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ORIGINAL INVESTIGATION Computed Tomographic Colonography to Screen for Colorectal Cancer, Extracolonic Cancer, and Aortic Aneurysm Model Simulation With Cost-effectiveness Analysis Cesare Hassan, MD; Perry Pickhardt, MD; Andrea Laghi, MD; Daniel Kim, MD; Angelo Zullo, MD; Franco Iafrate, MD; Lorenzo Di Giulio, MD; Sergio Morini, MD Background: In addition to detecting colorectal neo- due to a decrease in AAA-related deaths, whereas the mod- plasia, abdominal computed tomography (CT) with colo- eled benefit from extracolonic cancer downstaging was a nography technique (CTC) can also detect unsuspected relatively minor factor. At sensitivity analysis, OC-US be- extracolonic cancers and abdominal aortic aneurysms came more cost-effective only when the CTC sensitivity for (AAA). The efficacy and cost-effectiveness of this com- large polyps dropped to 61% or when broad variations of bined abdominal CT screening strategy are unknown. costs were simulated, such as an increase in CTC cost from $814 to $1300 or a decrease in OC cost from $1100 to $500. Methods: A computerized Markov model was con- With the OC-US approach, suboptimal compliance had a structed to simulate the occurrence of colorectal neopla- strong negative influence on efficacy and cost- sia, extracolonic malignant neoplasm, and AAA in a hy- effectiveness. The estimated mortality
JAMA Internal Medicine – American Medical Association
Published: Apr 14, 2008
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