TY - JOUR AU - ANSLEY, CRAIG, F. AB - Abstract We obtain a conditional prediction mean squared error for a state space model with estimated parameters. An important application of our results is the derivation of conditional forecast and interpolation mean squared errors for autoregressive-moving average models with estimated parameters. We also obtain the conditional mean squared error for filtered and smoothed estimates of the state vector. This content is only available as a PDF. © 1986 Biometrika Trust TI - Prediction mean squared error for state space models with estimated parameters JO - Biometrika DO - 10.1093/biomet/73.2.467 DA - 1986-08-01 UR - https://www.deepdyve.com/lp/oxford-university-press/prediction-mean-squared-error-for-state-space-models-with-estimated-bGFLKKrHCe SP - 467 VL - 73 IS - 2 DP - DeepDyve ER -