TY - JOUR
AU - Xu, Yan
AB - Escalating competition for spatial resources in arid inland river basins now jeopardizes the delicate balance among food security, water availability, and ecosystem stability. Although urban‐town, agricultural, and ecological spaces are spatially delineated, their functional interdependencies make them an ideal framework for examining national territorial space–use conflicts. Centered on the Tarim River Basin—covering 1.027 million km2 in Eurasia's arid core—this study reveals how uncoordinated land‐use transformations strain sustainable development and underscores the urgent need to understand conflict drivers and forecast their trajectories. We propose a progressive governance framework that integrates landscape‐ecological risk assessment, spatial‐game diagnostic models, multi‐objective simulations, and adaptive management. The key findings are: (1) The overall spatial stability in the Tarim River Basin has maintained, but in recent years, the spatial pattern has accelerated, showing a trend from pastoralism to agriculture and urban expansion; (2) National territorial space use conflicts in the Tarim River Basin have been worsening, with the continuous expansion of agricultural farming and urban‐town spaces identified as the primary sources of these conflicts; (3) Future projections suggest escalating conflicts, yet strategic spatial planning could moderate their impacts. We advocate implementing a tiered development framework along the Tarim River continuum, confining agricultural and urban expansion to moderate‐intensity zones while prioritizing conservation of critical ecological corridors. This study not only advances national territorial space theory and methodological integration for arid basins but also offers a scalable roadmap for harmonizing urban, agricultural, and ecological demands in arid regions worldwide.
TI - Cascading Governance of National Territorial Space Use Conflicts in Arid Inland River Basins: An Integrated Assessment‐Optimization‐Adaptation Framework
JO - Land Degradation and Development
DO - 10.1002/ldr.70047
DA - 2025-07-02
UR - https://www.deepdyve.com/lp/wiley/cascading-governance-of-national-territorial-space-use-conflicts-in-zNPBCAB7O7
VL - Early View
IS - 
DP - DeepDyve
ER -