TY - JOUR AU - Barry, James, P. AB - Acidification, deoxygenation, and warming are escalating changes in coastal waters throughout the world ocean, with potentially severe consequences for marine life and ocean-based economies. To examine the influence of these oceanographic changes on a key biological process, we measured the effects of current and expected future conditions in the California Current Large Marine Ecosystem on the fertilization success of the red abalone (Haliotis rufescens). Laboratory experiments were used to assess abalone fertilization success during simultaneous exposure to various levels of seawater pH (gradient from 7.95 to 7.2), dissolved oxygen (DO) (∼60 and 180 µm.kg SW) and temperature (9, 13, and 18 °C). Fertilization success declined continuously with decreasing pH but dropped precipitously below a threshold near pH 7.55 in cool (9 °C—upwelling) to average (13 °C) seawater temperatures. Variation in DO had a negligible effect on fertilization. In contrast, warmer waters (18 °C) often associated with El Niño Southern Oscillation conditions in central California acted antagonistically with decreasing pH, largely reducing the strong negative influence below the pH threshold. Experimental approaches that examine the interactive effects of multiple environmental drivers and also strive to characterize the functional response of organisms along gradients in environmental change are becoming increasingly important in advancing our understanding of the real-world consequences of changing ocean conditions. Introduction Fossil fuel CO2 emissions are driving massive and rapid changes in global temperature and ocean chemistry (Bakun, 1990; Caldeira and Wickett, 2003; Sabine et al., 2004; Solomon et al., 2007; Chan et al., 2008). These global scale impacts are leading to a cascade of changes in ocean stratification, transport, convection, and other key processes at both regional and local scales. In the California Current Large Marine Ecosystem (CCLME), shoaling of the oxygen minimum zone (Stramma et al., 2010) has promoted a reduction in the pH and dissolved oxygen (DO) content of upwelled waters that are advected into nearshore habitats (Chan et al. 2008; Feely et al., 2008; Bograd et al., 2008; Connolly et al., 2010; Keeling et al., 2010; Deutsch et al., 2011; Booth et al. 2012; Walter et al. 2014). In addition, an increase in El Niño-like conditions in combination with global ocean warming has resulted in recent increases in temperatures in coastal ecosystems of the CCLME (Trenberth and Hoar, 1997; Lee and McPhaden, 2010; Cai et al., 2014). These growing changes in key ocean conditions are predicted to directly affect the physiology of many marine organisms, with potentially profound effects on the sustainability of marine populations (Vaquer-Sunyer and Duarte, 2008; Portner and Farrell, 2008; Somero et al., 2016). To date, however, most research has focused on the response of marine organisms to shifts in a single oceanographic parameter (reviewed by Gattuso et al., 2015) and our understanding of biological responses to simultaneous changes in multiple ocean conditions is poorly understood. Experimental approaches that assess the response of species, assemblages, and marine communities to realistic future environmental variation among multiple drivers (e.g. Kroeker et al., 2013) are needed to refine our ability to predict the future stability of ecosystem function and the sustainability of ocean-based economies (Gattuso et al., 2015). The persistence of natural populations depends on successful reproduction, and much research has focused on the effects of ocean acidification, hypoxia and temperature variation on fertilization success and early development in marine species (reviewed by Byrne, 2011). Although several biological factors (e.g. gamete concentration, sperm:egg ratios, gamete age; Babcock and Keesing, 1999; Baker and Tyler, 2001; Huchette et al., 2004) or changes in ocean conditions (e.g. pH; Kurihara and Shirayama, 2004; Havenhand et al, 2008) are known to affect fertilization success, few studies have examined the effects of simultaneous exposure to multiple environmental changes (e.g. Byrne et al, 2010). Thus, we are just beginning to address how simultaneous exposure to multiple drivers may influence these key processes in marine organisms, and importantly, whether non-linear responses and tipping points exist across chemo-physical drivers. These questions are particularly relevant in systems where environmental conditions are highly variable in space and time, and where this variability is predicted to increase under future climate change scenarios, such as upwelling ecosystems (Bakun, 1990; Sydeman et al., 2014; Bakun et al., 2015). Here, we addressed the individual and interactive effects of current and expected future pH, DO, and temperature on fertilization success using a nearshore benthic invertebrate, the red abalone Haliotis rufescens, as a model system. Red abalone (H. rufescens), naturally inhabit the intertidal to a depth of ca. 30 m from Southern Oregon to Central Baja California of the CCLME (Boolootian et al., 1962). Abalone and other ecologically important and economically valuable benthic invertebrates are unable to escape bottom hypoxia because of their limited mobility. They are also are negatively affected by high pCO2 (low pH) that can interfere with shell deposition and growth, and are impacted by high temperatures, directly or indirectly, through the loss of their algal food resources (Shepherd et al., 1998; Orr et al., 2005; Micheli et al., 2012; Gazeau et al., 2013; Kim et al., 2013). The question of how different combinations of drivers may independently or interactively affect abalone and other species remains unanswered. However, recent experiments indicate that exposure to even a limited range of low pH and low DO may have deleterious effects on mortality and growth of early stage of red abalone juveniles (Kim et al., 2013). Therefore, to increase our understanding of the likely future effects of climate-driven changes in ocean conditions for marine species, it is crucial to explore the effects of simultaneous exposure to key environmental variables on critical processes such as fertilization. Here we examined the effects of variation in seawater pH, DO, and temperature on the fertilization success of red abalone H. rufescens. These oceanographic parameters are highly variable in upwelling affected areas of nearshore habitats in the CCLME, and their range of variability is shifting in response to climate change (Sydeman et al., 2014) and as such, future upwelling is expected to be increasingly stressful for coastal species (Somero et al., 2016). We employed a hybrid (regression/factorial) experimental approach to assess abalone fertilization success across a gradient of seawater pH (regression, 40+ pH levels), combined with a factorial approach for DO (two levels: 6 and 2 mg/l DO) and temperature (three levels: 9, 13, and 18°C). This novel hybrid design allowed us to characterize the functional response of fertilization over a large range of pH, under multiple co-varying conditions, and assess potential thresholds to changes in pH beyond current day variation. Based on previous studies, we hypothesized that decreasing pH may have a negative effect on fertilization (Kroeker et al., 2010; Gazeau et al., 2013). However, potential interactions with DO and temperature were difficult to predict because of the limited range or the number of pH levels that have been previously examined (Byrne et al., 2010). While decreasing pH may reduce fertilization success, an additional driver may not further affect fertilization or the independent effects of a secondary driver may dominate, thus decoupling fertilization success from the effects of pH (dominant stressor model; Halpern et al., 2008). In a more complex process, a secondary driver may interact with pH, modifying the decline in fertilization rates along the pH gradient by ameliorating or exacerbating negative impacts (antagonistic and synergistic effects, respectively; Crain et al., 2008). Finally, the effects of an additional environmental driver may be non-linear along a pH gradient. Methods Preparation of seawater treatments Two days before each experiment, seawater sources were produced using the nitrogen, air, and CO2 gas control system described in Barry et al. (2008) and stored at 13°C in gas-tight 10 l mylar bags (Calibrated Instruments, Inc., NY, USA) with one-way Luer Lock stopcocks. The target pH (total scale) and DO concentration of the seawater sources (Supplementary Table S1) were adjusted in order to achieve the ranges utilized in the fertilization experiments (pH 7.95–7.2 and DO 6 and 2 mg/l) while accounting for the process of adding gametes (see ‘Assessment of fertilization success’ section below). After 24 h, pH (n = 3 each; UV-1601 spectrophotometer, Shimadzu, Kyoto, Japan) and total alkalinity (n = 8; TA, TitroLine 7000 open cell, potentiometric titration system, SI Analytics, Germany) of each seawater source were measured and used to estimate dissolved inorganic carbon concentrations (DIC, at 13°C and 33 psu). In addition, DO concentrations were verified using an Aanderaa 3830 optode (Xylem Inc., NY, USA). Based on DIC and TA values (Supplementary Table S1 and S2), mixtures of each seawater source needed to achieve the desired range of pH and DO for a particular experiment (see Supplementary material ‘Preparation of seawater sources and Determination of volumetric mixtures of seawater sources to achieve target pH and DO’ section) were determined using CO2SYS (http://cdiac.ornl.gov/oceans/co2rprt.html). These predetermined mixtures were then loaded into 50 ml gas-tight glass syringes fitted with three-way Luer Locks (“experimental syringes”; Tomopal, Japan). To remove any bubbles, 15 ml of seawater was extruded and the syringe re-sealed, retaining 35 ml of treatment seawater. Syringes were then stored overnight in a temperature controlled seawater baths appropriate for the given experiment (8.5, 13, or 18.5°C, see description of experiments below). In preliminary studies, we determined that the change in carbonate chemistry and DO within experimental syringes was negligible over several days. Abalone spawning, gamete concentration determination, and gamete density adjustment Abalone were obtained from American Abalone Farms, Davenport, CA, USA. For each experiment, six males (mean shell length = 86.4 mm ± 4.0 SD) and six females (mean shell length = 94.5 mm ± 5.8 SD) were conditioned in two tanks with flowing 13°C seawater, 0:24 Light:Dark photoperiod, and fed giant kelp, Macrocystis pyrifera, ad libitum for 2 weeks prior to the day of experiment. On the day of each experiment, we separated the male and female brooders into individual induction containers and used the tris-buffer, hydrogen peroxide, and temperature protocol to individually induce spawning (Morse et al., 1977). We delayed the initiation of the protocol for males by ∼1.5h, relative to females, in order to synchronize spawning between sexes. Over the experiments, 95% of male and female abalone spawned within a 1-h window. Upon commencement of spawning, sperm and eggs from all spawning individuals were pooled in separate 500 ml, autoclaved glass beakers. Gamete collection was limited to 45 min after the first animal spawned to reduce the potential effects of gamete age on fertilization success. To determine initial density of the pooled sperm stock, micrographs of sperm stained with Lugol’s solution were taken on a hemocytometer (Bright-Line, PA, USA) with an Axioscop compound microscope (10×, Zeiss, Germany, Olympus ZH71 camera attachment and CellSens software). ImageJ (https://imagej.nih.gov/ij/) software was then used to automatically enumerate sperm (n = 2 samples from pooled sperm stock, see Supplementary material ‘Estimation of sperm density via image analysis’ section and Supplementary Figures S1A–C). To estimate initial egg density, the number of eggs in 50 µl (n = 4) subsamples of the pooled egg stock were counted on an Olympus SZH10 dissecting microscope. From these estimates and accounting for the process of adding gametes into seawater treatments (final volume of 40 ml in each syringe, see ‘Assessment of fertilization success’ section below), sperm and egg stock densities were diluted with control sea water to achieve a final concentration of sperm and eggs in each syringe of 106 and ∼60 ml−1, respectively (see Supplementary material ‘Determination of experimental sperm density and exposure time’ section). During and after density adjustments, gamete stocks were maintained at 13°C. Assessment of fertilization success To access fertilization success, sperm and eggs from the adjusted density pooled gamete stocks were injected into 50 ml experimental syringes pre-loaded with volumetric mixtures of seawater sources (see ‘Preparation of seawater treatments’ section above) to achieve the range of pH and DO for a given experiment and held at the appropriate temperature (8.5, 13, or 18.5°C, see description of experiments below). A 2 ml of egg stock solution, followed by 2 ml of sperm stock solution, were injected into the experimental syringe using separate 5ml gas-tight syringes with one-way Luer Locks (Figure 1a). Subsequently, 1 ml of control seawater was injected from a separate 5 ml syringe to flush any gametes remaining in the Luer Lock into each experimental syringe (see Supplementary Tables S1 and S2 for final flush source), bringing the final total volume to 40 ml. The order which experimental syringes were inoculated with gametes was randomized with the exception of controls (see descriptions of experiments below), which were conducted at the start, finish and across regular intervals during each experiment. Figure 1. Open in new tabDownload slide General procedure during the fertilization experiments. A. Known concentrations of sperm (white cloud) are loaded after egg injection (white flecks) into 50 ml gas-tight syringes (Tomopal, Japan) with specified pH, DO, and temperature levels. Seawater is kept water tight in syringes with 3–way Luer Lock valve and connector. B. A final 1 ml of seawater is injected into the syringes to flush any gametes in the valves. Then all the syringes are incubated for 600 seconds in the appropriate temperature tank. C. 20 ml out of the total 40 ml in each syringe are loaded into a modified 50 ml syringe container to measure the pH (SentrON-Line 8100-100 ISFET probe connected by RS232 cable to a logging computer), dissolved oxygen and temperature (NeoFox hyoxy probe, sensing patch and temperature probe connected via USB to a logging computer). D. Sample micrograph showing unfertilized eggs (single cells indicated by red arrows) and 4-cell stage fertilized eggs (remainder of the cells) after 600 seconds of treatment followed by 4-hours of incubation at non-stressful levels. Figure 1. Open in new tabDownload slide General procedure during the fertilization experiments. A. Known concentrations of sperm (white cloud) are loaded after egg injection (white flecks) into 50 ml gas-tight syringes (Tomopal, Japan) with specified pH, DO, and temperature levels. Seawater is kept water tight in syringes with 3–way Luer Lock valve and connector. B. A final 1 ml of seawater is injected into the syringes to flush any gametes in the valves. Then all the syringes are incubated for 600 seconds in the appropriate temperature tank. C. 20 ml out of the total 40 ml in each syringe are loaded into a modified 50 ml syringe container to measure the pH (SentrON-Line 8100-100 ISFET probe connected by RS232 cable to a logging computer), dissolved oxygen and temperature (NeoFox hyoxy probe, sensing patch and temperature probe connected via USB to a logging computer). D. Sample micrograph showing unfertilized eggs (single cells indicated by red arrows) and 4-cell stage fertilized eggs (remainder of the cells) after 600 seconds of treatment followed by 4-hours of incubation at non-stressful levels. After gamete injection, each experimental syringe was held in a second temperature bath (Figure 1b, 9, 13, or 18°C, see description of experiments below) and eggs were exposed to sperm for a duration of 600 s (see Supplementary material ‘Determination of experimental sperm density and exposure time’ section). Subsequent to the exposure period, 20 ml of each experimental syringe was expunged into a 50 ml falcon tube, with the bottom removed and replaced with Nitex 90 µm mesh, then immersed repeatedly in control seawater (pH ∼7.95, DO ∼6.0 mg/l, 13°C) to wash away excess sperm and terminate the exposure period. Each tube was held in bins filled with flowing control seawater for 4 h, at a depth that maintained each tube approximately two-third filled, to allow fertilized eggs to develop. Samples were then washed into 20 ml glass scintillation vials and fixed with 500 µl of 10% formalin. For each sample, >100 cells were examined using an Olympus SZ40 dissecting microscope to access proportional fertilization success, with eggs reaching a two-cell stage or greater counted as fertilized (Figure 1d). Measurement of post-fertilization experimental syringe pH and DO The remaining 20 ml of sample was held in the sealed experimental syringe (<3 h) at 13°C until pH and DO were measured. A SentrON-Line 8100-100 ISFET probe (Sentron, NL) was used to estimate pH (total scale) and a NeoFox spectrometer (OceanOptics, FL, USA) system to measure DO and temperature (Figure 1c, for details see supplementary material ‘Determination of post fertilization experimental syringe pH and DO’ section). Effects of ocean acidification and hypoxia on fertilization rates The range of current environmental variability along the central California coast within the CCLME was used to determine the range of treatments levels for pH, DO, and temperature over which abalone fertilization success was measured. Records of temperature, DO, and pH from a depth of 6 m off Hopkins Marine Station were made during the spring upwelling period (observations in April–June, 2013 season) (Figure 2), indicating extremes during upwelling conditions of pH 7.5, DO 60 µmol/kg SW (approximately 2.0 mg/l DO), and 9°C. Although it is difficult to predict the time scales and magnitude of changes in the composition of upwelled waters in response to rising atmospheric CO2 (Feely et al., 2004, 2008) we used a pH offset of -0.3 pH (reference for global surface water pH change) units below the current upwelling minimum as a pH minimum (7.2) for our experiments. Thus, to assess the effects of current upwelling conditions, as well as scenarios reflecting future acidification and deoxygenation, we evaluated fertilization success across 40 levels of pH ranging from ∼7.95 to ∼7.2 pH crossed with two DO concentrations representing normoxic and hypoxic conditions (5.7 and 1.97 mg/l DO, respectively) at 13°C. Figure 2. Open in new tabDownload slide pH, dissolved oxygen, and temperature (1 m above the bottom, 25 April, 2013 – 14 June, 2013) from a near shore upwelling zone (∼6 m depth; 36.624 °N; 121.905 °W). A. pH (total scale) versus temperature (SeaFET pH sensor, Satlantic, Halifax, Canada). B. Dissolved oxygen versus temperature (SBE 16 CTDO, Sea-Bird Electronics, Inc., Washington, USA). The extreme pH and dissolved oxygen and associated temperature during upwelling at this site are noted in both panels. Figure 2. Open in new tabDownload slide pH, dissolved oxygen, and temperature (1 m above the bottom, 25 April, 2013 – 14 June, 2013) from a near shore upwelling zone (∼6 m depth; 36.624 °N; 121.905 °W). A. pH (total scale) versus temperature (SeaFET pH sensor, Satlantic, Halifax, Canada). B. Dissolved oxygen versus temperature (SBE 16 CTDO, Sea-Bird Electronics, Inc., Washington, USA). The extreme pH and dissolved oxygen and associated temperature during upwelling at this site are noted in both panels. Effects of acidification and ocean warming on fertilization rates To assess the effects of pH and temperature typical for present-day upwelling (Figure 2b, pH 7.5, 9°C) and future ocean acidification and warming scenarios (pH 7.2–7.5, 18°C), we evaluated fertilization success across a range of pH, ∼7.95 to ∼7.2 pH, across two temperatures (n = 45 for 9 and 18°C). It is important to note that experimental syringes were stored at 8.5, and 18.5°C overnight prior to inoculation (see ‘Preparation of seawater treatments’ section) in order to achieve targeted temperatures (9, and 18°C, respectively) while accounting for the temperature of the seawater used in the process of adding gametes (13°C). Subsequently, experimental syringes were held at 9 and 18°C (Figure 1b), as appropriate, during the period of gamete exposure (600 s). Statistical analysis To evaluate proportional fertilization success as a function of measured pH in combination with DO or temperature groups, response data were logit transformed and evaluated for any significant response to pH, DO, and temperature using Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) in R (Warton and Hui, 2011). Homogeneity of the data was assessed via visual inspection of residuals versus GLM predicted logit transformed data (Supplementary Figure S3). These GLM models were then incorporated into Segmented Model analysis to determine the existence of a threshold or a breaking point, and any changes in the response slopes as a function of pH and any additional factors (Muggeo, 2003, 2008). Additional comparison of GLM and Segmented Model fits were assessed using corrected Akaike Information Criterion (AICc) with a reduction of AICc > 10 by the Segmented Model used as a conservative estimate for reporting a significant improvement relative to the GLM and further evidence for non-linearity and a possible threshold. Results Seawater treatment measurements Overall, the mean difference between predicted pH and measured pH was 0.03 ± 0.03 pH units for the ocean acidification and hypoxia experiment and 0.08 ± 0.06 pH units for the ocean acidification and ocean warming experiment. For the former experiment, the mean DO for the control group was 5.70 ± 0.35 mg/l DO, 5.72 ± 0.35 mg/l for the High DO group, and 1.97 ± 0.33 mg/l for the hypoxic Low DO group. For the latter experiment, the temperature in the incubation bins during the fertilization time remained stable at 13.6, 9.3, and 17.9°C for the Control, Low, and High Temperature groups (Table 1). Measured pH showed a high correlation with predicted pH values from CO2SYS for both experiments with r2= 0.99 and r2 = 0.91 (Figure 3a and b). The lower r2 value in the second regression experiment is attributed to 3 pH outliers that were likely caused by inconsistent volume mixture during preparation. Figure 3. Open in new tabDownload slide Measured vs. predicted pH. A. Correlation between SentrOn-Line 8100-100 ISFET probe (ion-sensitive field-effect transistor; Sentron, Netherlands) measured pH output (total scale) versus CO2Sys predicted pH (total scale) from source water mixing at 13 °C. B. Correlation between SentrOn-Line 8100-100 ISFET probe (ion-sensitive field-effect transistor; Sentron, Netherlands) measured pH output (y-axis) versus CO2Sys predicted pH from source water mixing for 9, 13, and 18 °C. For both panels, open circles represents each sample treatment from the experiment (n=92 and n=108 respectively). Dashed line is the linear regression line fit and the solid black line represents 1 to 1 unity. SentrON-Line 8100-100 probe was connected via RS232 cable to a PC and the data logged via DataLogger Suite software. Figure 3. Open in new tabDownload slide Measured vs. predicted pH. A. Correlation between SentrOn-Line 8100-100 ISFET probe (ion-sensitive field-effect transistor; Sentron, Netherlands) measured pH output (total scale) versus CO2Sys predicted pH (total scale) from source water mixing at 13 °C. B. Correlation between SentrOn-Line 8100-100 ISFET probe (ion-sensitive field-effect transistor; Sentron, Netherlands) measured pH output (y-axis) versus CO2Sys predicted pH from source water mixing for 9, 13, and 18 °C. For both panels, open circles represents each sample treatment from the experiment (n=92 and n=108 respectively). Dashed line is the linear regression line fit and the solid black line represents 1 to 1 unity. SentrON-Line 8100-100 probe was connected via RS232 cable to a PC and the data logged via DataLogger Suite software. Table 1. Dissolved oxygen and temperature measurements from experimental treatments. Experiment . Group . n . mean . SD . SE . A. Ocean acidification and hypoxia Control 12 5.70 0.35 0.10 Low DO 40 1.97 0.33 0.05 High DO 40 5.72 0.35 0.06 B. Ocean acidification and warming Control 5 13.56 0.06 0.11 Low Temp. 5 9.30 0.25 0.02 High Temp. 4 17.90 0 0 Experiment . Group . n . mean . SD . SE . A. Ocean acidification and hypoxia Control 12 5.70 0.35 0.10 Low DO 40 1.97 0.33 0.05 High DO 40 5.72 0.35 0.06 B. Ocean acidification and warming Control 5 13.56 0.06 0.11 Low Temp. 5 9.30 0.25 0.02 High Temp. 4 17.90 0 0 n = number of samples. Dissolved oxygen (mg/l) during experiment A was measured using NeoFox Hyoxy dissolved oxygen sensor (OceanOptics, FL, USA). Temperature (°C) during experiment B was measured using Taylor Digital Probe Thermometer 9842 (Taylor Precision Products, New Mexico, USA). Temperature samples were taken every 20 minutes over ∼80 minutes (the full duration of experiment B). Table 1. Dissolved oxygen and temperature measurements from experimental treatments. Experiment . Group . n . mean . SD . SE . A. Ocean acidification and hypoxia Control 12 5.70 0.35 0.10 Low DO 40 1.97 0.33 0.05 High DO 40 5.72 0.35 0.06 B. Ocean acidification and warming Control 5 13.56 0.06 0.11 Low Temp. 5 9.30 0.25 0.02 High Temp. 4 17.90 0 0 Experiment . Group . n . mean . SD . SE . A. Ocean acidification and hypoxia Control 12 5.70 0.35 0.10 Low DO 40 1.97 0.33 0.05 High DO 40 5.72 0.35 0.06 B. Ocean acidification and warming Control 5 13.56 0.06 0.11 Low Temp. 5 9.30 0.25 0.02 High Temp. 4 17.90 0 0 n = number of samples. Dissolved oxygen (mg/l) during experiment A was measured using NeoFox Hyoxy dissolved oxygen sensor (OceanOptics, FL, USA). Temperature (°C) during experiment B was measured using Taylor Digital Probe Thermometer 9842 (Taylor Precision Products, New Mexico, USA). Temperature samples were taken every 20 minutes over ∼80 minutes (the full duration of experiment B). Fertilization response to ocean acidification and hypoxia Overall, fertilization success decreased from ∼59 to 4% as pH decreased from 7.9 to 7.18 for the low DO group (∼1.97 mg/l DO). For the normoxic group (∼5.72 mg/l DO), fertilization dropped from 58 to 3% as pH decreased from 7.84 to 7.15. In the control group (7.81–7.89 pH, ∼5.70 mg/l DO), fertilization success ranged from 59 to 38%. These results are shown in Figure 4a. Results of the GLM model (Table 2, Model A) showed that the pH × DO interaction was not significant, indicating that DO did not interact with pH to affect variation in fertilization success. Further evaluation with Segmented Model analysis revealed a significant threshold at a pH of 7.56 (±0.03 SE) and a significant change in the intercept and slope below this threshold estimate [Table 3(A)]. These results indicate a greater drop in fertilization success per unit of pH change below this point. AICc comparison of GLM with Segmented Model fits showed that the Segmented Model was a significant improvement over the GLM (SM, Table 3, AICc > 10) indicating a non-linear response of fertilization success to decreasing pH. Figure 4. Open in new tabDownload slide Abalone fertilization response to multiple stressors. A. Open circles represent proportional fertilization at pH (total scale) ranging from ∼7.9 to ∼7.2 and 6.0 mg/l dissolved oxygen. Black solid dots represent responses to pH ranging from ∼7.9 to ∼7.2 and 1.5 mg/l dissolved oxygen. For all the treatments in this experiment, temperature was maintained at 13 °C. Solid black line represents segmented model fit with dashed lines representing lower and upper 95% confidence limits. B. Proportional fertilization success (solid blue circles) to pH ranging from ∼7.9 to ∼7.2 and 9 °C. Solid black line represents segmented model fit with dashed lines representing lower and upper 95% confidence limits. C. Proportional fertilization success (squares) to pH ranging from ∼7.9 to ∼7.2 and 18 °C. Solid black line represents GLM fit with dashed lines representing lower and upper 95% confidence limits. For panels B-C, dissolved oxygen was maintained at normoxic levels. For all panels, y-axis represent proportional fertilization success and x-axis represent the measured pH in each experimental sample (n=92 for C and n=108 for C). For panels A and B, black solid circles represent break-point estimates with error bars. Figure 4. Open in new tabDownload slide Abalone fertilization response to multiple stressors. A. Open circles represent proportional fertilization at pH (total scale) ranging from ∼7.9 to ∼7.2 and 6.0 mg/l dissolved oxygen. Black solid dots represent responses to pH ranging from ∼7.9 to ∼7.2 and 1.5 mg/l dissolved oxygen. For all the treatments in this experiment, temperature was maintained at 13 °C. Solid black line represents segmented model fit with dashed lines representing lower and upper 95% confidence limits. B. Proportional fertilization success (solid blue circles) to pH ranging from ∼7.9 to ∼7.2 and 9 °C. Solid black line represents segmented model fit with dashed lines representing lower and upper 95% confidence limits. C. Proportional fertilization success (squares) to pH ranging from ∼7.9 to ∼7.2 and 18 °C. Solid black line represents GLM fit with dashed lines representing lower and upper 95% confidence limits. For panels B-C, dissolved oxygen was maintained at normoxic levels. For all panels, y-axis represent proportional fertilization success and x-axis represent the measured pH in each experimental sample (n=92 for C and n=108 for C). For panels A and B, black solid circles represent break-point estimates with error bars. Table 2. Statistical results for proportion fertilized in each experiment. Model . . Estimate . SE . z-value . p-value . A. Model for pH and DO experiment: (Intercept) −24.69 1.16 −21.22 *** y = pH + DO Group + pH * DO Group + e pH 3.19 0.16 20.41 *** Low DO 1.66 1.61 1.03 NS pH x Low DO −0.23 0.22 −1.07 NS Null Deviance: 1316.42 (79 d.f.) Residual Deviance: 464.05 (76 d.f.) AIC: 879.25 B. Model for pH and temperature experiment: (Intercept) −20.83 0.89 −23.37 *** y = pH + Temp. Group + pH * Temp. Group + e pH 2.67 0.12 22.46 *** High Temp. 16.75 1.13 14.88 *** pH x High Temp −2.13 0.15 −14.15 *** Null Deviance: 2829.6 (89 d.f.) Residual Deviance: 1514.4 (86 d.f.) AIC: 2023.00 Model . . Estimate . SE . z-value . p-value . A. Model for pH and DO experiment: (Intercept) −24.69 1.16 −21.22 *** y = pH + DO Group + pH * DO Group + e pH 3.19 0.16 20.41 *** Low DO 1.66 1.61 1.03 NS pH x Low DO −0.23 0.22 −1.07 NS Null Deviance: 1316.42 (79 d.f.) Residual Deviance: 464.05 (76 d.f.) AIC: 879.25 B. Model for pH and temperature experiment: (Intercept) −20.83 0.89 −23.37 *** y = pH + Temp. Group + pH * Temp. Group + e pH 2.67 0.12 22.46 *** High Temp. 16.75 1.13 14.88 *** pH x High Temp −2.13 0.15 −14.15 *** Null Deviance: 2829.6 (89 d.f.) Residual Deviance: 1514.4 (86 d.f.) AIC: 2023.00 A. GLM model evaluation of pH and dissolved oxygen effects with 5.9 mg/l dissolved oxygen group as the reference (surface water) data and 1.9 mg/l group as the comparative hypoxic group. Both data are constant at 13 °C. B. GLM evaluation for pH and temperature dual stressor experiment with 9 °C group (upwelling) as the reference temperature and 18 °C data as the comparative group (ocean warming). y = proportional fertilization response; e = error term; DO = dissolved oxygen; Temp. = temperature; * = p < 0.05; ** = p < 0.01; *** = p < 0.001. Table 2. Statistical results for proportion fertilized in each experiment. Model . . Estimate . SE . z-value . p-value . A. Model for pH and DO experiment: (Intercept) −24.69 1.16 −21.22 *** y = pH + DO Group + pH * DO Group + e pH 3.19 0.16 20.41 *** Low DO 1.66 1.61 1.03 NS pH x Low DO −0.23 0.22 −1.07 NS Null Deviance: 1316.42 (79 d.f.) Residual Deviance: 464.05 (76 d.f.) AIC: 879.25 B. Model for pH and temperature experiment: (Intercept) −20.83 0.89 −23.37 *** y = pH + Temp. Group + pH * Temp. Group + e pH 2.67 0.12 22.46 *** High Temp. 16.75 1.13 14.88 *** pH x High Temp −2.13 0.15 −14.15 *** Null Deviance: 2829.6 (89 d.f.) Residual Deviance: 1514.4 (86 d.f.) AIC: 2023.00 Model . . Estimate . SE . z-value . p-value . A. Model for pH and DO experiment: (Intercept) −24.69 1.16 −21.22 *** y = pH + DO Group + pH * DO Group + e pH 3.19 0.16 20.41 *** Low DO 1.66 1.61 1.03 NS pH x Low DO −0.23 0.22 −1.07 NS Null Deviance: 1316.42 (79 d.f.) Residual Deviance: 464.05 (76 d.f.) AIC: 879.25 B. Model for pH and temperature experiment: (Intercept) −20.83 0.89 −23.37 *** y = pH + Temp. Group + pH * Temp. Group + e pH 2.67 0.12 22.46 *** High Temp. 16.75 1.13 14.88 *** pH x High Temp −2.13 0.15 −14.15 *** Null Deviance: 2829.6 (89 d.f.) Residual Deviance: 1514.4 (86 d.f.) AIC: 2023.00 A. GLM model evaluation of pH and dissolved oxygen effects with 5.9 mg/l dissolved oxygen group as the reference (surface water) data and 1.9 mg/l group as the comparative hypoxic group. Both data are constant at 13 °C. B. GLM evaluation for pH and temperature dual stressor experiment with 9 °C group (upwelling) as the reference temperature and 18 °C data as the comparative group (ocean warming). y = proportional fertilization response; e = error term; DO = dissolved oxygen; Temp. = temperature; * = p < 0.05; ** = p < 0.01; *** = p < 0.001. Table 3. Break-Point estimation. A. Ocean acidification and hypoxia (all data) . . . . Segmented model y = pH + U + psi + e Estimate SE z-value p-value (Intercept) −32.78 1.68 −19.55 *** pH 4.28 0.23 18.85 *** U −3.10 0.47 −6.67 NA Null seviance: 1316.42 (79 d.f.) Residual deviance: 413.25 (76 d.f.) AIC: 828.46 Segmented model BP estimate 7.56 ± 0.03 SE Davies test BP estimate 7.56*** Estimate SE LCI (95%) UCI (95%) Slope segment 1 4.29 0.23 3.83 4.74 Slope segment 2 1.18 0.41 0.37 1.99 B. Ocean acidification and warming (9 C dataset) Segmented model y = pH + U + psi + e Estimate SE z-value p-value (Intercept) −35.62 2.20 −16.19 *** pH 4.69 0.30 15.69 *** U −4.13 0.49 −8.36 NA Null deviance: 1094.28 (44 d.f.) Residual deviance: 495.05 (41 d.f.) AIC: 748.04 Segmented model BP estimate 7.52 ± 0.02 SE Davies test BP estimate 7.52*** Estimate SE LCI (95%) UCI (95%) Slope segment 1 4.69 0.30 4.08 5.29 Slope segment 2 0.56 0.39 −0.24 1.35 C. Ocean acidification and warming (18 C dataset) Segmented model y = pH + U + psi + e Estimate SE z-value p-value (Intercept) −2.44 1.01 −2.41 * pH 0.32 0.14 2.33 * U 1.69 0.71 2.39 NA Null deviance: 977.09 (44 d.f.) Residual deviance: 933.94 (41 d.f.) AIC: 1197.5 Segmented model BP estimate 7.72 ± 0.06 SE Davies test BP estimate 7.73* Estimate SE LCI (95%) UCI (95%) Slope segment 1 0.32 0.14 0.04 0.6 Slope segment 2 2.01 0.70 0.61 3.42 A. Ocean acidification and hypoxia (all data) . . . . Segmented model y = pH + U + psi + e Estimate SE z-value p-value (Intercept) −32.78 1.68 −19.55 *** pH 4.28 0.23 18.85 *** U −3.10 0.47 −6.67 NA Null seviance: 1316.42 (79 d.f.) Residual deviance: 413.25 (76 d.f.) AIC: 828.46 Segmented model BP estimate 7.56 ± 0.03 SE Davies test BP estimate 7.56*** Estimate SE LCI (95%) UCI (95%) Slope segment 1 4.29 0.23 3.83 4.74 Slope segment 2 1.18 0.41 0.37 1.99 B. Ocean acidification and warming (9 C dataset) Segmented model y = pH + U + psi + e Estimate SE z-value p-value (Intercept) −35.62 2.20 −16.19 *** pH 4.69 0.30 15.69 *** U −4.13 0.49 −8.36 NA Null deviance: 1094.28 (44 d.f.) Residual deviance: 495.05 (41 d.f.) AIC: 748.04 Segmented model BP estimate 7.52 ± 0.02 SE Davies test BP estimate 7.52*** Estimate SE LCI (95%) UCI (95%) Slope segment 1 4.69 0.30 4.08 5.29 Slope segment 2 0.56 0.39 −0.24 1.35 C. Ocean acidification and warming (18 C dataset) Segmented model y = pH + U + psi + e Estimate SE z-value p-value (Intercept) −2.44 1.01 −2.41 * pH 0.32 0.14 2.33 * U 1.69 0.71 2.39 NA Null deviance: 977.09 (44 d.f.) Residual deviance: 933.94 (41 d.f.) AIC: 1197.5 Segmented model BP estimate 7.72 ± 0.06 SE Davies test BP estimate 7.73* Estimate SE LCI (95%) UCI (95%) Slope segment 1 0.32 0.14 0.04 0.6 Slope segment 2 2.01 0.70 0.61 3.42 For each experiment, data are evaluated according to Table 2 GLM results with Segmented Model regression and Davies Test Breaking-Point estimation (Muggeo, 2008). A. Results for ocean acidification + hypoxia experiment data evaluated as a single dataset. B. Results for ocean acidification + 9 °C experiment data evaluated as an independent dataset. C. Results for ocean acidification + 18 °C experiment data evaluated as an independent dataset. U = difference in slopes of the two segments; psi = breaking point estimate at each step with standard error; e = error term; BP = Breaking Point; S.E. = ± standard error; NA = Not Applicable. LCI = Lower Confidence Interval; UPI = Upper Confidence Interval; * = p < 0.05; ** = p < 0.01; *** = p < 0.001. Table 3. Break-Point estimation. A. Ocean acidification and hypoxia (all data) . . . . Segmented model y = pH + U + psi + e Estimate SE z-value p-value (Intercept) −32.78 1.68 −19.55 *** pH 4.28 0.23 18.85 *** U −3.10 0.47 −6.67 NA Null seviance: 1316.42 (79 d.f.) Residual deviance: 413.25 (76 d.f.) AIC: 828.46 Segmented model BP estimate 7.56 ± 0.03 SE Davies test BP estimate 7.56*** Estimate SE LCI (95%) UCI (95%) Slope segment 1 4.29 0.23 3.83 4.74 Slope segment 2 1.18 0.41 0.37 1.99 B. Ocean acidification and warming (9 C dataset) Segmented model y = pH + U + psi + e Estimate SE z-value p-value (Intercept) −35.62 2.20 −16.19 *** pH 4.69 0.30 15.69 *** U −4.13 0.49 −8.36 NA Null deviance: 1094.28 (44 d.f.) Residual deviance: 495.05 (41 d.f.) AIC: 748.04 Segmented model BP estimate 7.52 ± 0.02 SE Davies test BP estimate 7.52*** Estimate SE LCI (95%) UCI (95%) Slope segment 1 4.69 0.30 4.08 5.29 Slope segment 2 0.56 0.39 −0.24 1.35 C. Ocean acidification and warming (18 C dataset) Segmented model y = pH + U + psi + e Estimate SE z-value p-value (Intercept) −2.44 1.01 −2.41 * pH 0.32 0.14 2.33 * U 1.69 0.71 2.39 NA Null deviance: 977.09 (44 d.f.) Residual deviance: 933.94 (41 d.f.) AIC: 1197.5 Segmented model BP estimate 7.72 ± 0.06 SE Davies test BP estimate 7.73* Estimate SE LCI (95%) UCI (95%) Slope segment 1 0.32 0.14 0.04 0.6 Slope segment 2 2.01 0.70 0.61 3.42 A. Ocean acidification and hypoxia (all data) . . . . Segmented model y = pH + U + psi + e Estimate SE z-value p-value (Intercept) −32.78 1.68 −19.55 *** pH 4.28 0.23 18.85 *** U −3.10 0.47 −6.67 NA Null seviance: 1316.42 (79 d.f.) Residual deviance: 413.25 (76 d.f.) AIC: 828.46 Segmented model BP estimate 7.56 ± 0.03 SE Davies test BP estimate 7.56*** Estimate SE LCI (95%) UCI (95%) Slope segment 1 4.29 0.23 3.83 4.74 Slope segment 2 1.18 0.41 0.37 1.99 B. Ocean acidification and warming (9 C dataset) Segmented model y = pH + U + psi + e Estimate SE z-value p-value (Intercept) −35.62 2.20 −16.19 *** pH 4.69 0.30 15.69 *** U −4.13 0.49 −8.36 NA Null deviance: 1094.28 (44 d.f.) Residual deviance: 495.05 (41 d.f.) AIC: 748.04 Segmented model BP estimate 7.52 ± 0.02 SE Davies test BP estimate 7.52*** Estimate SE LCI (95%) UCI (95%) Slope segment 1 4.69 0.30 4.08 5.29 Slope segment 2 0.56 0.39 −0.24 1.35 C. Ocean acidification and warming (18 C dataset) Segmented model y = pH + U + psi + e Estimate SE z-value p-value (Intercept) −2.44 1.01 −2.41 * pH 0.32 0.14 2.33 * U 1.69 0.71 2.39 NA Null deviance: 977.09 (44 d.f.) Residual deviance: 933.94 (41 d.f.) AIC: 1197.5 Segmented model BP estimate 7.72 ± 0.06 SE Davies test BP estimate 7.73* Estimate SE LCI (95%) UCI (95%) Slope segment 1 0.32 0.14 0.04 0.6 Slope segment 2 2.01 0.70 0.61 3.42 For each experiment, data are evaluated according to Table 2 GLM results with Segmented Model regression and Davies Test Breaking-Point estimation (Muggeo, 2008). A. Results for ocean acidification + hypoxia experiment data evaluated as a single dataset. B. Results for ocean acidification + 9 °C experiment data evaluated as an independent dataset. C. Results for ocean acidification + 18 °C experiment data evaluated as an independent dataset. U = difference in slopes of the two segments; psi = breaking point estimate at each step with standard error; e = error term; BP = Breaking Point; S.E. = ± standard error; NA = Not Applicable. LCI = Lower Confidence Interval; UPI = Upper Confidence Interval; * = p < 0.05; ** = p < 0.01; *** = p < 0.001. Fertilization response to ocean acidification and warming Similar to the ocean acidification and hypoxia experiment at 13°C, fertilization rates decreased with decreasing pH when gametes were exposed to the upwelling-like temperature of 9°C (Figure 4b). At 9°C, fertilization decreased from ∼65 to 6% as pH decreased from 7.85 to 7.14, with the Segmented Model analysis indicating a threshold at a pH of 7.52 (±0.02 SE), below which with a much steeper reduction in fertilization occurred. In contrast to 9 and 13°C treatment and an equivalent range of pH exposure, fertilization success decreased from ∼74 to 21% as pH decreased from 7.95 to 7.1 at 18°C (Figure 4c). The results from the GLM evaluation showed a significant increase in the intercept and a decrease in the slope when the 18°C exposure interacts with the range of pH examined (Table 2B, p < 0.001). Further evaluation with the Segmented Model analysis showed a lack of breaking point or a significant change in the intercept and slope at the warmer temperature [Table 3(C)] thus indicating the linear prediction evaluated by GLM model is an appropriate predictor of fertilization rates at this temperature. AICc comparison of GLM with Segmented Model fits showed that the Segmented Model was not a significant improvement over the GLM predictions supporting the results of the Segmented Model analysis (Supplementary Table S3, AICc < 10). Discussion This is the first evidence of direct and interactive effects of variation in pH, DO and temperature on fertilization success in red abalone. Specifically, the results indicate that: (i) fertilization generally decreases with declining pH, with the presence of a threshold and the difference in the rate of change in fertilization success dependent on the temperature and pH interaction; (ii) warming above ambient temperature interacts with pH, and ameliorates the negative impact of low pH; (iii) DO has no discernable effect on fertilization success, at least within the range of oxygen variation investigated in this study. Both negative and resistance to low pH on marine invertebrate fertilization success have been reported in the literature but these diverse outcomes are likely due to the range of pH examined and to the limited understanding of the fertilization mechanism that is being affected. Similar to our study, reductions in fertilization success with decreasing pH have been reported for several species of molluscs and echinoderms (Kurihara and Shirayama, 2004; Moulin et al., 2011; Barros et al., 2013; Frieder, 2014; Scanes et al., 2014). In these studies, low fertilization success was evident as gametes were exposed to pH levels below 7.6. In contrast, fertilization success remained high with decreasing pH for echinoderms (Heliocidaris tuberculata, Heliocidaris erythrogramma, Tripneuestes gratilla, Centrostephanus rodgersii, Patirriella regularis) and the abalone Haliotis coccoradiata (Byrne et al., 2010). Although fertilization success in these organisms was found to be resistant when exposed to pH levels ranging from 8.2 to 7.6, the authors suggested that this resistance might change under more severe levels of pH. In a mechanistic context, these previous studies suggested that lower pH alters sperm swimming behavior and or sperm kinetics, ultimately negatively affecting fertilization outcomes. For example, a reduction of sperm swimming speed and percent motility was found to be significantly correlated with reduced fertilization success for H. erythrogramma at a pH level of 7.7 (Havenhand et al., 2008). However, these results become confounding when compared with the negligible effects of pH reported by Byrne et al. (2010) for the same species and therefore, indicate that fertilization processes may be more complex. For example, changes in pH may also affect sperm attractant chemicals released by eggs (Riffell et al., 2002), the activation process during egg fertilization via interference of lysine dissolution of the egg membrane (Kresge et al., 2001), or the increase in H +  may ionically interfere with the explosive wave of calcium necessary for signalling egg activation and initiation of mitotic division (reviewed by Whitaker, 2006). Thus, while there is evidence for negative effects of low pH on fertilization success, the underlying physical or biological mechanisms require further evaluation—e.g. via biochemical tracing experiments—to fully understand when pH induces negative versus resistant outcomes. The ameliorating effect of warming over the negative effects of pH below a threshold point has not been previously reported in invertebrate fertilization studies but this may be due to differences in our experimental design relative to prior studies. For example, in order to evaluate the effects of changing temperature and pH, Byrne et al. (2010) examined fertilization success with a 4-degree warming from ambient (∼20°C) coupled with 0.6 U decrease in pH from ambient (8.2 pH) for the tropical abalone H. coccoradiata and a 6-degree warming from ambient (∼20°C) coupled with 0.6 U decrease in pH from ambient (8.2 pH) for several species of echinoids. Under these conditions, fertilization success was found to be resistant to both drivers and without apparent interaction—i.e. fertilization rates remained high under all conditions. Haliotis coccoradiata and the echinoids examined by Byrne et al. (2010) are distributed at latitudes where near-shore temperatures average ∼20°C and where optimal fertilization success in these organisms have demonstrated to be ∼20°C (Wong et al., 2010) and as such, an experimental temperature exposure of 18–26°C may not adequately capture the interactive effects of warming temperature and lower pH. That is, an ameliorating effect may be only observed if the experimental treatments include both warming and cooling comparisons of the same magnitude from the optimal temperature in combination with a fuller range of pH. Thus, experiments that examine co-variates moving in both directions from the optimal may reveal different patterns of multiple driver effects. The negligible effect of low DO or hypoxia on fertilization observed in this study was unexpected. Oxygen is a critical driver of metabolic processes at multiple organismal scales. As oxygen is the terminal electron acceptor during mitochondrial energy production, loss of available oxygen would be expected to reduce the metabolic energy needed for flagellum activity or sperm propulsion. Thus, a reduction in sperm motility is expected to have negative consequences for sperm:egg interactions and ultimately fertilization success. For example, low levels of DO have been reported to reduce sperm swimming kinetics in marine species (Shin et al., 2014; Graham et al., 2016). However, as the overall role of oxygen in the metabolism involves creating a proton gradient, a decrease in seawater pH, or related changes in seawater carbonate parameters, may disrupt this proton gradient, or the effects of pH may dominate any effects of oxygen variation, at least over the scales examined. Indeed, Graham et al. (2016) observed an increase in the swimming speed of sea urchin sperm under lower pH and hypoxic conditions. However, despite the antagonistic interactive effects of pH and hypoxia on sperm motility, they also observed a synergistic decrease in fertilization under these combined drivers. Those results differ from our findings and may be indicative of differing species-specific responses. Furthermore, seawater conditions to which our adult brooders were acclimated to during reproductive development—which we did not characterize—may also influence fertilization outcomes. Negative impacts of seawater conditions during this phase are unlikely because the aquaculture tanks are highly aerated and the brooders are cultured separately and under low densities to minimize oxidative stress (Boch, pers. commun. with American Abalone Farms). Thus, while it may be possible that the effects of seawater pH may be greater than the effects of DO, future experiments should control for conditions during reproductive development to limit pre-existing exposures and to clarify experimental outcomes. Prevailing theory based on aerobic scope suggests that exposure to anomalously high temperature and a secondary driver such as decreasing pH conditions would have a synergistic or an additive effect on fertilization success—i.e. dual stressors are predicted to narrow the window of biological performance (Portner and Farrell, 2008). However, our study shows that the effects of pH can be dominant over a secondary stressor such as hypoxia and in addition, the effects of ocean warming can ameliorate the effects of decreasing pH for fertilization success. Furthermore, it is unclear how warming temperatures in combination with hypoxic exposure may affect fertilization success. Altogether, our experimental results suggest that a synergistic or an additive response may not adequately describe the full scope of biological performance under multiple drivers or stressors—at least in the context of fertilization success. Based on our and other experimental studies on multiple environmental drivers, we instead suggest that the effects of multiple drivers can be complex and lead to resistance, dominance or amelioration. Importantly, our results show that non-linear responses and thresholds can also occur, highlighting the need to examine biological responses across continuous stressor gradients. Understanding the influence of multiple co-varying environmental factors on the success of red abalone populations or similar marine organisms with complex life cycles requires that we disentangle the individual and combined effects of variation in key environmental drivers. In addition, it requires an understanding of the net outcomes that integrate the vulnerability of each life history stage. For example, although we found that fertilization rates increased with higher temperatures and decreased with upwelling-like conditions, H. rufescens have been found to have higher gonadal development under cooler phases of the California current (Vilchis et al., 2005). Furthermore, male abalone exhibited a significant reduction of sperm production after 6 months of exposure to 18°C (Rogers-Bennett et al., 2010). Thus, if abalone populations, which have been observed to be gravid from a few months to year-round (Boolootian et al., 1962) respond to selection from the positive, negative, and other effects of environmental variation on gamete production and fertilization, the net demographic outcome may either be lessened or amplified by the ensemble of environmental drivers acting differentially on each life stage. Our integrated approach to examine the effects of multiple environmental drivers provide new insights concerning the expected consequences of future changes in ocean conditions for abalone populations that were unlikely to be detected in single factor experiments. For the CCLME, our results suggest that red abalone fertilization success is at a possible tipping point under current upwelling events—i.e. 7.5 pH and 9–13°C. Our results also suggest that the effects could be further detrimental to fertilization success if ocean acidification causes a further reduction in seawater pH below 7.5. As gaps in our understanding remain, expanding integrated approaches will be critical to disentangle the effects of climate change and natural variability in multiple environmental drivers as we endeavor to predict and manage changes in marine populations. Supplementary data Supplementary material is available at the ICESJMS online version of the manuscript. 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For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com This article is published and distributed under the terms of the Oxford University Press, Standard Journals Publication Model (https://academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model) TI - Effects of current and future coastal upwelling conditions on the fertilization success of the red abalone (Haliotis rufescens) JF - ICES Journal of Marine Science DO - 10.1093/icesjms/fsx017 DA - 2017-05-01 UR - https://www.deepdyve.com/lp/oxford-university-press/effects-of-current-and-future-coastal-upwelling-conditions-on-the-9HF8dvts0b SP - 1125 VL - 74 IS - 4 DP - DeepDyve ER -