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Revised and complete verification statistics for mainland United States long-range forecasts made for the period 197680 by the 1976 version of the University of Wisconsin model are presented. Corrections to earlier published values are given, as well as skill scores obtained using a much more complete set of stations for which forecasts were made.The overall skill score for the pentad temperature forecasts made for January, April, July, and October is negative (0.14), while those for pentad precipitation and individual year July precipitation forecasts are positive (0.12 and 0.04, respectively). The individual year January temperature forecast skill score was unchanged at 0.08 overall.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – American Meteorological Society
Published: Jun 1, 1983
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