Analysis of regression in game theory approachLipovetsky, Stan; Conklin, Michael
2001 Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
doi: 10.1002/asmb.446
Working with multiple regression analysis a researcher usually wants to know a comparative importance of predictors in the model. However, the analysis can be made difficult because of multicollinearity among regressors, which produces biased coefficients and negative inputs to multiple determination from presum ably useful regressors. To solve this problem we apply a tool from the co‐operative games theory, the Shapley Value imputation. We demonstrate the theoretical and practical advantages of the Shapley Value and show that it provides consistent results in the presence of multicollinearity. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
On testing of parameters in modulated power law processMuralidharan, K.
2001 Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
doi: 10.1002/asmb.447
The modulated power law process (MPLP) is often used to model failure data from repairable system, when both renewal type behaviour and time trends are present. The MPLP allows for the failure rate of a system to be affected by the failure and repair. Since the MLEs of the estimates do not have closed form expressions, they have to be approximated, and hence deriving a test procedure will be difficult. Black and Rigdon (1996) have proposed asymptotic MLEs and asymptotic likelihood ratio tests for the parameters which also do not have closed form expressions and hence are not easy for application. In this paper, we derive a closed form expression for the test statistics which is simple and easy to apply for testing (i) H0: β=1 versus H1: β≠1 when κ is known and (ii) H0: (β=1 and κ=1) versus H1: (β≠1 or κ≠1). The simulation study for percentiles and powers are given. We also compare the performance of the test with that of Black and Rigdon's (1996) test. Some numerical examples are also provided to illustrate the testing procedures. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Three repair strategiesRocha‐Martínez, José M.
2001 Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
doi: 10.1002/asmb.449
Three imperfect repair strategies, derived from a discrete‐time model of failure and repair, are implemented on items brand A (car, computer, washer, etc.), which are low quality with respect to equivalent items brand B (the leading brand in the market) in the sense that items brand A usually fail faster than items brand B do, in order to increase their lifetimes so that they have a chance to compete in durability against items brand B. The implementation of those strategies is performed by probabilistic simulations of the model. The effectiveness of these strategies is measured by comparing the expected ‘output’ lifetimes of items brand A under each strategy with respect to the expected lifetime of items brand B and the mean value of the total number of repair actions required on items brand A under one strategy with respect to the other two. The algorithm for designing a computer program for simulating those strategies is included. Some results concerning a relationship between a generalized memoryless property of geometric (exponential) distributions and the convolution property of probability (moment) generating functions are detected and also included. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.