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The purpose of this paper is to describe how Finnish experts perceive future (year 2030) hospital management and leadership.Design/methodology/approachA total of 33 experts participated in a three-round Argument Delphi process. Opposing views of management and leadership in 2030 were analyzed using inductive content analysis.FindingsThe experts’ perceptions were divided into two main categories: management and leadership orientation and future organization. Perceptions relating to management and leadership orientation were classified as relating to patient-centred, clinical dominance, professionally divided and management career options. Perceptions relating to future management and leadership organization were classified as representing shared, pair, team and the individual-centered leadership. The results highlighted the most distinctive issues raised by the participants.Research limitations/implicationsThis qualitative study was conducted in the context of Finnish healthcare according to the principles of the Argument Delphi Method. The panel consisted of high-level experts representing a diverse set of roles. However, as suggested in previous literature, these experts may not be the most astute in predicting the future development of hospital organizations.Practical implicationsThe findings can be used to develop and renew management and leadership training and management practices in hospitals.Social implicationsThe findings can be exploited in discussions, planning and decision making regarding future management and leadership in hospitals.Originality/valueOnly a few studies have investigated perceptions of future management in hospitals. This study adopted the Argument Delphi Method to identify distinct perceptions on the future orientation and organization of management and leadership in hospitals.
Journal of Health Organisation and Management – Emerald Publishing
Published: Sep 4, 2019
Keywords: Leadership; Hospital management; Future research; Argument Delphi method
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