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This analysis investigates the predictive power of the headline indices of the four most important German survey providers. We conduct an out-of-sample, real-time forecast experiment for growth of total and private sector gross domestic product and growth of gross value added in both the...
This paper examines the effects of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) on investment activity in Finland and South Korea. We employed an Accelerator model to assess whether investment developments in both countries were excessively hit by the GFC. We then used structural vector auto regressions to...
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