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In the social and other sciences many data are collected with a known but complex underlying structure. Over the past two decades there has been an increase in the use of multilevel modelling techniques that account for nested data structures. Often however the underlying data structures are more...
We analyse annual northern and southern hemisphere temperature data from 1856 to 1998 using models that contain either stochastic linear trends or deterministic non-linear trends. We find that changes in southern hemisphere temperatures lead to changes in northern hemisphere temperatures, with no...