Watching the sunrise on our ocean planet in a new era of marine scienceSchofield, Oscar
doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsae049pmid: N/A
Over the last 30 years, ocean sciences have been undergoing a technological revolution. Changes include the transition of autonomous platforms from being interesting engineering projects to being critical tools for scientists studying a range of processes at sea. My career has benefitted immensely from these technical innovations, allowing me to be at sea (virtually) 365 days a year and operate ocean networks globally. While these technical innovations have opened many research doors, many aspects of oceanography are unchanged. In my experience, working/talking/scheming with scientists is most effective face-to-face. Despite the growing capabilities of robotic platforms, we will still need to go to sea on ships to conduct critical experiments. As the responsibilities of scientists expand with mandated outreach efforts, I strongly urge young scientists to leverage the expertise of Broader Impact professionals, who are increasingly available to our community, in order to maximize the effectiveness and efficiency of our outreach efforts. Given the increasing observations of change occurring in the ocean, our work is ever-more important while still being fun. I am blessed to have had a career as an oceanographer exploring this planet.
Genetic divergence and adaptation of an isolated European lobster population in the NetherlandsEllis, Charlie D; Paris, Josephine R; Jenkins, Tom L; van Stralen, Marnix R; Steins, Nathalie A; Schotanus, Jildou; Stevens, Jamie R
doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsae059pmid: N/A
Identifying isolated populations is a key step towards enacting effective conservation management. European lobsters (Homarus gammarus) from Oosterschelde in the Netherlands are subject to fishery pressure and have previously been reported as genetically differentiated. They are also putatively of transplanted origin and have subsequently endured recent bottlenecking and environmental change. We assessed Oosterschelde lobsters to evaluate their demographic independence and appraise potential founder effects and evolutionary responses to isolation. Using restriction-site associated DNA sequencing, we genotyped 6185 single nucleotide polymorphisms across 188 individuals from 27 sites across the Atlantic range of H. gammarus to investigate population genetic diversity, structure, and potential adaptation. Our results show that Oosterschelde lobsters are genetically divergent from other stocks. We evidence extensive differentiation via both neutral and outlier loci, indicative of strong biophysical and demographic isolation, and detect signatures of reduced genetic diversity that may reflect weak founder effects or subsequent population contractions. Among outlier loci, we identify candidates for range-wide local adaptation via variants in genes of important biological functionality and link a private allele of Oosterschelde to a locus potentially conveying adaptive tolerance to environmental hypoxia. Given our findings, we advise proactive monitoring of Oosterschelde lobsters to explore whether existing management measures effectively conserve this discrete, self-recruiting population.
Simulation testing performance of ensemble models when catch data are underreportedBrooks, Elizabeth N; Brodziak, Jon K T
doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsae067pmid: N/A
Ensemble model use in stock assessment is increasing, yet guidance on construction and an evaluation of performance relative to single models is lacking. Ensemble models can characterize structural uncertainty and avoid the conundrum of selecting a “best” assessment model when alternative models explain observed data equally well. Through simulation, we explore the importance of identifying candidate models for both assessment and short-term forecasts and the consequences of different ensemble weighting methods on estimated quantities. Ensemble performance exceeded a single best model only when the set of candidate models spanned the true model configuration. Accuracy and precision depended on the model weighting scheme, and varied between two case studies investigating the impact of catch accuracy. Information theoretic weighting methods performed well in the case study with accurate catch, while equal weighting performed best when catch was underreported. In both cases, equal weighting produced multimodality. Ensuring that an ensemble spans the true state of nature will be challenging, but we observed that a change in sign of Mohn’s rho across candidate models coincided with the true OM being bounded. Further development of protocols to select an objective and balanced set of candidate models, and diagnostics to assess adequacy of candidates are recommended.
Drivers of bitter crab disease occurrence in eastern Bering Sea snow crab (Chionoecetes opilio)Balstad, Laurinne J; Fedewa, Erin J; Szuwalski, Cody S
doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsae068pmid: N/A
A recent population collapse of eastern Bering Sea (EBS) snow crab (Chionoecetes opilio) led to the first-ever closure of the snow crab fishery in 2022. The population collapse, caused, in part, by unprecedented warming, was preceded by peaks in juvenile snow crab density (2018) and bitter crab disease (BCD, Hematodinium sp.; 2016), a fatal crustacean disease. Annual bottom trawl surveys in the EBS show high year-to-year spatiotemporal variation in BCD-infected crab, yet it remains unclear what ecological drivers might explain the variation. We used statistical models of BCD presence/absence to examine the relative importance of intrinsic and extrinsic factors as drivers of BCD. We found a dome-shaped relationship between temperature and BCD presence, and results suggest that 2–4°C bottom temperatures are more likely to support BCD. Matching with past work across the globe, we find that stations with high population density of small, new shell crab are most likely to be BCD-positive. While our work highlights the challenges of disease monitoring in the EBS, our results indicate that indirect management measures related to snow crab rebuilding and recruitment may be more appropriate than directed fisheries management in mitigating BCD impacts.
Risks of regionalized stock assessments for widely distributed species like the panmictic European eelHöhne, Leander; Briand, Cédric; Freese, Marko; Marohn, Lasse; Pohlmann, Jan-Dag; van der Hammen, Tessa; Hanel, Reinhold
doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsae069pmid: N/A
In fisheries management, accurate stock assessment is pivotal to determine sustainable harvest levels or the scope of conservation measures. When assessment is decentralized and methods differ regionally, adopted approaches must be subjected to rigorous quality-checking, as biased assessments may mislead management decisions. To enable recovery of the critically endangered European eel, EU countries must fulfill a biomass target of potential spawner (“silver eel”) escapement, while local eel stock assessment approaches vary widely. We summarize local approaches and results of ground-truthing studies based on direct silver eel monitoring, to evaluate the accuracy of eel stock assessments in retrospect and identify bias sources. A substantial fraction of eel habitat is currently unassessed or assessed by unvalidated approaches. Across assessment models for which validation exists, demographic models frequently overestimated actual escapement, while misestimations of extrapolation (“spatial”) models were more balanced, slightly underestimating escapement. Stock size overestimation may lead to overexploitation or insufficient conservation measures, increasing the risk of stock collapse or slow recovery in coordinated frameworks. Underestimations may imply inefficient allocation of conservation efforts or negatively affect socioeconomy. Our work highlights the risks of regionalizing assessment responsibilities along with management decisions, calling for a common assessment toolbox and centralized quality-checking routines for eel.
Whole genome resequencing of sablefish at the northern end of their range reveals genetic panmixia and large putative inversionsTimm, Laura E; Larson, Wesley A; Jasonowicz, Andrew J; Nichols, Krista M
doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsae070pmid: N/A
Sablefish (Anoplopoma fimbria) are a highly mobile species that support important commercial fisheries in the North Pacific Ocean. Information on the genetic stock structure of sablefish is vital for constructing management strategies that ensure the long-term viability of the species. Most previous genetic studies on sablefish have found panmixia throughout the majority of their range, but a recent study suggested that a population structure may exist. Here, we use low-coverage whole genome resequencing to investigate genetic structure in the northern end of the species’ range (from Washington State, USA to the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands, AK, USA). Additionally, we reanalyzed an existing genomic dataset containing 2661 markers to test specific hypotheses about genetic structure by sex. Genome resequencing data from 119 individuals screened at 7 110 228 markers revealed no evidence of population structure, and reanalysis of the existing genomic dataset supported the same conclusion. Differentiation across the genome was largely driven by variation at two putative inversions located ∼1 megabase apart, which did not display any signals of geographic differentiation. Our study further supports the conclusion of genetic panmixia in sablefish throughout its northern range.
Acoustic observations of walleye pollock (Gadus chalcogrammus) migration across the US-Russia boundary in the northwest Bering SeaLevine, Robert M; De Robertis, Alex; Bassett, Christopher; Levine, Mike; Ianelli, James N
doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsae071pmid: N/A
The degree to which walleye pollock (Gadus chalcogrammus, hereafter pollock) move between the US and Russian zones of the Bering Sea is a key source of uncertainty for fisheries management. To study transboundary migrations across the US–Russia maritime boundary and explore how climate variability might influence these migrations, four seafloor-mounted echosounder moorings were deployed from July 2019 to August 2020 in the northwestern Bering Sea. The observations indicated that a substantial amount of pollock moves between the US and Russia seasonally, with a period of southeast movement into the US as winter as sea ice forms and northwest movement into Russia in early summer as waters warm. Over the deployment period, 2.3-times more pollock backscatter moved into the US zone in fall and winter than exited the subsequent spring and summer. We hypothesize that the difference in the net movement between regions was driven by pollock moving farther into Russia during the historically warm conditions at the start of deployment period and reduced northwest return migration the following summer when temperatures were relatively cooler. This supports the hypothesis that temperature affects pollock distribution, and that continued warming will lead to a larger proportion of the stock in Russian waters.
Post-release survival of Whiteleg skate (Amblyraja taaf) caught as bycatch on demersal longlines in deep waters of the Southern Ocean (Crozet Archipelago)Faure, Johanna; Authier, Matthieu; Massiot-Granier, Félix; Plard, Floriane; Péron, Clara
doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsae073pmid: N/A
Whiteleg skate (Amblyraja taaf) is a bycatch species commonly discarded in demersal longline fisheries targeting Patagonian toothfish around the Crozet archipelago (Southern Ocean). While there are global conservation issues on elasmobranchs, the post-release survival of this deep-sea species remains unknown. This study is the first tagging programme conducted on Whiteleg skates to investigate their fate after being released at sea. Almost 3000 skates were captured, double-tagged with conventional tags and released between 2020 and 2022 to assess survival using capture–mark–recapture (CMR) models. Our primary result was an estimated annual apparent survival rate higher than 92% for skates released in good condition (with 185 skates recaptured after up to 944 days at liberty). Low detection rate highlighted methodological challenges for CMR models. However, skate size and depth of capture had an effect on apparent survival probability with smaller individuals having lower values (<65 cm; 0.84 ± 0.04) as well as skates caught at shallower depths (<1200 m; 0.83 ± 0.04). Overall, this study suggests that the mandated release of skates in good condition is effective to limit fishing impact on skates in this fishery. To further limit this impact, we recommended changes in fishing practices (hauling speed and soak time).