alden Electronics c3 Atmospheric Instrumentation Research, Inc. by Edward S. Epstein c4 Belfort Instrument Company 49 Sofrel 52 Unisys This monograph is intended to introduce 60 WSI som e concepts of statistical inference and pre- 65 Rotronic diction that are not generally treated in th e tradi- 68 Environmental Satellite Data tional college course in statistics, and have not 71 Texas A&M 72 Servo seen their way into the technical literature gen- 74 Vaisala erally available to the practicing climatologist. 75 Georgia Institute of Technology Even today, where Bayesian methods are pre- 76 Weatherdata sented the practical aspects of their application 77 Climatronics are seldom emphasized. Using examples drawn 78 Zephyr 81 Academic Press fro m climatology and meteorology covering 93 Sinclair probabilistic processes ranging from Bernoulli to normal to autoregression, methods for quan- tifying beliefs as concise probability statements AMS Publications, Preprints, etc. are described, and the implications of new data o n beliefs and of beliefs on predictions are 80 AMS News Letter developed . 143 AMS Videotape Series 95 Atmospheric Wall Chart 144 Employment Announcements 108 International Cloud Atlas ABOU T THE AUTHOR 144 Statistical Inference and Prediction in Climatology Edwar d S. Epstein, a fello w of both the Ameri- can Meteorological Society and the American Association for the Advancemen t of Science, is presently principal scientist of th e Climat e Analy- sis Cente r in th e National Weathe r Service's Na- tional Meteorological Center. Among the po- sitions he has previously held at the National Oceani c and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA ) are those of associate administrator for environmenta l monitoring and prediction (1973- 78), director of the National Climate Program Offic e (1978-81), an d chief of the National Envi- employment announcements ronmental , Data and Information Service's Cli- mate and Earth Science Laboratory (1981-83). The American Meteorological Society issues employment Befor e joinin g NOA A he was professor of mete announcement s monthly, setting fort h opportunitie s fo r posi- orolog y and chairman of th e Department of At- tion s in the atmospheric and oceanographic fields. The em- mospheri c and Oceanic Science at the Univer- ployer s describe the prerequisites and requirements for the sity of Michigan. openings . Member s an d nonmembers may subscribe to the announce- ments . The subscription price fo r a calenda r year (12 monthl y $30 AM S Members $45 Nonmembers issues) is $6 fo r AM S member s an d $25 fo r nonmember s (add (plus $3 postage/handling) $10 fo r mailing to a foreign address; monthly issues will be sent via air mail). After July 1, half-yea r subscriptions (for Send order and remittance to: Jul y through December issues) are available at one half of the above annual prices. AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY The purpos e of the Employmen t Announcements is t o pro- 45 Beaco n St. vide a means by which those seeking positions in the atmo- Boston, M A 02108 spheric an d related fields an d those requiring personnel to fill such openings may have a convenient means of communica- tion . Organizations that wish to avail themselves of this Meteorologica l ISBN: 0-933876-62-9 Monograph s ISBN: 0065-9401 service should contact Corinne Kazarosian, American Mete- Vol. 20, No. 42, 1985 orologica l Society, 45 Beacon Street, Boston, MA 02108 (617-227-2425), for details and charges. •

Journal

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – American Meteorological Society

Published: Jan 1, 1989

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