TY - JOUR AU - Sari,, R. AB - Abstract The mass assembly history of the Milky Way can inform both theory of galaxy formation and the underlying cosmological model. Thus, observational constraints on the properties of both its baryonic and dark matter contents are sought. Here, we show that hypervelocity stars (HVSs) can in principle provide such constraints. We model the observed velocity distribution of HVSs, produced by tidal break-up of stellar binaries caused by Sgr A*. Considering a Galactic Centre (GC) binary population consistent with that inferred in more observationally accessible regions, a fit to current HVS data with significance level >5 per cent can only be obtained if the escape velocity from the GC to 50 kpc is VG ≲ 850 km s−1, regardless of the enclosed mass distribution. When a Navarro, Frenk and White matter density profile for the dark matter halo is assumed, haloes with VG ≲ 850 km s−1 are in agreement with predictions in the Λ cold dark matter model and a subset of models around M200 ∼ 0.5–1.5 × 1012 M⊙ and rs ≲ 35 kpc can also reproduce Galactic circular velocity data. HVS data alone cannot currently exclude potentials with VG > 850 km s−1. Finally, specific constraints on the halo mass from HVS data are highly dependent on the assumed baryonic mass potentials. This first attempt to simultaneously constrain GC and dark halo properties is primarily hampered by the paucity and quality of data. It nevertheless demonstrates the potential of our method, that may be fully realized with the ESA Gaia mission. methods: analytical, stars: kinematics and dynamics, - Galaxy: Centre, Galaxy: halo, dark matter 1 INTRODUCTION The visible part of galaxies is concentrated in the centre of more extended and more massive dark matter structures that are termed haloes. In our Galaxy, the baryonic matter makes up a few per cent of the total mass and the halo is ∼10 times more extended than the Galactic disc. In the current paradigm, galaxies assemble in a hierarchical fashion from smaller structures and the result is due to a combination of merger history, the underlying cosmological model and baryonic physics (e.g. cooling and star formation). Thanks to our vantage point, these fundamental ingredients in galaxy assembly, can be uniquely constrained by observations of the matter content of the Milky Way and its distribution, when analysed in synergy with dedicated cosmological simulations. Currently, our knowledge of the Galactic dark matter halo is fragmented. Beyond ∼10 kpc dynamical tracers such as halo field stars and stellar streams become rarer and astrometric errors significant. In particular, there is a large uncertainty in the matter density profile, global shape, orientation coarseness (e.g. Bullock et al. 2010; Law & Majewski 2010; Vera-Ciro & Helmi 2013; Loebman et al. 2014; Laevens et al. 2015; Williams & Evans 2015) and current estimates of the halo mass differ by approximately a factor of 3 (see fig. 1 in Wang et al. 2015, and references therein). This difference is significant as a mass measurement in the upper part of that range together with observations of Milky Way satellites can challenge (Klypin et al. 1999; Moore et al. 1999; Boylan-Kolchin, Bullock & Kaplinghat 2011) the current concordance cosmological paradigm: the so-called Λ cold dark matter model (ΛCDM). In particular, the ‘too big to fail problem (Boylan-Kolchin et al. 2011) states that, in ΛCDM high-mass (≳2 × 1012 M⊙) haloes, the most massive subhaloes are too dense to correspond to any of the known satellites of the Milky Way. Therefore, the solution may simply be a lighter Galactic halo of <1012 M⊙ (e.g. Vera-Ciro et al. 2013; Gibbons, Belokurov & Evans 2014). This is an example of how a robust measurement of the Galactic mass can be instrumental to test cosmological models. On the other extreme of Galactic scales, the Galactic Centre (GC) has been the focus of intense research since the beginning of the 1990s, and it is regarded as a unique laboratory to understand the interplay between (quiescent) supermassive black holes (SMBHs) and their environment (see Genzel, Eisenhauer & Gillessen 2010, for a review). Indeed, the GC harbours the best observationally constrained SMBH, called Sgr A*, of mass ≈4.0 × 106 M⊙ (Ghez et al. 2008; Gillessen et al. 2009; Meyer et al. 2012). In particular, GC observations raise issues on the stellar mass assembly, which is intimately related to the SMBH growth history. For example, in the central r ∼ 0.5 pc the light is dominated by young (∼6 Myr old) stars (e.g. Paumard et al. 2006; Lu et al. 2013) with a suggested top-heavy initial mass function (IMF, Bartko et al. 2010; Lu et al. 2013) and a large spread in metallicity at r < 1 pc (Do et al. 2015). The existence of young stars well within the gravitational sphere of influence of Sgr A* challenges our knowledge of how stars form, as molecular clouds should not survive tidal forces there. These stars are part of a larger scale structure called nuclear star cluster with half-light radius around ∼5 pc (e.g. Schödel et al. 2014b; Fritz et al. 2016): in contrast with the inner region, its IMF may be consistent with a Chabrier/Kroupa IMF and between 2.5 pc 16 M⊙, Sana et al. (2012) find a relatively higher frequency of short-period binaries in Galactic young clusters, η ≈ −0.55, but a combination of a pick at the smallest periods and a power law may be necessary to encompass all available observations (see e.g. Duchêne & Kraus 2013). For this range of massive stars (∼20 M⊙), a similar power-law distribution η ≈ −0.45 is also consistent with a statistical description of O-type binaries in the VLT-FLAMES Tarantula Survey of the star-forming region 30 Doradus of the LMC (Sana et al. 2013). In the same region, a similar analysis for observed early (∼10 M⊙) B-type binaries recovers instead an Öpik's law (Dunstall et al. 2015). Mass ratio distributions, fq, for Galactic binaries are generally observed to be rather flat, regardless of the primary's mass range (e.g. Sana et al. 2012; Duchêne & Kraus 2013; Kobulnicky et al. 2014, see their table 1). Differently, in the 30 Doradus star-forming region, the mass ratio distributions appear to be steeper, [fq ∝ q∼(−1) in O-type binaries and fq ∝ q∼(−3) in early B-type ones], suggesting a preference for pairing with lower mass companions: still a power law may be fitted to data (Sana et al. 2013; Dunstall et al. 2015). We therefore assume a binary separation distribution \begin{equation} f_{\rm a} \propto a^{\alpha }, \end{equation} (2) where the minimum separation is taken to be the Roche lobe radius amin = 2.5 × max [R★, Rc], where R★ and Rc are the HVS's and the companion's radii, respectively. As a binary mass ratio distribution, we assume \begin{equation} f_{\rm q} \propto q^{\gamma }, \end{equation} (3) for mmin ≤ ms ≤ mp. If not otherwise stated, mmin = 0.1 M⊙. The mass of the primary star (mp ≳ 3 M⊙) is taken from an IMF, that needs to mirror the star formation in the GC in the last ∼109 yr. As mentioned in our introduction, the stellar mass function is rather uncertain and may be spatially dependent. Observations of stars with M > 10 M⊙ within about 0.5 pc from Sgr A* indicate a rather top-heavy mass function with |$f_{\rm m} \propto m_{\rm p}^{-1.7}$| (Lu et al. 2013). At larger radii observations of red giants (and the lack of wealth of massive stars observed closer in) may instead point towards a more canonical bottom-heavy mass function (e.g. Pfuhl et al. 2011; Fritz et al. 2016). Given these uncertainties, we explore the consequences of assuming either a Kroupa mass function (Kroupa 2002), |$f_{\rm m} \propto m_{\rm p}^{-2.3}$| or top-heavy distribution, |$f_{\rm m} \propto m_{\rm p}^{-1.7}$|⁠, in the mass range 2.5 M⊙ ≤ mp ≤ 100 M⊙. Finally, we do not introduce here any specific model for the injection of binaries in the black hole tidal sphere and consequently, we do not explicitly consider any ‘filter’ or modification to the binary ‘natal’ distributions. Likewise, we do not explicitly account for higher order multiplicity (e.g. binary with a third companion, i.e. triples) that may result in disruption of binaries with different distributions than those cited above. On the other hand, a way to interpret our results is to consider that the separation and mass ratio distributions already contain those modifications. We will explore these possibilities in Section 5. 3 PREDICTING VELOCITY DISTRIBUTIONS IN THE HALO: FIRST APPROACH In this section, we first describe how we compute the halo velocity distribution with a method that allows us to use a single parameter to describe the Galactic deceleration, without specifying its matter profile (Section 3.1). Given the large Galactocentric distances at which the current sample of HVSs is observed, our method is shown to be able to reproduce the correct velocity distribution for the velocity range of interest, without the need to calculate the HVS deceleration along the star's entire path from the GC. These features allow us to efficiently explore a large range of the binary population and the dark matter halo parameter space. Then, in Section 3.2, we describe how we perform our comparison with current selected data and finally we present our results in Section 3.3. 3.1 Velocity distribution in the halo: global description of the potential Our first approach follows Rossi et al. (2014) and consists in not assuming any specific model for the Galactic potential, but rather to globally describe it by the minimum velocity, VG, that an object must have at the GC in order to reach 50 kpc with a velocity equal or greater than zero. In other words, the parameter VG is a measure of the net deceleration suffered by a star ejected at the GC into the outer halo, regardless of the mass distribution interior to it. The statement is that Galactic potentials with the same VGproduce the same velocity distribution beyond 50 kpc, which is where most HVSs are currently observed.4 The physical argument that supports this statement is the following. For any reasonable distribution of mass that accounts for the presence of the observed bulge, most of the deceleration occurs well before stars reach the inner halo (e.g. Kenyon et al. 2008) and therefore any potential with the same escape velocity VG will have the same net effect on an initial ejection velocity: \begin{equation} v = \sqrt{v_{\rm ej}^2 - V_{\rm G}^2}. \end{equation} (4) Although practically we are interested in the HVS distribution beyond 50 kpc, the method outlined here is valid for any threshold distance as long as the deceleration beyond that is negligible and, as justified below, all stars in the velocity range of interest reach it within their lifetime. Therefore in the following, when a specific choice is not needed, we will generically call this threshold distance ‘rin’. This, we recall, is also the radius associated with VG. Let us now proceed to calculate the HVS velocity distribution within a given radial range Δr = [rout − rin] in spherical symmetry, assuming a time-independent ejection rate |$\cal {R}$| (typically ∼10–100 Myr−1). Given the above premises, HVSs with a velocity around v cross rin at a rate |${\rm d}\dot{N}/{\rm d}v$|⁠, that can be obtained from the ejection velocity probability density function (PDF) P(vej) equating bins of corresponding velocity, \begin{equation*} \frac{{\rm d}\dot{N}}{{\rm d}v} {\rm d}v = {\cal R} P(v_{\rm ej}) {\rm d}v_{\rm ej}, \end{equation*} with the aid of equation (4), that gives v = v(vej). Consequently, the halo velocity PDF (dn/dv) within a given radial range Δr can be simply computed as \begin{equation} {\rm d}n(v,\Delta r) \propto \frac{{\rm d}\dot{N}}{{\rm d}v} \times \min [ \Delta r/v, \left\langle t_{\rm life}\right\rangle ] \,{\rm d}v, \end{equation} (5) where min [Δr/v, 〈tlife〉] is the average residence time in that range of Galactocentric distances of HVSs in a bin dv of velocity around v. This is the minimum between the crossing time Δr/v and the average lifetime 〈tlife〉 beyond rin of a star in that velocity bin. This latter term accounts for the possibility that stars may evolve out of the main sequence and meet their final stellar stages before they reach the maximum radial distance considered (i.e. rout). More precisely for a given star tlife should be equal to the time left from its main-sequence lifetime tMS, after it has dwelled for a time tej in the GC, and subsequently travelled to rin in a flight-time τ(rin): tlife = tMS − (tej + τ(rin)). Observations suggest that a HVS can be ejected at anytime during its lifetime with equal probability and therefore on average tej ≈ tMS/2 (Brown et al. 2014). In addition, if τ(rin) ≪ tMS, we can write 〈tlife〉 = 〈tMS〉/2, where 〈tMS〉 = ∫(dn/dm) tMS(m)dm is the average main-sequence lifetime weighted for the star mass distribution dn/dm in a given velocity bin. In the HVS mass and metallicity range considered here tMS(m) ≈ 200–700 Myr (and 〈tMS〉 ≈ 300–600 Myr). Consequently our calculations typically show τ(rin) < tMS for velocities >150 km s−1, when adopting rin = 50 kpc. This means that τ(rin) ≪ tMS in the whole velocity range of interest in this work (v ≥ 275 km s−1, see Section 3.2). In this framework, we construct a Monte Carlo code where 107 binaries are drawn from the distributions described in Section 2 to build an ejection velocity PDF. This is used to construct the expected PDF in the outer halo (equation 5) between rin = 50 kpc and rout = 120 kpc (the observed radial range), using the formalism detailed above. For each bin of velocity, we calculate the 〈tMS〉, using the analytical formula by Hurley, Pols & Tout (2000, see their equation 5). The lifetime for a star in the 2.3–4 M⊙ range is of a few to several hundred million years, but the exact value depends on metallicity (higher metallicities correspond to longer lifetimes). Until recently, solar metallicity was thought to be the typical value for the GC stellar population. However, more recent works suggest that there is a wider spread in metallicity, with a hint for a supersolar mean value (Do et al. 2015). In the following, our fiducial model will assume: HVSs masses between 2.5 and 4 solar masses. A Kroupa (⁠|$f_{\rm m} \,\propto\, m_{\rm p}^{-2.3}$|⁠) IMF for primary stars between 2.5 and 100 solar masses. For a given primary mass mp, a mass ratio distribution fq ∝ qγ in the range [mmin/mp, 1], with mmin = 0.1 M⊙ and −10 ≤ γ ≤ 10. A separation distribution fa ∝ aα between amin = 2.5 × max [R★, Rc] and amax = 103R⊙, with −10 ≤ α ≤ 10. A HVS mean metallicity value of Z = 0.05 (i.e. super-solar). We will explore different assumptions in Section 5. In particular, we will investigate a top-heavy primary IMF, explore the consequence of a solar metallicity and finally assume a higher value of mmin, over which we have no observational constraints in the GC. We will find that only the latter, if physically possible, may significantly impact our results and will discuss the consequences. Examples of velocity distributions in the halo for our fiducial model are shown in Fig. 1. Our selected data (see the figure's caption and next section) are overplotted with an arbitrary binning (histogram). It is here worth reminding some of the features derived in Rossi et al. (2014). There, we analytically and numerically showed that the HVS halo velocity distribution encodes different physical information in different parts of the distribution. In particular, the peak of the distribution depends on both VG and the binary distributions, and moves towards lower velocity for lower VG(right-hand panel) and higher values of |γ| and α (left-hand and central panels). On the other hand, the high-velocity branch only depends on the binary properties, as the Galactic deceleration is negligible at those velocities. From equation (5), one can derive that for v ≫ vG the high-velocity branch is independent of the binary semimajor axis distribution (i.e. α) for γ > −(α + 2) and \begin{equation*} {\rm d}n \propto v^{2\gamma } {\rm d}v. \end{equation*} Therefore larger value of |γ| result in a steeper distribution at high velocities. This is shown in the left-hand panel of Fig. 1. Instead in the v ≫ vG and γ < −(α + 2) regime, \begin{equation*} {\rm d}n \propto v^{-2(\alpha +2)} {\rm d}v, \end{equation*} independently of the assumed mass ratio distribution and a steeper power law is obtained for larger α values (central panel). A discussion on the low-velocity tail, that it is solely shaped by the deceleration, is postponed to Section 4.1. Figure 1. Open in new tabDownload slide Probability density functions for HVS velocities in the outer halo of our Galaxy, between 50 and 120 kpc. They are calculated following the deceleration procedure explained in Section 3 and depend on three main parameters: γ, α (for the binary mass ratio and semimajor axis distributions) and VG. In each panel, two parameters are kept fixed while we show how the distribution changes by changing the value of the third parameter. See text for a detailed description. For a visual comparison, we overplot data from Brown et al. (2014) (‘unbound sample’ only), with an arbitrary binning. Figure 1. Open in new tabDownload slide Probability density functions for HVS velocities in the outer halo of our Galaxy, between 50 and 120 kpc. They are calculated following the deceleration procedure explained in Section 3 and depend on three main parameters: γ, α (for the binary mass ratio and semimajor axis distributions) and VG. In each panel, two parameters are kept fixed while we show how the distribution changes by changing the value of the third parameter. See text for a detailed description. For a visual comparison, we overplot data from Brown et al. (2014) (‘unbound sample’ only), with an arbitrary binning. 3.2 Comparison with data Besides the current HVS sample of so-called ‘unbound’ HVSs (velocity in the standard rest frame ≳275 km s−1), there is an equal number of lower velocity ‘bound’ HVSs.5 Currently, it is unclear if they all share the same origin as the unbound sample, as a large contamination from halo stars cannot be excluded. We will therefore restrict our statistical comparison with data to the unbound sample (see upper part of table 1 in Brown et al. 2014). As mentioned earlier, we only select HVS with masses between 2.5 and 4 M⊙, with Galactocentric distances between 50 and 120 kpc, for a total of 21 stars. These selections in velocity, mass and distance will be also applied to our predicted distributions. Specifically, we calculate the total PDF as described by equation (5) and we perform a one-dimensional Kolmogorov–Smirnov (K–S) test applied to a left-truncated data sample.6 If we call n( 700 km s−1. Since the HVS discovery method is spectroscopic as opposed to astrometric, there is no obvious observational bias that would have prevented us from observing HVS with v > 700 km s−1 within 120 kpc and so we do not perform any high-velocity cut to our model.7 Indeed, the absence of high-velocity HVSs in the current (small) sample suggests that they are rare, and this fact puts strong constraints on the model parameters. From the discussion in the previous section, a suppression of the high-velocity branch can be achieved by either choose a lower VGor choose steeper binary distributions (a larger |γ| or α), as we will explicitly show in the next section. 3.3 Results In each panel of Fig. 2, we explore the parameter space α–γ for a fixed global deceleration that brakes stars while travelling to 50 kpc, i.e. for a given VG. The contour plots show our K–S test results and models below and at the right of the white dashed line have a significance level higher than 5 per cent: i.e. around and below that line current data are consistent with coming from models with those sets of parameters. Figure 2. Open in new tabDownload slide Contour plots for K–S test results in the parameter space α–γ for four different values of VG (see panels’ label). The white dashed line indicates the 5 per cent significance level contours. The white regions correspond to observed properties of B-type or O-type binaries: the region enclosed by a dash–dotted line is for late B-type stars (2–5 M⊙) in the Solar neighbourhood (Kouwenhoven et al. 2007; Duchêne & Kraus 2013); results for Galactic O-type binaries are shown within the region marked by a dotted line (Sana et al. 2012); the region enclosed by a solid (dashed) line is for early ∼10 M⊙ B-type (O-type) binaries observed in 30 Doradus (Sana et al. 2013; Dunstall et al. 2015). The four stars mark the points (α, γ) in the parameter space for which the PDF is shown in Fig. 1 (see also Fig. 6). Figure 2. Open in new tabDownload slide Contour plots for K–S test results in the parameter space α–γ for four different values of VG (see panels’ label). The white dashed line indicates the 5 per cent significance level contours. The white regions correspond to observed properties of B-type or O-type binaries: the region enclosed by a dash–dotted line is for late B-type stars (2–5 M⊙) in the Solar neighbourhood (Kouwenhoven et al. 2007; Duchêne & Kraus 2013); results for Galactic O-type binaries are shown within the region marked by a dotted line (Sana et al. 2012); the region enclosed by a solid (dashed) line is for early ∼10 M⊙ B-type (O-type) binaries observed in 30 Doradus (Sana et al. 2013; Dunstall et al. 2015). The four stars mark the points (α, γ) in the parameter space for which the PDF is shown in Fig. 1 (see also Fig. 6). Let us first focus on the upper right panel (VG ≈ 700 km s−1), as it shows clearly a common feature of all our contour plots in this parameter space. There is a stripe of minima that, from left to right, first runs parallel to the α-axis and then to the γ-axis.8 This stripe is the locus of points where the high-velocity tail of the distributions has a similar slope: this happens for values of γ and α related by γ ≈ −(α + 2) (see discussion of Fig. 1 in Section 3.1). For negative α values (distributions with more tight binaries than wide ones), the high-velocity distribution branch is mainly shaped by the mass ratio distribution and, for example in this panel, a value around γ ≈ −4 gives the best fit. On the other hand, for positive α (i.e. more wider binaries than tight ones), the high-velocity tail is shaped by the separation distribution and a value of around α ≈ 2 gives the best K–S results. When increasing the escape velocity (from top left to bottom right) the stripe of minima moves towards the right lower part of the plots and gets further and further from the regions in the α–γ parameter space that correspond to observations of B-type binaries, and actually, to our knowledge, of any type of binaries currently observed with enough statistics in both star-forming and quiescent regions. We focus on observations of B-type binaries because, although our calculation consider ∼3 M⊙ HVSs ejected from binaries with all possible mass combinations, we find that the overall velocity distribution is highly dominated by binaries where HVSs were the primary (more massive) stars, i.e. late B-type binaries.9 In all panels, but the bottom right one, the white dashed line crosses or grazes the α–γ parameter space indicated by a white rectangle within a solid black line. We conclude that within an approximate range VG ≲ 850 km s−1, the current observed HVS velocity distribution can be explained assuming a binary statistical description in the GC that is consistent with the one inferred by Dunstall et al. (2015) for ∼10 M⊙ B-type binaries in the star-forming region of the Tarantula Nebula. In addition, for VG ≲ 630 km s−1 the 5 per cent confidence line also crosses the parameter space observed for Galactic B-type binaries (Kouwenhoven et al. 2007). An argument in favour of a similarity between known star-forming regions and the inner GC is that, in this latter, Pfuhl et al. (2014) infer a binary fraction close to that in known young clusters of comparable age. However, we warn the reader that the Tarantula Nebula's results are affected by uncertainties beyond those represented by the nominal errors on α and γ reported by Dunstall et al. (2015) and we will discuss those in Section 5. Finally, we comment on our choice to define the VG limit using a 5 per cent significance level threshold. If we relax this assumption and accept models with significance level >1 per cent (another commonly used threshold) the VG limit moves up to VG ≈ 930 km s−1. On the other hand, models with >10 per cent significance level have VG ≲ 800 km s−1. Therefore, as a representative value, we cite here and thereafter the intermediate one of 850 km s−1, corresponding to the 5 per cent threshold. 4 SECOND APPROACH: ASSUMING A GALACTIC POTENTIAL MODEL We now choose a specific model to describe the Galactic potential, in order to cast our results in terms of dark matter mass and its spatial distribution. We represent the dark matter halo of our Galaxy with a NFW profile, \begin{equation} \phi (r)_{\rm NFW} =- G M_{\rm h} \left(\frac{\ln (1+ r/r_{\rm s})}{r}\right), \end{equation} (8) (Navarro, Frenk & White 1996). In this spherical representation, there are only two parameters: the halo mass Mh and the scale radius rs, where the radial dependence changes. Equation (8) assumes an infinite potential (no outer radius truncation) that is justified in our case since we consider Galactocentric distances smaller than the halo virial radius (∼200 kpc). The baryonic mass components of the Galactic potential can be described by a Hernquist's spheroid for the bulge (Hernquist 1990), \begin{equation} \phi (r)_{\rm b} = -\frac{G M_{\rm b}}{r+r_{\rm b}}, \end{equation} (9) (in spherical coordinates) plus a Miyamoto–Nagai disc (Miyamoto & Nagai 1975, in cylindrical coordinates, where r2 = R2 + z2), \begin{equation} \phi _{\rm d} (R,z) = - \frac{G M_{\rm d}}{\sqrt{R^2 +\left(a+\sqrt{z^2+b^2} \right)^2}}, \end{equation} (10) with the following parameters: Mb = 3.4 × 1010 M⊙, rb = 0.7 kpc, Md = 1.0 × 1011 M⊙, a = 6.5 kpc and b = 0.26 kpc. This Galactic model has been used in modelling both HVSs and stellar streams (e.g. Johnston, Spergel & Hernquist 1995; Price-Whelan et al. 2014; Hawkins et al. 2015, and with slightly different parameters by Kenyon et al. 2008). Observationally, our choice for the bulge's mass profile is supported by the fact that its density profile is very similar to that obtained by Kafle et al. (2014), fitting kinematic data of halo stars in SEGUE.10 In addition, Kafle et al. (2014) use our same model for the disc mass distribution and their best-fitting parameters are very similar to our parameters (see their tables 1 and 2). However, different choices may also be consistent with current data, and we will discuss the impact of different baryonic potentials on our results in Section 4.2. In a potential constituted by the sum of all Galactic components, \begin{equation} \phi _{\rm T} (r, M_{\rm h}, r_{\rm s}) = \phi (r(R,z))_{\rm d} +\phi (r)_{\rm b} + \phi (r)_{\rm NFW} \,, \end{equation} (11) we integrate each star's trajectory from an inner radius rstart = 3 pc, equal to Sgr A*'s sphere of influence but any starting radius rstart < 20 pc gives very similar results. In fact, we find that the disc's sky-averaged deceleration is overall negligible with respect to that due to the bulge. To save computational time, we therefore set |$R=z=r/\sqrt{2}$| in equation (10) (i.e. we only consider trajectories with a Galactic latitude of 45°), simplifying our calculations to one-dimensional (the Galactocentric distance r) solutions. The star's initial velocity is drawn from the ejection velocity distribution, constructed as detailed in Section 2. Assumptions on HVS properties are those of our fiducial model. Informed by observations (Brown et al. 2014), we assigned a flight-time from a flat distribution between [0, tMS]. Each integration of 107 star orbits gives a sky realization of the velocity PDF, but we actually find that the number of stars we are tracking is sufficiently high that differences between PDFs associated with different realizations are negligible. An example of a halo velocity distribution is shown in Fig. 3 with a black solid line. This accurate calculation of the star deceleration is well approximated by using equation (4) for v ≳ 250 km s−1, when the escape velocity at 50 kpc is calculated as \begin{equation} V_{\rm G}^2 = 2 (\phi _{\rm T} \left(50 \ {\rm kpc}, M_{\rm h}, r_{\rm s}) - \phi _{\rm T} (r_{\rm start}, M_{\rm h}, r_{\rm s})\right), \end{equation} (12) (red dashed line in Fig. 3). Despite the discrepancy in the behaviour of the low-velocity tail, the two approaches give very similar K–S test results when compared to current observations (D = 0.26 for the NFW model versus D = 0.25 for the ‘VG’ model). With a random sampling, we tested that K–S results differ at most at percentage level in the whole extent of the parameter space of interest to us, validating our first approach, as an efficient and reliable exploratory method. Figure 3. Open in new tabDownload slide Galactic halo velocity distributions between 50 and 120 kpc for a fixed binary statistical description (see parameters in the upper left corner) but with different treatments of the star deceleration: the red dashed line is computed as described in Section 3.1 for VG = 760 km s−1 while the black solid line is our model where stars are continuously decelerated in a potential whose halo is described by a NFW profile with mass Mh = 0.5 × 1012 M⊙ and scale radius rs = 31 kpc (see Section 4). This potential requires an initial velocity to escape from the GC to 50 kpc of VG ≈ 760 km s−1 (see equation 12). Unlike Fig. 1, both model distributions and data are normalized at the peak for an easier visual comparison. The vertical dashed line marks the selection threshold (v = 275 km s−1) of the Brown et al. unbound sample. This comparison shows that for v ≳ 250 km s−1 the two distributions are similar, as confirmed by the results from the K–S test (D = 0.25 for the black solid line and D = 0.26 for the red dashed line). Figure 3. Open in new tabDownload slide Galactic halo velocity distributions between 50 and 120 kpc for a fixed binary statistical description (see parameters in the upper left corner) but with different treatments of the star deceleration: the red dashed line is computed as described in Section 3.1 for VG = 760 km s−1 while the black solid line is our model where stars are continuously decelerated in a potential whose halo is described by a NFW profile with mass Mh = 0.5 × 1012 M⊙ and scale radius rs = 31 kpc (see Section 4). This potential requires an initial velocity to escape from the GC to 50 kpc of VG ≈ 760 km s−1 (see equation 12). Unlike Fig. 1, both model distributions and data are normalized at the peak for an easier visual comparison. The vertical dashed line marks the selection threshold (v = 275 km s−1) of the Brown et al. unbound sample. This comparison shows that for v ≳ 250 km s−1 the two distributions are similar, as confirmed by the results from the K–S test (D = 0.25 for the black solid line and D = 0.26 for the red dashed line). 4.1 The low-velocity tail We here pause to discuss and explain the difference in the velocity distribution around and below the peak calculated with our two approaches (see Fig. 3). Without loss of indispensable information, the impatient reader may skip this section and proceed to the next one, where we discuss our results. The low-velocity tail discrepancy is due to our two main assumptions of our first method: (i) neglecting the residual deceleration beyond 50 kpc and (ii) all stars reach 50 kpc before they evolve out of the main sequence. The residual deceleration gives an excess of low-velocity stars in the correct distribution (black solid line) that cannot be reproduced by our approximated calculation (red dashed line). On the other hand, a fraction of stars that should have ended up with velocities ≲150 km s−1 beyond 50 kpc have in fact flight-times longer than their lifetime and the low-velocity excess is slightly suppressed in that range. Let us be more quantitative. In the framework of our first approach, one can show that the PDF at low velocity increases linearly with v (Rossi et al. 2014). The calculation is as follows. The rate of HVSs crossing r = rin with |$v =\sqrt{v_{\rm ej}^2-V_{\rm G}^2} \ll V_{\rm G}$| is given by \begin{equation*} \frac{{\rm d}\dot{N}}{{\rm d}v} \sim {\cal {R}} \left.P(v_{\rm ej})\right|_{v_{\rm ej}=V_{\rm G}} \frac{v}{V_{\rm G}}. \end{equation*} Moreover, for11 \begin{equation*} v < \Delta r / \left\langle t_{\rm MS}\right\rangle \approx 230\ {\rm km\ s}^{-1}(\Delta r /70\, \rm kpc)(300 /Myr/\left\langle t_{\rm MS}\right\rangle ), \end{equation*} the residence time within Δr is equal to (half of) the stars’ lifetime, therefore from equation (5) we conclude that \begin{equation*} \frac{{\rm d}n(v, \Delta r)}{{\rm d}v} \propto \left. P(v_{\rm ej})\right|_{v_{\rm ej}=V_{\rm G}} v \times \left\langle t_{\rm MS}\right\rangle , \end{equation*} recovering the linear dependence on v. In fact, 〈tMS〉 is not completely independent of v as it varies by a factor of ≈1.5 as v → 0. Therefore dn/dv is slightly sub-linear in v. The dependence of 〈tMS〉 on v comes about because vej is proportional to mc. This causes low-velocity HVSs to be increasingly of lower masses (→2.5 M⊙), being ejected from binaries where their companions were all lighter mc ≲ 2.5 M⊙ than the companions of more massive HVSs. When considering instead the full deceleration of stars in a gravitational potential a = −dϕT(r)/dr as they travel towards rout, their velocity depends both on vej and r, \begin{equation} v(v_{\rm ej},r)=\sqrt{v_{\rm ej}^2-\left(V_{\rm esc}(0)^2-V_{\rm esc}(r)^2\right)}, \end{equation} (13) where Vesc(r) is the escape velocity from a position r to infinity [i.e. Vesc(0) is the escape velocity from the GC to infinity]. Note that |$V_{\rm G} = \sqrt{V_{\rm esc}(0)^2-V_{\rm esc}(r_{\rm in})^2}$|⁠. In the example shown in Fig. 3, Vesc(0) ≈ 826 km s−1, Vesc(rin = 50 kpc) ≈ 323 km s−1, Vesc(rout = 120 kpc) ≈ 257 km s−1 and VG ≈ 760 km s−1. On the other hand, the distance r is a function of both vej and the flight-time τ(r) = ∫dv(r)/|a(r)|, and this latter is a preferable independent variable because uniformly distributed. Therefore, we express v = v(vej, τ) and \begin{equation} \frac{{\rm d}n}{{\rm d}v} \propto \int _{0}^{\left\langle t_{\rm MS}\right\rangle } \int _{v_{\rm ej,min}}^{v_{\rm ej,max}} \delta {(v - v(v_{\rm ej},\tau ))} P(v_{\rm ej}) {\rm d}v_{\rm ej} {\rm d}\tau , \end{equation} (14) where the relevant ejection velocity range is that gives low-velocity stars between rin and rout: |$v_{\rm ej,min} = \sqrt{v^2+\left(V_{\rm esc}(0)^2-V_{\rm esc}(r_{\rm in})^2\right)}$| and |$v_{\rm ej,max} = \sqrt{v^2+\left(V_{\rm esc}(0)^2-V_{\rm esc}(r_{\rm out})^2\right)}$|⁠. Note that, for Galactic mass distribution where Vesc(0) > Vesc(rin), Vesc(rout), the range [vej,min − vej,max] is rather narrow and for v ≪ VG these limits may be taken as independent of v. This is the case in the example of Fig. 3, where vej, min ≈ VG ≈ 760 < vej [km s− 1] < vej, max ≈ 785. It follows that the low-velocity tail is populated by stars that were ejected with velocities slightly higher than VG. If we further assume that the flight-time τ to reach any radius within rout is always smaller than 〈tMS〉 (formally this means putting the upper integration limit in τ equal to infinity), then all HVSs ejected with that velocity reach 50 kpc. It may be therefore intuitive that, applying the above considerations, equation (14) reduces to \begin{eqnarray} \frac{{\rm d}n}{{\rm d}v}(v,\Delta r) \propto \left.P(v_{\rm ej})\right|_{v_{\rm ej}=V_{\rm G}} \int _{r_{\rm in}}^{r_{\rm out}} \frac{{\rm d}r}{v_{\rm ej}(r)} \approx \left.P(v_{\rm ej})\right|_{v_{\rm ej}=V_{\rm G}} \frac{\Delta r}{V_{\rm G}},\nonumber\\ \end{eqnarray} (15) where we substitute dτ = dv/|a| in equation (14) and we use equation (13). We therefore recover the flat behaviour for v ≲ 300 km s−1 of the black solid line in Fig. 3. We, however, also notice that below ∼150 km s−1 there is a deviation from a flat distribution: this is because our assumption of τ(rin) ≪ 〈tMS〉 breaks down, as not all stars reach 50 kpc, causing a dearth of HVSs in that range. As a concluding remark, we stress that, although we do not apply it here, the result stated in equation (15) can be used to further improve our first method, a necessity when low-velocity data will be available. 4.2 Results The relation given by equation (12) allows us to map a given VG value on to the Mh–rs parameter space. This is shown in Fig. 4, upper panel. Note that for a given choice of the baryonic mass components of the potential, there is an absolute minimum for VG (thereafter VG,min), that corresponds to the absence of dark matter within 50 kpc. For our assumptions (equations 9 and 10), VG,min ≈ 725 km s−1. In other words, this is the escape velocity from the GC only due to the deceleration imparted by the mass in the disc and bulge components. Figure 4. Open in new tabDownload slide Upper panel: the ‘escape’ velocity from the GC to 50 kpc, VG, over the minimum allowed by the presence of a baryonic disc and bulge (VG,min = 725 km s−1) is mapped on to the Mh–rs parameter space for NFW dark halo profiles using equation (12). The iso-contour line equal to VG = 850 km s−1 is explicitly marked as red dashed line. Middle panel: same as the upper panel but overplotted are the results of our MCMC analysis of the Galactic circular velocity data from Huang et al. (2016) (see Appendix A). Lower panel: the same as the upper panel but overplotted are results from the Eris (Guedes et al. 2011) and EAGLE (Schaye et al. 2015) simulations. These are dark matter plus baryons simulations: the first one is a single realization of a Milky Way type galaxy, the latter are cosmological simulations that span a wider range of masses (1010–1014 M⊙). Following Schaller et al. (2015), fig. 11 middle panel, we plot the mass concentration relation found in EAGLE in our mass range, with a scatter in the concentration parameter of 25 per cent at one sigma level. Figure 4. Open in new tabDownload slide Upper panel: the ‘escape’ velocity from the GC to 50 kpc, VG, over the minimum allowed by the presence of a baryonic disc and bulge (VG,min = 725 km s−1) is mapped on to the Mh–rs parameter space for NFW dark halo profiles using equation (12). The iso-contour line equal to VG = 850 km s−1 is explicitly marked as red dashed line. Middle panel: same as the upper panel but overplotted are the results of our MCMC analysis of the Galactic circular velocity data from Huang et al. (2016) (see Appendix A). Lower panel: the same as the upper panel but overplotted are results from the Eris (Guedes et al. 2011) and EAGLE (Schaye et al. 2015) simulations. These are dark matter plus baryons simulations: the first one is a single realization of a Milky Way type galaxy, the latter are cosmological simulations that span a wider range of masses (1010–1014 M⊙). Following Schaller et al. (2015), fig. 11 middle panel, we plot the mass concentration relation found in EAGLE in our mass range, with a scatter in the concentration parameter of 25 per cent at one sigma level. In Fig. 4, the red dashed curve marks the iso-contour equal to VG = 850 km s−1: above this curve VG,min ≲ VG < 850 km s−1. For a scale radius of rs < 30 kpc, this region corresponds to Mh < 1.5 × 1012 M⊙, but, if larger rs can be considered, the Milky Way mass can be larger. This parameter degeneracy is the result of fitting a measurement that – as far as deceleration is concerned – solely depends on the shape of the potential within 50 kpc: lighter, more concentrated haloes give the same net deceleration as more massive but less concentrated haloes. The VG = 850 km s−1 line stands as an indicative limit above which, for a given halo mass, HVS data can be fitted at >5 per cent significance level assuming a B-type binary population in the GC close to that inferred in the LMC. In fact, since in our case VG,min > 630 km s−1, the observed Galactic binary statistics never gives a high significance level fit to current data (see Section 3.3). To gain further insight into the likelihood of various regions of the parameter space, we compare our results to additional Milky Way observations and theoretical predictions. We compute the circular velocity |$V_{\rm c}=\sqrt{G M({<}r)/r}$| along the Galactic disc plane, where M(5 per cent (>1 per cent) significance level fit, HVS velocity data alone require a Galactic potential with an escape velocity from the GC to 50 kpc ≲850 km s−1 (≲930 km s−1), when assuming that binary stars within the innermost few parsecs of our Galaxy are not dissimilar from binaries in other, more observationally accessible star-forming regions. For VG ∼ 630 km s−1, the binary statistics for late B-type stars observed in the Solar neighbourhood also provide a fit at the same significance level. When specializing to a NFW dark matter halo, we find that the region VG ≲ 850 km s−1 contains models that are compatible with both HVS and circular velocity data. These models also correspond to ΛCDM-compatible Milky Way haloes. In principle, we cannot exclude the parameter space VG ≳ 850 km s−1. However, it would require us to face both an increasingly different statistical description of the binary population in the GC with respect to current observations and dark matter haloes that are inconsistent with predictions in the ΛCDM model at one-sigma level or more (see lower panel of Fig. 4). The result stated in point 2 is independent of the assumed baryonic components of the Galactic potential, across a wide range for plausible masses and scale radii. However, the specific mapping of VG values on to the Mh–rs parameter space is highly dependent on the assumed bulge and disc models (see Section 4.3). Both the baryonic total mass and its distribution affect the results. In general, works that try to infer the dark matter halo mass from HVS data should fold in the uncertainties linked to our imperfect knowledge of the baryonic mass distribution. These results rely on certain assumptions for the binary population in the GC whose impact we now discuss. Following the same computational procedure previously presented for our fiducial model, we have found that a different mass function for the primary stars (either a Salpeter or a top-heavy mass function) or a change in metallicity (from supersolar to solar) do not substantially alter our results. However, the choice of the minimum companion mass (i.e. mmin in equation 3) does lead to different conclusions. In particular, the higher mmin, the steeper the binary distributions should be to fit the data, even for low (<850 km s−1) VG. For example, for mmin = 0.3 M⊙ (instead of 0.1  M⊙) and VG = 760 km s−1 the stripe of minima for the K–S test runs along the γ ≈ −6.5 and α ≈ 4.5 directions, very far from the observed values. Currently, there is no observational or theoretical reason why we should adopt a higher minimum mass than the one usually assumed (‘the brown dwarf’ limit), but this exercise shows that better quality and quantity HVS data has the potential to statistically constrain the minimum mass for a secondary, which may shed light on star and/or binary forming mechanisms at work in the GC. A second set of uncertainties that may affect our conclusions pertain to the observed binary parameter distributions in the 30 Doradus region, that we use as guidance. The 30 Doradus B-type sample of Dunstall et al. (2015) is based on six epochs of spectra, that do not allow for a full orbital solution for each system. These authors’ results are mainly based on the distribution of the maximum variation in radial velocities per system, from where they statistically derive constraints for the full sample. Another point worth stressing is that the 30 Doradus B-type sample is of early-type stars (mass roughly around 10 M⊙) and distributions for late B-type star binaries in star-forming regions may be different. However, these latter are not currently available, and therefore the Dustall et al. sample remains the most relevant to guide our analysis in those regions. Our statement is therefore that the statistical distributions derived from this sample (including the statistical errors on the power-law indexes) can reproduce HVS data at a several percentage confidence level. Far more reliable is the statistical description of observed late B-type binaries in the Solar neighbourhood, that can be easily reconciled with HVS data only for quite low VG potentials. A possibility that we have not so far discussed is that dynamical processes that inject binaries within Sgr A*'s tidal sphere modify the natal mass ratio and separation distributions. Unfortunately, as far as we know, dedicated studies are missing and we will then only discuss the consequence of the classical loss-cone14 theory dealing with two-body encounters (e.g. Frank & Rees 1976; Lightman & Shapiro 1977) as derived in Rossi et al. (2014, section 3). Their considerations show that even allowing for extreme regimes, one would expect no modification in the mass ratio distribution and a modification in the separation distribution by no more than a factor of ‘a’ (i.e. a natal Öpik's law would evolve into fa ∼ const.). This would increase the VG range (VG ≲ 750 km s−1) compatible with Solar neighbourhood observations (see Fig. 2). Besides that, all our results remain unchanged. We would also like to remark here that, although observed binary parameters give acceptable fits for VG < 930 km s−1, the K–S test results currently prefer even steeper mass ratio and binary separation distributions (γ ∼ −4.5 instead of γ ∼ −3.5 and/or α ∼ 2 instead of −1, see Fig. 6). This larger |γ| value gives a steeper high-velocity tail, which better match the lack of observed >700 km s−1 HVSs. From the above considerations, modification of the natal distribution by standard two-body scattering into the binary loss cone may not be held responsible. Assuming that the halo actually has VG < 930 km s−1, one possible inference is indeed that γ ∼ −4.5 is a better description of the B-type binary natal distribution in the GC, close but not identical to that in the Tarantula Nebula. Figure 6. Open in new tabDownload slide Contour plots for K–S test results in the parameter space Mh–rs, for fixed α, γ pairs (see panels’ label and star marks in Fig. 4). Velocity distributions are computed radially decelerating each star in a given potential (see Section 4). The white dashed lines are iso-contour lines for a given significance level |$\bar{\alpha }$|⁠. Regions at the left of each line have a value of |$\bar{\alpha }$| larger than that stated in the corresponding label. Figure 6. Open in new tabDownload slide Contour plots for K–S test results in the parameter space Mh–rs, for fixed α, γ pairs (see panels’ label and star marks in Fig. 4). Velocity distributions are computed radially decelerating each star in a given potential (see Section 4). The white dashed lines are iso-contour lines for a given significance level |$\bar{\alpha }$|⁠. Regions at the left of each line have a value of |$\bar{\alpha }$| larger than that stated in the corresponding label. It is of course possible that some other dynamical interactions (e.g. binary softening/hardening, collisions) or disruption of binaries in triples could be indeed responsible for a change in γ and a larger one in α. However, for massive binaries dynamical evolution of their properties may be neglected in the GC, because it would happen on time-scales longer than their lifetime (Pfuhl et al. 2014). On the contrary, it may be relevant for low-mass binaries, but only within the inner 0.1 pc (Hopman 2009). Nevertheless, these possibilities would be very intriguing to explore in depth, if more and better data on HVSs together with a more solid knowledge of binary properties in different regions will still indicate the need for such processes. Finally, given the paucity of data, we did not use any spatial distribution information but we rather fitted the velocity distribution integrated over the observed radial range. This precluded the possibility to meaningfully investigate anisotropic dark matter distributions and we preferred to confine ourselves to spherically symmetric potentials. All the above uncertainties and possibilities can and should be tested and explored when a HVS data sample that extends below and above the velocity peak is available. Such a data set would allow us to break the degeneracy between halo and binary parameters, as the rise to the peak and the peak itself are mostly sensitive to the halo properties, whereas the high-velocity tail is primarily shaped by the binary distributions. This will be achieved in the coming few years thanks to the ESA mission Gaia, whose catalogue should contain at least a few hundred HVSs with precise astrometric measurements. Moreover, Gaia will greatly improve our knowledge of binary statistics in the Galaxy (but not directly in the GC, where infrared observations are required) and in the LMC allowing us to draw more robust inferences. In conclusion, this paper shows for the first time the potential of HVS data combined with our modelling method to extract joint information on the GC and (dark) matter distribution. It is clear, however, that the full realization of this potential requires a larger and less biased set of data. The ESA Gaia mission is likely to provide such a sample within the coming five years. Acknowledgments We thank S. de Mink and R. Schödel for a careful reading of the manuscript and O. Gnedin, M. Viola, H. Perets, E. Starkenburg, J. Navarro, A. Helmi, S. Kobayashi and A. Brown for useful discussions and comments. We also thank the anonymous referee for the careful reading of the manuscript and his/her useful suggestions. EMR and TM acknowledge the support from NWO TOP grant Module 2, project number 614.001.401. 1 " In Sari et al. (2010), we show that a binary star on a parabolic orbit has 80 per cent chance of disruption, when considering prograde and retrograde orbits. Our (unpublished) calculations averaged over all orbital inclinations indicate a high percentage around ∼90 per cent. 2 " The binary's phase is the angle between the stars’ separation and their centre of mass radial distance from Sgr A*, measured, for instance, at the tidal radius or at pericentre. 3 " This fit value does not significantly depends on the total mass assumed for binaries. We do not calculate errors on this fitted index, because our aim is to draw in the γ–α parameter space an indicative range of power-law exponents for the separation distribution of B-type binaries in the Solar neighbourhood (see Fig. 2). 4 " There is one discovered at ∼12 kpc (Zheng et al. 2014), but we will not include in our analysis because it has a different mass and location than our working sample, and therefore it would need a separate analysis. 5 " Here, we simply follow the nomenclature given in Brown et al. (2014) of the two samples, even if, in fact, a knowledge of the potential is required to determine whether a star is bound and this is what we are after. 6 " See for example: Chernobai, Rachev & Fabozzi (2005). Composite goodness-of-fit tests for left-truncated loss samples. Technical Report, University of California, Santa Barbara. 7 " We remark in addition that our equation (5) takes already into account that faster stars have a shorter residence time by suppressing their number proportionally to v−1. 8 " We note that, even if not completely apparent in all our panels, the K–S test values start to increase again moving towards high values of |γ| and α: i.e. the stripe of minima has a finite size. 9 " Binaries where the HVS companions are the primary stars just contribute at a percentage level and only to the highest velocity part of the velocity distribution (see equation 1) in the whole parameter space explored in this work. 10 " The Kafle et al. (2014) model for the bulge is not spherical (see their table 1), therefore we compare to our model both their spherically averaged density profile and their density profile at 45° latitude (see Section 4 for a justification of this latter). 11 " We remind the reader that Δr = rout − rin. 12 " This is the mass enclosed within a sphere of mean density equal to 200 times the critical density of the Universe at z = 0. 13 " Indeed, we are comparing our models with a radially averaged observed distribution of HVS velocities beyond 50 kpc, we can therefore assume a spherically symmetric bulge, since its spatial extension is no more than a few kpc. 14 " The loss cone theory deals with processes by which stars are ‘lost’ because they enter the tidal sphere, in which they will suffer tidal disruption on a dynamical time. 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Open in new tabDownload slide Left-hand panel: Galactic circular velocity. Data points with error bars are taken from Huang et al. (2016). The orange and yellow regions correspond to the 68th and 95th credibility interval obtained with the MCMC described in the text for our fiducial Galactic potential model. Red dotted and blue dashed lines represent the contribution from the bulge and the disc, respectively, whereas the dash-dotted black line indicates the contribution from the best-fitting NFW halo. The solid black line corresponds to the total circular velocity for the best-fitting model (⁠|$\chi ^2_{\rm red} = 0.95$|⁠). Right-hand panel: posterior distributions of the two halo parameters, log10[Mh/M⊙] and rs, as obtained from the MCMC used to fit the Galaxy circular velocity measurements with the three models discussed in the text (see also legend). The diagonal panels show the posterior distributions for each parameter. The lower left panel shows the two-dimensional marginalized posterior distributions. As expected, the two parameters are strongly degenerate. Orange (yellow) region indicates the extent of the 68 per cent (95 per cent) credibility interval. Figure A1. Open in new tabDownload slide Left-hand panel: Galactic circular velocity. Data points with error bars are taken from Huang et al. (2016). The orange and yellow regions correspond to the 68th and 95th credibility interval obtained with the MCMC described in the text for our fiducial Galactic potential model. Red dotted and blue dashed lines represent the contribution from the bulge and the disc, respectively, whereas the dash-dotted black line indicates the contribution from the best-fitting NFW halo. The solid black line corresponds to the total circular velocity for the best-fitting model (⁠|$\chi ^2_{\rm red} = 0.95$|⁠). Right-hand panel: posterior distributions of the two halo parameters, log10[Mh/M⊙] and rs, as obtained from the MCMC used to fit the Galaxy circular velocity measurements with the three models discussed in the text (see also legend). The diagonal panels show the posterior distributions for each parameter. The lower left panel shows the two-dimensional marginalized posterior distributions. As expected, the two parameters are strongly degenerate. Orange (yellow) region indicates the extent of the 68 per cent (95 per cent) credibility interval. We remind the reader that our model for the matter density (and thus the circular velocity) of the Milky Way consists of three components: a bulge, a disc and an extended (dark matter) halo. While bulge and disc dominate the circular velocity at relatively small scales (below about 30 kpc), larger scales are dominated by the dark matter halo. Each of these components for all models we consider is described in detail in the main body of the paper (see Sections 4 and 4.3). To fit the data described above we fix the parameters that refers to the bulge and the disc, whereas we consider as free parameters those related to the dark matter halo. We remind that dark matter halo is assumed to have a NFW matter density profile, completely characterized by two parameters: the total halo mass, Mh and the scale radius, rs. The two-dimensional parameter space (Mh, rs) is sampled with an affine invariant ensemble MCMC sampler (Goodman & Weare 2010). Specifically, we use the publicly available code emcee (Foreman-Mackey et al. 2013). We run emcee with three separate chains with 200 walkers and 4500 steps per walker. Using the resulting 2700 000 model evaluations, we estimate the parameter uncertainties. We assess the convergence of the chains by computing the autocorrelation time (see e.g. Akeret et al. 2013) and finding that our chains are about a factor of 20 times longer than it is needed to reach 1 per cent precision on the mean of each fit parameter. The left-hand panel of Fig. A1 shows the circular velocity as a function of distance from the GC. Green points with error bars are taken from table 3 of Huang et al. (2016), whereas orange and yellow shaded regions correspond to the 68th and 95th credibility intervals obtained from the MCMC procedure described above for our fiducial model (Section 4). Different line styles and colours refer to the different contributions as detailed in the legend. The MCMC leads to a best-fitting χ2 of 39.07 with Ndata = 43 data points and Npar = 2 model parameters, thus resulting in a satisfactory reduced |$\chi ^2_{\rm red} = \chi ^2/(N_{\rm data}-N_{\rm par}) = 0.95$|⁠. Comparable level of agreement between models15 and data is obtained when adopting (i) a model that combines our fiducial disc parameters with a lighter bulge from McMillan (2017) (⁠|$\chi ^2_{\rm red} = 1.34$|⁠) or (ii) Kenyon et al. (2014)'s much lighter disc and bulge models (⁠|$\chi ^2_{\rm red} = 0.88$|⁠). The right-hand panels of Fig. A1 show the posterior distribution of the halo parameters for the three baryonic models mentioned above. As expected, the two halo parameters are strongly degenerate but the sampling strategy has nevertheless finely sampled the region of high likelihood. For our fiducial baryonic model, we find that log[Mh/ M⊙] = 11.89 ± 0.18 and rs = 25.4 ± 7.3 kpc, where we quote the median and errors are derived from the 16th and 84th percentiles. For (i) instead the best-fitting parameters are log[Mh/ M⊙] = 11.42 ± 0.06 and |$r_{\rm s} = 7.5^{+1.0}_{-0.9}$| kpc, while (ii) gives intermediate results: log[Mh/ M⊙] = 11.72 ± 0.06 and |$r_{\rm s} = 12.99^{+1.4}_{-1.3}$| kpc. © 2017 The Authors Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Royal Astronomical Society TI - Joint constraints on the Galactic dark matter halo and Galactic Centre from hypervelocity stars JF - Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society DO - 10.1093/mnras/stx098 DA - 2017-05-21 UR - https://www.deepdyve.com/lp/oxford-university-press/joint-constraints-on-the-galactic-dark-matter-halo-and-galactic-centre-nbE08MEkAc SP - 1844 VL - 467 IS - 2 DP - DeepDyve ER -