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Severe drought over the past three years (1998––2001), in combination with the effects of protracted sociopolitical disruption, has led to widespread famine affecting over 60 million people in central and southwest (CSW) Asia. Here both a regional and a large-scale mode of climate variability...
In the context of the Asian––Australian monsoon, the tropospheric biennial oscillation (TBO) is defined as the tendency for a relatively strong monsoon to be followed by a relatively weak one, and vice versa. Therefore the TBO is not so much an oscillation, but a tendency for the system to...
Interannual and decadal variability of the South Atlantic convergence zone (SACZ) during austral summer season January––February––March (JFM) is investigated. An attempt is made to separate the forced variability from the internal variability. This is accomplished by applying a...
Dynamical links of the Northern Hemisphere stratosphere and troposphere are studied, with an emphasis on whether stratospheric changes have a direct effect on tropospheric weather and climate. In particular, downward propagation of stratospheric anomalies of polar temperature in the...
In an experiment with the latest version of the Hadley Centre climate model the model response has been analyzed after the thermohaline circulation (THC) in the Atlantic Ocean has been suppressed. The suppression is induced by a strong initial perturbation to the salinity distribution in the...
Several methods of combining individual forecasts from a group of climate models to produce an ensemble forecast are considered. These methods are applied to an ensemble of 500-hPa geopotential height forecasts derived from the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) integrations...
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