Szymkowiak, Marysia; Steinkruger, Andrew
doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsaf029pmid: N/A
As impacts of climate change accumulate in fishing communities, prospects for adaptation are uncertain. Efforts to adapt face multifaceted barriers, which synergize in systems with diverse stressors that may drive maladaptation. Despite this risk, there is limited research that explores climate impacts in fisheries through systems models to illuminate how changes, responses, and barriers at various levels may facilitate adaptation or promote maladaptation. To address this gap, we applied a systems approach to qualitative data collected in focus groups and interviews with 96 fisheries participants across the Gulf of Alaska from 2021 through 2023. In analyzing qualitative data through systems models, we identified processes that inhibit adaptation and motivate maladaptive choices. Key processes include cascading and compounding impacts of ecological and environmental change that lead to increasing fishing pressure and diminishing well-being. Two sets of barriers to adaptation emerge from these processes: barriers involving information and barriers involving capacity. Our findings indicate priorities for policies at multiple levels, including fisheries management changes toward multi-year stability in harvest specifications and allocations, local shifts to prioritize working waterfronts, national policies for management regimes that facilitate access and diversification for fishermen and communities, and regional maritime workforce initiatives.