TY - JOUR AU1 - Neumann, Barbara AU2 - Vafeidis, Athanasios T. AU3 - Zimmermann, Juliane AU4 - Nicholls, Robert J. AU5 - AB - Coastal zones are exposed to a range of coastal hazards including sea-level rise with its relat- ed effects. At the same time, they are more densely populated than the hinterland and exhibit higher rates of population growth and urbanisation. As this trend is expected to continue into the future, we investigate how coastal populations will be affected by such impacts at global OPEN ACCESS and regional scales by the years 2030 and 2060. Starting from baseline population estimates Citation: Neumann B, Vafeidis AT, Zimmermann J, for the year 2000, we assess future population change in the low-elevation coastal zone and Nicholls RJ (2015) Future Coastal Population Growth and Exposure to Sea-Level Rise and Coastal trends in exposure to 100-year coastal floods based on four different sea-level and socio-eco- Flooding - A Global Assessment. PLoS ONE 10(3): nomic scenarios. Our method accounts for differential growth of coastal areas against the e0118571. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0118571 land-locked hinterland and for trends of urbanisation and expansive urban growth, as current- Academic Editor: Lalit Kumar, University of New ly observed, but does not explicitly consider possible displacement or out-migration due to England, AUSTRALIA factors such as sea-level rise. We combine spatially explicit estimates of the baseline TI - Future Coastal Population Growth and Exposure to Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Flooding - A Global Assessment JF - PLoS ONE DO - 10.1371/journal.pone.0118571 DA - 2015-03-11 UR - https://www.deepdyve.com/lp/unpaywall/future-coastal-population-growth-and-exposure-to-sea-level-rise-and-hDaYPW17NQ DP - DeepDyve ER -